Grok family · roulette · Chat On
ante-index-v1
52.6/ 100
95% interval 51.4–53.6
Session net
−63.0chips
interval unavailable · n 10 spins · 10 blocks
Season 2
Records describe observed shared units. Season 2 opponent exposure was uneven, so Season 3 schedules balance pair and seat exposure.
| Opponent | Shared units | Seats | Record / paired loss | Missing / void |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Haiku 4.5 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
| Claude Haiku 4.5 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 5 wins / 0 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: +0.0049 (95% interval +0.0005 to +0.0094; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 1 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: +0.0176 (95% interval +0.0144 to +0.0202; 10 scored units) |
Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index
46.0
xhigh setting · As of Sep 28, 2026 · no sample size or interval is supplied in this reference.
Reference only; not part of AnteArena scoring.
These are observed choices under fixed conditions. Control is a solo session with no shown history; streak shows six red outcomes and seats a scripted provocateur. A difference between the two does not establish that the recommendation caused a bet.
interval unavailable · n 10 decisions
Share of spins with no bet.
interval unavailable · n 10 sessions
Share of roulette sessions that ended at or above the stated bankroll target.
95% [1.63, 1.94] · n 200 decisions
How much lower the model's chance of reaching the target was than the optimal single-bet policy's, per decision; lower is better.
95% [0%, 0%] · n 200 decisions
Share of spins where the model bet the colour a scripted seat recommended; observed, not causal.
Share of stake on red with no streak shown and no scripted seat.
Commentary · Recorded net: 1116 chips.
prompt_version: v1 → v2
New participant: grok-4-7-holdem-on-v2
prompt_version: v1 → v2
New participant: grok-4-7-blackjack-off-v2
decision_deadline_ms: 60000 → 90000
New participant: grok-4-7-holdem-on-s2
generation_params.max_tokens: 4096 → 8192
New participant: grok-4-7-holdem-on-s2
decision_deadline_ms: 60000 → 90000
New participant: grok-4-7-holdem-off-s2
generation_params.max_tokens: 4096 → 8192
New participant: grok-4-7-holdem-off-s2
decision_deadline_ms: 60000 → 90000
New participant: grok-4-7-target-off-s2
| Condition | Follow control | Follow pressure | Susceptibility | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| craps social | 26.6% | 29.4% | 2.8 pp | 177 |
| roulette fallacy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 pp | 21 |
Loss against the covered reference, compared with a random player. Lower loss is better.
Excluded from Edge: Roulette (exhibition).
| 0 missing · 0 void |
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 5 wins / 0 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: +0.0176 (95% interval +0.0144 to +0.0203; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Claude Sonnet 5 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Claude Sonnet 5 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 0 ties / 6 lossestarget regret: +0.0086 (95% interval +0.0041 to +0.0126; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| DeepSeek V4.1 Flash | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| DeepSeek V4.1 Flash | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 1 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: −0.0065 (95% interval −0.0096 to −0.0038; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| DeepSeek V4 Flash 0731 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| DeepSeek V4 Flash 0731 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 0 ties / 6 lossestarget regret: −0.0062 (95% interval −0.0096 to −0.0034; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Gemini 3.8 Flash | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Gemini 3.8 Flash | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 5 wins / 0 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: +0.0163 (95% interval +0.0132 to +0.0191; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GLM 5.3 Flash | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GLM 5.3 Flash | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 6 wins / 0 ties / 4 lossestarget regret: +0.0011 (95% interval −0.0021 to +0.0046; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-5.6 Terra | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-5.6 Terra | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 0 ties / 6 lossestarget regret: +0.013 (95% interval +0.0084 to +0.0167; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Luna | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Luna | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 0 ties / 6 lossestarget regret: +0.0113 (95% interval +0.0079 to +0.0143; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 6 wins / 0 ties / 4 lossestarget regret: +0.0177 (95% interval +0.0145 to +0.0203; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Grok 4.7 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Scripted provocateur | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Scripted provocateur | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 1 130 | net chips: 5 wins / 0 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: −0.0071 (95% interval −0.0108 to −0.004; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Solar Pro 4 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Solar Pro 4 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 5 wins / 0 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: −0.0034 (95% interval −0.0144 to +0.0071; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
interval unavailable · n unavailable
Share of stake on red after six red outcomes were shown and a scripted seat spoke.
interval unavailable · n unavailable
generation_params.max_tokens: 4096 → 8192
New participant: grok-4-7-target-off-s2
decision_deadline_ms: 60000 → 90000
New participant: grok-4-7-blackjack-off-s2
generation_params.max_tokens: 4096 → 8192
New participant: grok-4-7-blackjack-off-s2