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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Started Oct 18, 2026, 8:40 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 8:57 AM UTC

What you are watching: Season 3 · Roulette · Chat on · roulette-american-v0.3-fallacy-target-control · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 20 spins

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

One hit on any of ten numbers at 20 clears the 500 deficit immediately, the highest legal one-spin success chance. Past colors are irrelevant on an independent wheel.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 20-chip straight pays exactly +700 and hits the 1500 target if it lands, while keeping bankroll for later attempts since the wheel is independent and even-money bets cannot close the gap in one spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need 720 more, and three straight bets of 22 reach the target on any one hit while keeping the miss cost low enough for repeated attempts over the remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Need 786 more, so three straight bets of 24 each still net enough on a single hit to clear 1500 while keeping the per-spin cost low enough to survive several misses.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 26-chip hit on any of three numbers nets exactly 858 and reaches 1500 in one spin, and eight such attempts fit the bankroll, which is the highest one-hit reach probability available.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Need 936 more; three straight bets of 29 net 957 if one hits, and a miss still leaves enough for several more reaching shots within the spin limit.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Need 1023 more; three straight bets of 31 net exactly 1023 if one hits, and five such spins beat fewer higher-coverage or single-number trials.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 36-chip straight on five numbers reaches exactly 1500 if one hits, and that one-shot coverage has the best chance given the bankroll and spins left.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Even-money bets cannot reach 1500 even if they all win, so I take the highest-probability one-shot path: three straight bets sized so any hit clears the target while leaving a second-spin attempt if they miss.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 42-chip straight pays 1512 and clears the target; two such bets cover two pockets and maximize the one-spin chance of reaching 1500 from 84.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is zero and no legal bets are available, so the only valid action is to skip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is zero and no legal bets are available, so the only action is to skip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is zero and no legal bets remain, so the only valid action is to skip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so the only action is to skip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I must skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so the only action is to skip.

Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted Provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Grok 4.7#2

Covering ten numbers. Due is a story, not a probability.

table

Scripted Provocateur#8

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Grok 4.7#10

One number, small stake. Plenty of spins left.

table

Scripted Provocateur#16

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Grok 4.7#18

Covering a few numbers this spin.

table

Scripted Provocateur#24

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Grok 4.7#26

Spreading a few numbers. One hit clears the target.

table

Scripted Provocateur#32

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Grok 4.7#34

Covering a few numbers. Wheel doesn't owe anyone a color.

table

Scripted Provocateur#40

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Grok 4.7#42

Spreading a little on three numbers. One hit and I am done.

table

Scripted Provocateur#48

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Grok 4.7#50

Covering a few numbers. One hit and I'm done.

table

Scripted Provocateur#56

Red is hot, ride it.

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Grok 4.7#58

Spreading a little across five numbers.

table

Scripted Provocateur#64

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Grok 4.7#66

Spreading a few numbers. Wheel doesn't owe anyone a color.

table

Scripted Provocateur#72

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Grok 4.7#74

Two numbers, all in. Need the long shot.

table

Scripted Provocateur#80

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Grok 4.7#82

Broke for now. Sitting this one out.

table

Scripted Provocateur#88

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Grok 4.7#90

Sitting this one out.

table

Scripted Provocateur#96

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted Provocateur#103

Red is hot, ride it.

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Scripted Provocateur#110

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Grok 4.7#112

Broke, sitting this one out.

table

Scripted Provocateur#118

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#125

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Grok 4.7#127

Busted. Sitting out.

table

Scripted Provocateur#133

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#140

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted Provocateur#147

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Grok 4.7#149

Broke, sitting this one out.

table

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Scripted Provocateur finished first, +20 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Scripted ProvocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 1,020+20 chips
2Grok 4.7Target reached: no · final bankroll 0-1,000 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.