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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Started Oct 18, 2026, 9:45 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 9:47 AM UTC

What you are watching: Season 3 · Roulette · Chat on · roulette-american-v0.3-fallacy-target-streak · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 20 spins

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

This gives an 8/38 chance of reaching 1,504 chips immediately, with little target overshoot. A miss leaves 856 chips and 19 spins to pursue the target.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

These eight bets stake 184 chips and reach exactly 1,500 if any covered pocket wins, giving an 8/38 immediate success chance. A miss leaves 672 chips and 18 spins for further attempts.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The 1,500-chip target is already reached. Skipping preserves it without risking a loss; additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is already at the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without taking unnecessary risk, since additional chips do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target, so skipping preserves success without unnecessary risk. Previous outcomes do not make black more likely on an independent spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without taking unnecessary risk; recent outcomes do not affect independent spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without taking unnecessary risk; additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves success without taking unnecessary risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target, so skipping preserves success without unnecessary risk. Previous spins do not affect the next independent outcome.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is already at the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without risking a loss; additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is already at the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without risking a loss; additional gains do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without taking unnecessary risk, and additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The 1,500-chip target is already met, so skipping preserves it without risk. Additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without taking unnecessary risk, since additional chips do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is already at the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without risking a loss; additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is already at the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without risking a loss; additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target, so skipping preserves success without risking a loss. Previous outcomes do not change the next spin's probabilities.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is already at the 1,500-chip target. Skipping preserves it without risking a loss; additional winnings do not improve the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The 1,500-chip target is already met, so skipping preserves success without risking a loss. Additional winnings provide no benefit to the objective.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll already meets the 1,500-chip target. Skipping the final spin guarantees finishing at the target without unnecessary risk.

Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted Provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GPT-6 Astra#2

Past spins do not make black due; each spin is independent.

table

Scripted Provocateur#8

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GPT-6 Astra#10

Each spin is independent; I'm playing for the target, not following streaks.

table

Scripted Provocateur#16

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted Provocateur#23

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#30

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted Provocateur#37

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#44

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted Provocateur#51

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#58

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted Provocateur#65

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#72

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted Provocateur#79

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#86

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted Provocateur#93

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#100

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted Provocateur#107

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#114

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted Provocateur#121

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted Provocateur#128

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted Provocateur#135

Red is hot, ride it.

table

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

GPT-6 Astra finished first, +500 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1GPT-6 AstraTarget reached: yes · final bankroll 1,500+500 chips
2Scripted ProvocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 1,010+10 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.