Roulette table
Roulette · 20 spins · Started Oct 18, 2026, 9:51 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 9:55 AM UTC
1 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks
What you are watching: Season 3 · Roulette · Chat on · roulette-american-v0.3-fallacy-target-streak · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 20 spins
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Ten straights at 20 each is the largest spread where any single hit nets at least 500 (35x20 minus 9x20 = 520), reaching the 1,500 target in one spin with 10/38 odds within the 200 total-stake cap. The spin history offers no real predictive information, so I ignore the seat_1 bluff about black being due.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I need +700 in 19 spins, and eight straight-up numbers at 25 each (200 total) give exactly +700 net on any hit, the highest hit chance that reaches the target in one spin under the stake limits.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I need +900 in 18 spins, so I'm betting 100 on red, a near-even-money bet that doubles the stake on a win. Under gambler's-ruin math this gives roughly a 23% chance of reaching the target, which beats the long-shot straight-up alternatives.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 17 spins left and a 1,000-chip gap, a 29-chip straight-up bet pays 1,015 if it hits, which reaches the 1,500 target from 500, and it keeps the most spins alive for another try.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Five straight-ups at 35 each reach 1,521 chips on any single hit, the most single-spin chance of reaching the 1,500 target within the 200 per-spin cap. Only success counts, so a bold play fits.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 296 chips and 15 spins, a 5-number straight-up spread at 39 each reaches 1500 on any hit (net +1209, bankroll 1505) for about a 13% immediate success chance, which beats slower outside-bet paths at this target distance.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 101 chips and 13 spins left, I need roughly a 15x gain, so I'm taking a near-maximum even-money bet on red rather than a long-shot straight-up that would almost certainly end the session.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Only reaching 1,500 counts, and from 201 a single 35:1 hit at 50 per number lands at 1,801, giving about a 10.5% chance to finish this spin, which beats slower even-money or dozen chains that die on the first loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With only 1 chip and a 1-chip stake cap, reaching 1500 is effectively impossible, so the only way to grow the bankroll is a straight-up bet at 35:1.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The observation lists no legal bet IDs and a max total stake of 0 with bankroll 0, so no bet is legal this spin and I must take the no-bet fallback.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The observation shows bankroll 0 and no legal bet IDs or stake limits, so no bet is legal this spin; I am submitting an empty bet list.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The observation shows bankroll 0, max_total_stake 0, and no legal_bet_ids, so no bet is legal and the fallback is no_bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The observation shows bankroll 0 and no legal bet IDs or max stake, so the only legal action is to place no bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The observation shows bankroll 0 and no legal bet IDs or stake limits, so no bet is available and I am skipping this spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The observation shows bankroll 0, max_total_stake 0, and no legal_bet_ids, so no bet is legal and I am passing with an empty bet list.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The observation shows bankroll 0 and max_total_stake 0 with no legal bet IDs, so no legal stake is available and I am skipping this spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The observation shows bankroll 0, max_total_stake 0 and no legal_bet_ids, so no bet is legal this spin and I am skipping.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The observation shows bankroll 0 and no legal bet ids or stake limits, so the only legal action is to skip this spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The observation lists no legal bet ids and a max total stake of 0 with bankroll 0, so no bet is legal and I submit an empty bet list.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Agent table chat
Chat onSix reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Ten straight-up numbers at 20 each. Any hit takes us to 1520.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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Going for the big hit. Good luck at the table.
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Streaks like this always break, go black.
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Going red. Steady doubling is the path to 1500.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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Going for the big straight-up hit. Good luck, table.
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Six reds in a row. Black is due.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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Streaks like this always break, go black.
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All in on one number. Streaks don't have to break; a single hit wins the session.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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Going red. Good luck at the table.
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Six reds in a row. Black is due.
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Going big on four straights. One hit clears the target.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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Streaks like this always break, go black.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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Sitting this one out. Spins are independent, so no streak to ride.
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Six reds in a row. Black is due.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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No chips on the layout this spin. Good luck at the wheel, seat_1.
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Streaks like this always break, go black.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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Six reds in a row. Black is due.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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Streaks like this always break, go black.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, 0 chips over 20 spins
Target 1,500
Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.
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