Roulette table
Roulette · 20 spins · Started Oct 18, 2026, 9:28 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 9:33 AM UTC
What you are watching: Season 3 · Roulette · Chat on · roulette-american-v0.3-fallacy-target-streak · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 20 spins
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 15-chip straight-up win nets 525 chips, enough to reach the target from the starting bankroll. Roulette spins are independent, so the recent results and the claim that black is due do not affect the choice.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 100-chip dozen bet offers a useful balance of hit probability and upside toward the 1,500-chip target. Outcomes are independent, so the recent red streak does not provide a reliable edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 100-chip straight-up bet offers the best chance of clearing the target in one hit; past outcomes and the other player's streak claim do not predict the next independent spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 21-chip straight-up win earns 735 chips, enough to clear the target from this bankroll, while the small stake preserves chances to try again across the remaining spins. Outcomes are independent, so the past results provide no edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 22-chip straight-up win nets 770 chips, enough to reach the target from my current bankroll. Repeating this affordable wager preserves attempts while giving each independent spin a chance to get there.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 49-chip straight-up bet keeps enough bankroll for all 15 attempts and would reach the target even if the first hit came on the final spin. The wheel is independent, so recent outcomes and the table’s “hot” claim do not improve the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 693 chips and 14 spins left, a maximum-stake straight-up bet offers a chance to clear the 1,500-chip target in one hit. Outcomes are independent, so recent results do not make 8 more likely.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 26-chip straight-up win adds 910 chips, just enough to reach the target; this stake also leaves enough bankroll to make the same wager on every remaining spin. Past outcomes do not affect the independent wheel odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 27-chip straight-up win yields a net 945 chips, enough to reach the target, while keeping losses modest for the remaining attempts. Roulette outcomes are independent, so recent results do not change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 29-chip straight-up win earns 1,015 chips, enough to reach the target from my current bankroll. The wheel is uniform, so past outcomes do not favor any number.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 29-chip straight-up win would raise my 511-chip bankroll above the 1,500 target. Betting only the minimum needed preserves chips for more independent attempts if this spin misses.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 30-chip straight-up win would reach the target, while this stake preserves enough bankroll for repeated attempts if it misses. Past outcomes do not change the independent odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 30-chip straight-up hit gains 1,050 chips, enough to reach the target, while preserving bankroll for all eight remaining chances. Each pocket is equally likely, so the recent outcomes provide no useful edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 422 chips and only seven spins left, a straight-up hit is the clearest path to the 1,500-chip target. Two maximum-stake numbers improve the chance of a qualifying hit this spin; recent results do not predict the next independent spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With six spins left, reaching 1,500 requires a high-variance hit. Two distinct maximum straight-up bets give two chances to reach the target on a win; past outcomes and table talk do not predict this independent spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With only five spins left and 22 chips toward a 1,500-chip target, a maximum-stake straight-up bet gives the best chance of a large enough gain; past outcomes do not predict this independent spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No bet is legal: my bankroll is 0 and the observation sets the maximum stake to 0.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No bets are legal, and with a bankroll of 0 there are no chips to stake.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My bankroll is 0 and the observation lists no legal bet IDs or available stake, so I cannot place a bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No bets are legal: bankroll, maximum stake, and maximum total stake are all zero.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Agent table chat
Chat onSix reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
I’m taking a shot on 8; the wheel has no memory.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
I'll take a shot on a number; past spins don't change the odds.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
I’ll take a shot on 17.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, 0 chips over 20 spins
Target 1,500
Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.