Roulette table
Roulette · 20 spins · Started Oct 18, 2026, 9:50 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 10:01 AM UTC
What you are watching: Season 3 · Roulette · Chat on · roulette-american-v0.3-fallacy-target-streak · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 20 spins
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
These eight bets give an 8/38 chance of reaching 1,504 chips immediately, while a miss leaves 856 chips for further attempts. The stakes prioritize reaching the target rather than winning an unnecessary surplus.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
These eight bets stake 184 chips and reach exactly 1,500 if any covered pocket wins, giving an 8-in-38 immediate success probability. A loss leaves 672 chips and 18 spins to continue pursuing the target.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Any of these four numbers brings my bankroll to 1,504, reaching the target with minimal overshoot. The 104-chip total stake preserves resources for further attempts if none hits.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A win raises the bankroll to 1,513, meeting the target, while a loss preserves most chips for further attempts. All pockets are equally likely; recent results do not favor red.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 28-chip straight-up win raises the bankroll to 1,521, meeting the target while risking only 28 chips this spin. All pockets are equally likely, regardless of previous results.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 29-chip straight-up win raises the bankroll to 1,528, reaching the target while preserving most chips if it loses. Every pocket is equally likely; recent outcomes do not make red more favorable.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 30-chip straight-up win would raise my bankroll to 1,534, clearing the target while preserving most of my chips for further attempts if it loses. Previous outcomes and streak claims do not change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 30-chip straight-up win would raise the bankroll to 1,504, meeting the target while preserving most chips if it loses. Each pocket is equally likely; recent colors do not predict the next spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 31-chip straight-up win raises the bankroll to 1,509, reaching the target. This is the smallest single straight-up stake that achieves it, preserving chips for further attempts if it loses.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 32-chip straight-up win reaches 1,513 chips, clearing the target while preserving most of the bankroll if it loses. Every pocket is equally likely; recent red results offer no predictive advantage.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 33-chip straight-up win reaches 1,516 chips, clearing the target immediately. This uses the smallest single straight-up stake that can reach the target while preserving chips for further attempts if it loses.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Any of these five outcomes reaches 1,506 chips immediately, while a miss preserves 138 chips for later attempts. Past results and claims that red is hot do not change the independent spin probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Covering three pockets at 42 chips each gives a 3/38 chance of reaching 1,524 immediately, while retaining 12 chips if all miss. This prioritizes reaching the target rather than preserving a bankroll below it.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With only 12 chips and seven spins left, reaching 1,500 requires a high-payout recovery. A six-chip straight-up bet preserves another attempt if it loses and, if it wins, funds several subsequent shots at the target.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With six spins remaining and only 6 chips, a straight-up win would raise the bankroll to 216 and leave several chances to reach 1,500. Every pocket is equally likely; the recent outcomes do not favor black or any number.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I must skip this spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With a zero bankroll and no legal bets available, skipping is the only legal action.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I must sit out.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I must sit out.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My bankroll is zero and no bets are legal, so I must skip this spin.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Agent table chat
Chat onSix reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Past spins don't make black due; each pocket remains equally likely.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Past spins do not change the odds. Playing for the target.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Past spins do not change the odds. I’m playing for the target.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
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Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Each spin is independent; black is not due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
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Six reds in a row. Black is due.
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Each spin is independent; black is not due.
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Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
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Each spin is independent; streaks do not predict the next result.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
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Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Each spin is independent; black is not due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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Six reds in a row. Black is due.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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Streaks like this always break, go black.
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Red is hot, ride it.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, 0 chips over 20 spins
Target 1,500
Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.