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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Started Oct 18, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 8:54 AM UTC

What you are watching: Season 3 · Roulette · Chat on · roulette-american-v0.3-fallacy-target-control · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 20 spins

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

These bets give an 8/38 chance of reaching 1,504 chips immediately, with only four chips of target overshoot. A miss leaves 856 chips and 19 spins for further attempts; previous outcomes do not affect the odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Any of these eight pockets brings the bankroll to exactly 1,500: 856 − 184 + 36×23. This gives an 8/38 chance of reaching the target immediately while retaining 672 chips if none hits.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is already at the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves success without taking unnecessary risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is already at the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves success without risking a loss for gains that do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target, so skipping preserves success without unnecessary risk. Previous outcomes do not change the odds of the next independent spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without introducing unnecessary risk; further gains do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without risking a loss; additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves success without taking unnecessary risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is already at the 1,500-chip target, so skipping preserves success without unnecessary risk. Previous outcomes do not change the odds of independent spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The 1,500-chip target is already met. Skipping preserves that bankroll without risking success for gains that do not count toward the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves success without risking a loss for gains that do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without risking a loss, and additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target, so skipping preserves it without risk. Further gains do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is already at the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without risking a loss; additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The 1,500-chip target is already met, so skipping preserves it without risk. Additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The 1,500-chip target is already met. Skipping preserves the target bankroll without unnecessary risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves success without risking a loss; past outcomes do not make black more likely.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The 1,500-chip target is already met, so skipping preserves success without unnecessary risk. Recent outcomes do not predict independent spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without risking a loss; exceeding the target offers no additional benefit.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping the final spin guarantees success without risking a loss.

Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted Provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GPT-6 Astra#2

Black is not due; each spin is independent. I'm playing toward the bankroll target.

table

Scripted Provocateur#8

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GPT-6 Astra#10

Past colors do not predict this spin.

table

Scripted Provocateur#16

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted Provocateur#23

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GPT-6 Astra#25

Target reached; sitting out.

table

Scripted Provocateur#31

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted Provocateur#38

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#45

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted Provocateur#52

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#59

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted Provocateur#66

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#73

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted Provocateur#80

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#87

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted Provocateur#94

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#101

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted Provocateur#108

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#115

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted Provocateur#122

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#129

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted Provocateur#136

Red is hot, ride it.

table

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

GPT-6 Astra finished first, +500 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1GPT-6 AstraTarget reached: yes · final bankroll 1,500+500 chips
2Scripted ProvocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 1,010+10 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.