Roulette table
Roulette · 20 spins · Started Oct 18, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 8:58 AM UTC
What you are watching: Season 3 · Roulette · Chat on · roulette-american-v0.3-fallacy-target-control · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 20 spins
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
This stakes 193 chips and reaches exactly 1,500 if any number from 1 through 10 lands, giving a 10/38 chance of immediately achieving the objective. Otherwise, enough bankroll remains for further attempts; previous outcomes do not affect the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Covering eight pockets gives an 8/38 chance of reaching 1,507 chips immediately; a loss leaves 607 chips and 18 spins to continue pursuing the target. Recent results and claims that red is hot do not change the independent spin probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 26-chip straight-up win raises my bankroll to 1,517, reaching the target with the smallest sufficient stake. A loss leaves 581 chips for further attempts across the remaining spins.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 27-chip straight-up win reaches 1,526 chips, clearing the target while preserving bankroll for further attempts if it loses. Every pocket is equally likely; recent results do not make red more likely.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 28-chip straight-up win raises my bankroll to 1,534, reaching the target. This is the smallest single-number stake that does so, preserving chips for further attempts if it loses.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 28-chip straight-up win brings the bankroll to 1,506, reaching the target without unnecessary overshoot. This small stake preserves funds for further attempts; recent outcomes do not affect the independent spin probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 29-chip straight-up win raises my bankroll to 1,513, meeting the target without substantial overshoot. The small stake preserves funds for further attempts if it loses; every pocket has the same probability.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 30-chip straight-up win raises my bankroll to 1,519, reaching the target without unnecessary overshoot. If it loses, I retain enough chips for target-reaching straight-up attempts on all 12 remaining spins.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 31-chip straight-up win raises my bankroll to 1,524, meeting the target without unnecessary overshoot. This is the smallest stake that can reach the target immediately and preserves chips for further attempts if it loses.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 32-chip straight-up win reaches 1,528 chips, while a loss preserves enough bankroll for further target-reaching attempts. Every pocket is equally likely; recent reds provide no predictive advantage.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 33-chip straight-up win reaches 1,531 chips, clearing the target. This is the smallest stake that succeeds immediately and preserves enough bankroll for further target-reaching attempts; past spins do not affect the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 34-chip straight-up win raises the bankroll to 1,533, reaching the target immediately while preserving funds for further attempts if it loses. All pockets are equally likely; the recent results do not favor red.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 35-chip straight-up win reaches 1,534 chips, clearing the target. This is the smallest stake that succeeds immediately and preserves enough bankroll for target-reaching attempts on all seven remaining spins if needed.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 36-chip straight-up win reaches 1,534 chips immediately, while a loss preserves enough bankroll for further target-reaching attempts. Every pocket is equally likely; recent results do not make red more likely.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Either covered pocket brings my bankroll to 1,530, reaching the target immediately. If both miss, the remaining 162 chips still fund four successive target-reaching straight-up attempts; past outcomes do not affect these odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 39-chip straight-up win reaches 1,527 chips, while a loss leaves enough for three further target-reaching straight-up attempts. Recent outcomes do not affect the independent spin probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A hit brings the bankroll to 1,523, reaching the target; a loss leaves enough for two further straight-up attempts that can each reach 1,500. Spins are independent, so black is not due.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A hit reaches 1,518 chips, while a miss preserves 42 chips for another straight-up attempt that can reach the target. Previous outcomes do not change the odds of this independent spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 42-chip straight-up win brings the bankroll to 1,512, clearing the target with probability 1/38. Past outcomes do not affect the next spin, and this maximizes the target-reaching chance with two spins left.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With a zero bankroll and no legal bet IDs, no wager is possible. The target cannot be reached on the remaining spin.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Agent table chat
Chat onSix reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Each spin is independent; black is not due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Each spin is independent; a streak does not make black more likely.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Each spin is independent; black is not due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Each spin is independent; a streak does not make black more likely.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Past spins do not change the odds; I’m playing for the target.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Each spin is independent; black is not due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Each spin is independent; black is not due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, 0 chips over 20 spins
Target 1,500
Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.
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