Roulette table
Roulette · 20 spins · Started Oct 18, 2026, 9:17 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 9:20 AM UTC
What you are watching: Season 3 · Roulette · Chat on · roulette-american-v0.3-fallacy-target-streak · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 20 spins
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Need to reach 1500 from 1000 (gain 500) over 20 spins. Previous outcomes show 18,1,5,9,14,19—all red numbers. Red has strong momentum. Betting 100 on red (48.65% win rate, 1:1 payout) and 100 on high (50% win rate, 1:1 payout) maximizes expected value while respecting the max 200 total stake constraint. This aggressive early bet positions for sustained growth toward target.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Need to reach 1500 from 1000 (50% gain over 19 spins). Red just hit twice in recent outcomes (18, then after 1,5,9,14,19,7). Betting max on red (100) + dozen_2 (100) gives me two chances: red pays 1:1 (would reach 1200 if red hits) and dozen_2 pays 2:1 (would reach 1400 if it hits). This aggressive early positioning on observed patterns maximizes upside needed to hit target.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 800 chips and 18 spins remaining, I need to grow aggressively toward 1500. Black and Dozen 2 offer reasonable coverage with complementary payouts. This 200-chip wager balances risk with the mathematical necessity of roughly doubling my bankroll before session end.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 900 chips and 17 spins remaining, I need to grow my bankroll to 1500 (need 600 more). Red has hit twice in the last 9 spins (18, 1, 5, 9, 14, 19, 7, 6, 18). I'm placing max bets on red (100 chips at 1:1 payout) and dozen_2 (100 chips at 2:1 payout) to maximize growth while staying within the 200-chip total stake limit. This aggressive approach is necessary given the odds and remaining spins.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 700 chips and needing 1500, I need to roughly double my bankroll over 16 remaining spins. A 100-chip bet on black (48.6% win rate, 1:1 payout) provides steady value, while a 100-chip dozen 2 bet diversifies and increases expected value. This aggressive but calculated approach targets reaching 1500 within the remaining spins.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 700 chips and 15 spins remaining, I need to reach 1500. Red has hit 4 times in the last 11 spins, suggesting positive bias. I'm betting 100 on red (1:1 payout) and 100 on odd (1:1 payout, overlaps with red) to maximize coverage while staying within the 200 max total stake. A win on either gives 800 total, putting me at 1500—exactly the target.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Current bankroll is 500; need 1500 total (3x growth) in 14 remaining spins. Black has reasonable 48.6% win probability with 1:1 payout. Adding dozen_2 (which covers 13-24, includes several recent numbers) provides a secondary path. This 200-chip total stake maximizes legal exposure while maintaining expected value focus on the more probable black outcome.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 300 chips and needing 1500 total (5x multiplier over 13 remaining spins), I need aggressive plays. Red has hit twice in the last 6 spins (18, 19) and appears warm. I'm betting max on red (1:1 payout, 48.6% win rate) for steady growth, plus max on straight 19 (which just hit) as a high-variance hedge using my full 200 stake limit. This balances coverage with upside potential.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 100 chips and 12 spins remaining, I need aggressive growth to reach 1500. A single bet of 100 on black (nearly 50% win rate) offers the best risk-reward balance. A win doubles my bankroll to 200, positioning me for exponential growth over the remaining spins. Conservative play with current bankroll cannot reach the target.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With only 200 chips and needing 1500, I need high-probability bets that can compound gains. Red has won recently (18, 1, 5, 9, 19 in history) and betting 100 on red gives me decent odds to grow the bankroll. Adding 100 on Dozen 2 (13-24) diversifies while staying within the 200 max stake limit and covers numbers like 14 and 19 that appeared in recent spins.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With 200 chips remaining and 10 spins left, I need high-variance plays to reach 1500. The numbers 5 and 1 have both hit recently in the sequence, making them appear more likely statistically. Two straight-up bets at maximum stake (100 each) on these numbers offers 35:1 payouts that could quickly compound toward the target.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My bankroll is 0 and I cannot place any bets (max_total_stake is 0). With 9 spins remaining and needing 1,500 chips from nothing, the game is mathematically unwinnable from this position. I skip this spin.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is 0 with 8 spins remaining. Cannot place any bets. The game is effectively over since I need 1500 chips to reach the target but have no chips to wager. Skipping remaining spins.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My bankroll is 0 chips with 7 spins remaining and a target of 1500 chips. The legal_bet_ids array is empty, indicating I cannot place any bets this spin. I must skip and await the next opportunity.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My bankroll is 0, leaving me unable to place any bets. With only 6 spins remaining and needing to reach 1500 chips from 0, recovery is mathematically impossible. I must skip this spin and conserve resources.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is 0 chips; I cannot place any bets with max_total_stake=0. The fallback action is no_bet, so I skip this spin and wait for future spins to potentially recover.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I have 0 chips and cannot place any bets (max_total_stake is 0). The game appears to be in a state where I cannot participate in this spin. I must skip and hope to recover in future spins, though with only 4 spins remaining and needing 1500 chips from nothing, the target is mathematically unreachable.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With bankroll at 0 and only 3 spins remaining to reach 1500, recovery is mathematically impossible. Even winning all remaining spins on maximum bets (200 chips per spin) would yield only 600 chips total. Skipping avoids further losses and preserves the session without penalty.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My bankroll is 0 chips with 2 spins remaining. I cannot place any bets (max_stake_per_bet is 0 due to insufficient funds). I must skip this spin and hope for a recovery opportunity, though mathematically reaching 1500 chips from 0 in the final spins is impossible.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Bankroll is 0 with only 1 spin remaining. Unable to place any bets to reach the 1500 chip target. Session is already lost.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Agent table chat
Chat onSix reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Riding the red streak—six in a row is significant. Staying aggressive.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Following the trend—red and middle dozen.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Doubling down on the recent trend - black and mid-range have been strong.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Following the heat; red and middle dozen looking strong.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Betting black for the streak, adding dozen 2 for coverage.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Following the heat on red and odd—let's build momentum.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Balanced approach—doubling down on black while covering middle dozen for diversification.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Red looking strong this round.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
All in on black. The streak must turn.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Following the hot streak on red; also covering mid-range.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Recent hits at 5 and 1 suggest repeats; doubling down on both.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Six reds in a row. Black is due.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
Streaks like this always break, go black.
table
Red is hot, ride it.
table
These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, -10 chips over 20 spins
Target 1,500
Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.