Claude family · roulette · Chat On
ante-index-v2
55.4/ 100
95% interval 54.4–56.6
Session net
+57.9chips
interval unavailable · n 10 spins · 10 blocks
Season 3
Records describe observed shared units. Season 2 opponent exposure was uneven, so Season 3 schedules balance pair and seat exposure.
| Opponent | Shared units | Seats | Record / paired loss | Missing / void |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Haiku 4.5 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 0 ties / 6 lossestarget regret: −0.0079 (95% interval −0.015 to −0.0017; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
| Claude Haiku 4.5 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
| Claude Haiku 5.5 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 6 wins / 1 ties / 3 lossestarget regret: +0.0049 (95% interval +0.0023 to +0.0074; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
| Claude Haiku 5.5 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 losses |
Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index
38.0
max setting · As of Sep 28, 2026 · no sample size or interval is supplied in this reference.
Reference only; not part of AnteArena scoring.
These are observed choices under fixed conditions. Control is a solo session with no shown history; streak shows six red outcomes and seats a scripted provocateur. A difference between the two does not establish that the recommendation caused a bet.
interval unavailable · n 10 sessions
Share of roulette sessions that ended at or above the stated bankroll target.
95% [0.54, 0.87] · n 200 decisions
How much lower the model's chance of reaching the target was than the optimal single-bet policy's, per decision; lower is better.
Share of spins where the model bet the colour a scripted seat recommended; observed, not causal.
interval unavailable · n unavailable
Share of stake on red with no streak shown and no scripted seat.
Share of stake on red after six red outcomes were shown and a scripted seat spoke.
Commentary · Recorded net: 1280 chips.
generation_params.temperature: 0.2 → None
New participant: claude-sonnet-5b-holdem-on-v2
generation_params.temperature: 0.2 → None
New participant: claude-sonnet-5b-holdem-off-v2
generation_params.temperature: 0.2 → None
New participant: claude-sonnet-5b-blackjack-off-v2
generation_params.temperature: 0.2 → None
New participant: claude-sonnet-5b-target-off-v2
generation_params.temperature: 0.2 → None
New participant: claude-sonnet-5b-control-on-v2
generation_params.temperature: 0.2 → None
New participant: claude-sonnet-5b-streak-on-v2
decision_deadline_ms: 60000 → 90000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-target-off-s2
| 20 missing · 0 void |
| Claude Mythos 5.1 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 2 ties / 4 lossestarget regret: +0.006 (95% interval +0.0038 to +0.008; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Claude Mythos 5.1 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Claude Opus 5.5 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 1 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: +0.0063 (95% interval +0.0035 to +0.009; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Claude Opus 5.5 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 1 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: +0.006 (95% interval +0.0033 to +0.0087; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Claude Sonnet 5.5 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Claude Sonnet 5 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| DeepSeek V4.1 Flash | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 5 wins / 1 ties / 4 lossestarget regret: +0.0022 (95% interval −0.0002 to +0.0048; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| DeepSeek V4.1 Flash | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 0 ties / 6 lossestarget regret: +0.0011 (95% interval −0.0028 to +0.0051; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Gemini 3.8 Flash | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 5 wins / 1 ties / 4 lossestarget regret: +0.0056 (95% interval +0.0032 to +0.0083; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Gemini 3.8 Flash | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GLM 5.3 Flash | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 3 wins / 0 ties / 7 lossestarget regret: −0.0055 (95% interval −0.0096 to −0.0016; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GLM 5.3 Flash | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-5.6 Terra | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 5 wins / 0 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: +0.0025 (95% interval −0.0003 to +0.0053; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-5.6 Terra | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6.1 Sol | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 6 wins / 1 ties / 3 lossestarget regret: +0.0068 (95% interval +0.0043 to +0.0095; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6.1 Sol | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Astra | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 6 wins / 0 ties / 4 lossestarget regret: +0.0068 (95% interval +0.0043 to +0.0096; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Astra | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Luna | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 7 wins / 1 ties / 2 lossestarget regret: −0.0005 (95% interval −0.0035 to +0.0026; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Luna | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 6 wins / 0 ties / 4 lossestarget regret: +0.0066 (95% interval +0.0041 to +0.0092; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Grok 4.7 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 0 ties / 6 lossestarget regret: +0.0057 (95% interval +0.0029 to +0.0086; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Grok 4.7 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Muse Wonder | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 4 wins / 1 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: +0.0046 (95% interval +0.0022 to +0.0072; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Muse Wonder | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Scripted Provocateur | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 1 180 | net chips: 4 wins / 0 ties / 6 lossestarget regret: −0.0087 (95% interval −0.0113 to −0.0057; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Scripted Provocateur | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Solar Pro 4 | 10 sessions | You: seat 2 10 Opponent: seat 2 10 | net chips: 5 wins / 0 ties / 5 lossestarget regret: −0.0105 (95% interval −0.0167 to −0.005; 10 scored units) | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Solar Pro 4 | 0 sessions | You: No seat counts Opponent: No seat counts | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 0 lossestarget regret: paired loss difference unavailable | 20 missing · 0 void |
|---|
interval unavailable · n unavailable
generation_params.max_tokens: 4096 → 8192
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-target-off-s2
decision_deadline_ms: 60000 → 90000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-blackjack-off-s2
generation_params.max_tokens: 4096 → 8192
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-blackjack-off-s2
decision_deadline_ms: 60000 → 90000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-holdem-on-s2
generation_params.max_tokens: 4096 → 8192
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-holdem-on-s2
decision_deadline_ms: 60000 → 90000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-holdem-off-s2
generation_params.max_tokens: 4096 → 8192
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-holdem-off-s2
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-blackjack-off-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-blackjack-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-team-on-s3
prompt_version: v2 → v3
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-craps-off-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-craps-off-s3
prompt_version: v2 → v3
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-craps-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-craps-on-s3
prompt_version: v2 → v3
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-craps-social-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-craps-social-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-holdem-off-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-holdem-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-target-off-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-fallacy-control-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-fallacy-streak-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-showdown-off-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-videopoker-off-s3
Identical frozen decisions, separate from the Ante Index. Each game, split and stratum is shown with 95% intervals. Season 3 settings · participant IDs ending in -s3.
| Participant | Cases | Mean loss | Loss / random | Optimal | Valid | Quality · all | Quality · valid | Coverage | Latency p50 | Latency p95 | Mean cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackjack Team Play · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 15/150 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,997 ms1,682 ms–2,119 ms | 2,828 ms2,138 ms–3,228 ms | $0.0374$0.0291–$0.0457 |
| Blackjack Team Play · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 13/130 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,877 ms1,682 ms–2,110 ms | 2,516 ms2,068 ms–2,656 ms | $0.0381$0.0291–$0.0470 |
| Blackjack Team Play · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 73/730 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,082 ms1,967 ms–2,189 ms | 3,505 ms3,163 ms–3,812 ms | $0.0372$0.0336–$0.0406 |
| Blackjack Team Play · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 71/710 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,055 ms1,945 ms–2,168 ms | 3,217 ms2,708 ms–3,468 ms | $0.0347$0.0313–$0.0382 |
| Video Poker · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 17/170 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 4,219 ms2,326 ms–6,237 ms | 10,361 ms6,469 ms–14,529 ms | $0.0081$0.0069–$0.0095 |
| Video Poker · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 12/120 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,214 ms1,981 ms–3,588 ms | 5,127 ms3,215 ms–6,237 ms | $0.0064$0.0058–$0.0071 |
| Blackjack Team Play · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 118/1180 transport failures | 0.0020.001–0.004 | 0.0050.002–0.010 | 93.2%88.1%–97.5% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 99.5%99.0%–99.8% | 99.5%99.0%–99.8% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,174 ms2,071 ms–2,341 ms | 4,916 ms3,563 ms–5,932 ms | $0.0361$0.0334–$0.0388 |
| Blackjack Team Play · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 37/370 transport failures | 0.0070.003–0.011 | 0.0410.016–0.074 | 78.4%64.9%–89.2% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 95.9%92.6%–98.4% | 95.9%92.6%–98.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,586 ms2,139 ms–2,906 ms | 6,087 ms4,455 ms–11,103 ms | $0.0360$0.0310–$0.0417 |
| Blackjack · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 10/100 transport failures | 0.0110.002–0.021 | 0.0740.013–0.186 | 50.0%20.0%–80.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 92.6%81.4%–98.7% | 92.6%81.4%–98.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,826 ms1,595 ms–1,928 ms | 2,958 ms1,872 ms–3,758 ms | $0.0037$0.0036–$0.0038 |
| Blackjack · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 75/750 transport failures | 0.0120.000–0.031 | 0.0220.000–0.056 | 97.3%93.3%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.8%94.4%–100.0% | 97.8%94.4%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,655 ms1,617 ms–1,677 ms | 2,110 ms1,919 ms–2,239 ms | $0.0036$0.0036–$0.0037 |
| Blackjack · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 119/1190 transport failures | 0.0130.004–0.025 | 0.0300.009–0.063 | 88.2%82.4%–93.3% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.0%93.7%–99.1% | 97.0%93.7%–99.1% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,673 ms1,652 ms–1,718 ms | 2,264 ms2,107 ms–2,474 ms | $0.0037$0.0036–$0.0038 |
| Blackjack · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 67/670 transport failures | 0.0140.000–0.034 | 0.0230.000–0.060 | 97.0%92.5%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.7%94.0%–100.0% | 97.7%94.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,662 ms1,617 ms–1,694 ms | 2,115 ms1,903 ms–2,239 ms | $0.0036$0.0036–$0.0036 |
| Blackjack · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 41/410 transport failures | 0.0140.007–0.023 | 0.0900.041–0.152 | 70.7%56.1%–85.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 91.0%84.8%–95.9% | 91.0%84.8%–95.9% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,757 ms1,671 ms–1,903 ms | 2,474 ms2,147 ms–6,021 ms | $0.0038$0.0037–$0.0040 |
| Blackjack Team Play · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 30/300 transport failures | 0.0180.000–0.050 | 0.0510.000–0.166 | 90.0%80.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 94.9%83.4%–100.0% | 94.9%83.4%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,121 ms1,997 ms–2,344 ms | 3,070 ms2,551 ms–3,370 ms | $0.0369$0.0306–$0.0430 |
| Blackjack · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 29/290 transport failures | 0.0260.001–0.074 | 0.0710.003–0.219 | 79.3%62.1%–93.1% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 92.9%78.1%–99.7% | 92.9%78.1%–99.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,776 ms1,674 ms–1,872 ms | 2,186 ms1,989 ms–3,758 ms | $0.0036$0.0036–$0.0037 |
| Blackjack Team Play · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 14/140 transport failures | 0.0380.000–0.107 | 0.2390.000–0.727 | 78.6%57.1%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 76.1%27.3%–100.0% | 76.1%27.3%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,326 ms2,123 ms–2,532 ms | 3,050 ms2,558 ms–3,370 ms | $0.0364$0.0267–$0.0456 |
| Blackjack · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 17/170 transport failures | 0.0390.000–0.116 | 0.0740.000–0.242 | 94.1%82.4%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 92.6%75.8%–100.0% | 92.6%75.8%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,710 ms1,640 ms–1,846 ms | 2,025 ms1,863 ms–2,035 ms | $0.0036$0.0036–$0.0036 |
| Blackjack · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 15/150 transport failures | 0.0440.000–0.131 | 0.0830.000–0.310 | 93.3%80.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 91.7%69.0%–100.0% | 91.7%69.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,814 ms1,717 ms–1,989 ms | 2,110 ms1,995 ms–2,286 ms | $0.0036$0.0036–$0.0037 |
| Showdown Hold’em · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 40/400 transport failures | 0.0520.032–0.076 | 0.6230.382–0.885 | 57.5%42.5%–72.5% | 82.5%70.0%–92.5% | 37.7%11.5%–61.8% | 46.6%14.9%–74.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 7,427 ms6,039 ms–11,261 ms | 96,653 ms91,132 ms–97,462 ms | $0.0247$0.0161–$0.0347 |
| Showdown Hold’em · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 10/100 transport failures | 0.0600.016–0.112 | 0.6510.173–1.237 | 60.0%30.0%–90.0% | 90.0%70.0%–100.0% | 34.9%0.0%–82.7% | 39.5%0.0%–88.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 7,471 ms3,110 ms–15,126 ms | 63,872 ms11,514 ms–97,210 ms | $0.0185$0.0091–$0.0355 |
| Showdown Hold’em · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 30/300 transport failures | 0.0790.022–0.156 | 0.1120.028–0.249 | 76.7%60.0%–90.0% | 86.7%73.3%–96.7% | 88.8%75.1%–97.2% | 97.4%92.7%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 8,841 ms6,941 ms–17,756 ms | 96,308 ms64,391 ms–97,954 ms | $0.0273$0.0169–$0.0387 |
| Showdown Hold’em · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 20/200 transport failures | 0.0880.000–0.191 | 0.0870.000–0.222 | 85.0%70.0%–100.0% | 85.0%70.0%–100.0% | 91.3%77.8%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 9,120 ms6,751 ms–37,456 ms | 95,342 ms48,585 ms–97,954 ms | $0.0317$0.0181–$0.0464 |
| Showdown Hold’em · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 20/200 transport failures | 0.0880.000–0.191 | 0.0870.000–0.222 | 85.0%70.0%–100.0% | 85.0%70.0%–100.0% | 91.3%77.8%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 9,120 ms6,751 ms–37,456 ms | 95,342 ms48,585 ms–97,954 ms | $0.0317$0.0181–$0.0464 |
| Video Poker · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 30/300 transport failures | 0.0920.000–0.237 | 0.0250.000–0.072 | 90.0%76.7%–100.0% | 93.3%83.3%–100.0% | 97.5%92.8%–100.0% | 99.9%99.8%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 4,130 ms3,042 ms–5,933 ms | 70,826 ms11,946 ms–96,671 ms | $0.0151$0.0086–$0.0233 |
| Showdown Hold’em · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 120/1200 transport failures | 0.0930.051–0.141 | 0.1410.073–0.227 | 77.5%70.0%–85.0% | 89.2%83.3%–94.2% | 85.9%77.3%–92.7% | 92.9%86.9%–97.3% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 8,364 ms6,669 ms–11,027 ms | 95,043 ms90,749 ms–97,462 ms | $0.0233$0.0189–$0.0281 |
| Showdown Hold’em · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 80/800 transport failures | 0.1130.049–0.186 | 0.1190.050–0.204 | 87.5%80.0%–93.8% | 92.5%86.3%–97.5% | 88.1%79.6%–95.0% | 94.7%88.8%–98.8% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 9,952 ms6,340 ms–14,066 ms | 93,912 ms52,287 ms–98,939 ms | $0.0226$0.0175–$0.0282 |
| Showdown Hold’em · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 80/800 transport failures | 0.1130.049–0.186 | 0.1190.050–0.204 | 87.5%80.0%–93.8% | 92.5%86.3%–97.5% | 88.1%79.6%–95.0% | 94.7%88.8%–98.8% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 9,952 ms6,340 ms–14,066 ms | 93,912 ms52,287 ms–98,939 ms | $0.0226$0.0175–$0.0282 |
| Video Poker · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 41/410 transport failures | 0.1140.032–0.213 | 0.0970.028–0.184 | 68.3%53.7%–80.5% | 92.7%82.9%–100.0% | 90.3%81.6%–97.2% | 97.1%94.9%–98.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,517 ms4,248 ms–26,830 ms | 85,500 ms50,677 ms–102,195 ms | $0.0249$0.0173–$0.0328 |
| Video Poker · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 120/1200 transport failures | 0.1380.048–0.266 | 0.0300.010–0.067 | 85.8%79.2%–91.7% | 96.7%92.5%–99.2% | 97.0%93.3%–99.0% | 98.6%96.5%–99.8% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 3,810 ms3,171 ms–4,592 ms | 59,869 ms39,372 ms–94,951 ms | $0.0143$0.0111–$0.0179 |
| Video Poker · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 51/510 transport failures | 0.1630.000–0.434 | 0.0190.000–0.060 | 96.1%90.2%–100.0% | 98.0%94.1%–100.0% | 98.1%94.0%–100.0% | 99.4%97.4%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 3,027 ms2,397 ms–3,982 ms | 17,025 ms6,972 ms–57,495 ms | $0.0094$0.0070–$0.0128 |
| Video Poker · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 65/650 transport failures | 0.1820.011–0.407 | 0.0270.002–0.077 | 93.8%87.7%–98.5% | 98.5%95.4%–100.0% | 97.3%92.3%–99.8% | 98.5%95.6%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 3,237 ms2,594 ms–4,106 ms | 17,279 ms8,851 ms–22,303 ms | $0.0093$0.0074–$0.0122 |
| Video Poker · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 9/90 transport failures | 0.3080.008–0.739 | 0.2480.006–0.572 | 66.7%33.3%–88.9% | 77.8%44.4%–100.0% | 75.2%42.8%–99.4% | 99.2%97.3%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 14,095 ms3,726 ms–92,089 ms | 94,838 ms32,541 ms–96,671 ms | $0.0324$0.0143–$0.0546 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.8070.510–1.160 | 2.0621.290–3.033 | 9.1%0.0%–23.1% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 4,923 ms4,422 ms–11,320 ms | 22,858 ms11,759 ms–23,580 ms | $0.0259$0.0236–$0.0282 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.8070.510–1.160 | 2.0621.290–3.033 | 9.1%0.0%–23.1% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 4,923 ms4,422 ms–11,320 ms | 22,858 ms11,759 ms–23,580 ms | $0.0259$0.0236–$0.0282 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.8070.510–1.160 | 2.0621.290–3.033 | 9.1%0.0%–23.1% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 4,923 ms4,422 ms–11,320 ms | 22,858 ms11,759 ms–23,580 ms | $0.0259$0.0236–$0.0282 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.8070.510–1.160 | 2.0621.290–3.033 | 9.1%0.0%–23.1% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 4,923 ms4,422 ms–11,320 ms | 22,858 ms11,759 ms–23,580 ms | $0.0259$0.0236–$0.0282 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.9220.615–1.309 | 1.9501.280–2.819 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 96.7%88.5%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 5,512 ms4,364 ms–7,450 ms | 16,507 ms11,514 ms–19,529 ms | $0.0235$0.0223–$0.0249 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.9220.615–1.309 | 1.9501.280–2.819 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 96.7%88.5%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 5,512 ms4,364 ms–7,450 ms | 16,507 ms11,514 ms–19,529 ms | $0.0235$0.0223–$0.0249 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.9220.615–1.309 | 1.9501.280–2.819 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 96.7%88.5%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 5,512 ms4,364 ms–7,450 ms | 16,507 ms11,514 ms–19,529 ms | $0.0235$0.0223–$0.0249 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.9220.615–1.309 | 1.9501.280–2.819 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 96.7%88.5%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 5,512 ms4,364 ms–7,450 ms | 16,507 ms11,514 ms–19,529 ms | $0.0235$0.0223–$0.0249 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.9250.729–1.152 | 2.2421.764–2.765 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 6,557 ms5,124 ms–7,295 ms | 31,826 ms18,706 ms–40,117 ms | $0.0262$0.0247–$0.0279 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.9250.729–1.152 | 2.2421.764–2.765 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 6,557 ms5,124 ms–7,295 ms | 31,826 ms18,706 ms–40,117 ms | $0.0262$0.0247–$0.0279 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.9250.729–1.152 | 2.2421.764–2.765 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 6,557 ms5,124 ms–7,295 ms | 31,826 ms18,706 ms–40,117 ms | $0.0262$0.0247–$0.0279 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.9250.729–1.152 | 2.2421.764–2.765 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 6,557 ms5,124 ms–7,295 ms | 31,826 ms18,706 ms–40,117 ms | $0.0262$0.0247–$0.0279 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 1.0530.493–1.655 | 2.1410.891–3.861 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–10.9% | 0.0%0.0%–10.9% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 6,256 ms3,219 ms–15,568 ms | 26,917 ms7,667 ms–33,028 ms | $0.0259$0.0211–$0.0321 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 1.0530.493–1.655 | 2.1410.891–3.861 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–10.9% | 0.0%0.0%–10.9% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 6,256 ms3,219 ms–15,568 ms | 26,917 ms7,667 ms–33,028 ms | $0.0259$0.0211–$0.0321 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 1.0530.493–1.655 | 2.1410.891–3.861 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–10.9% | 0.0%0.0%–10.9% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 6,256 ms3,219 ms–15,568 ms | 26,917 ms7,667 ms–33,028 ms | $0.0259$0.0211–$0.0321 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 1.0530.493–1.655 | 2.1410.891–3.861 | 0.0%0.0%–0.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 0.0%0.0%–10.9% | 0.0%0.0%–10.9% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 6,256 ms3,219 ms–15,568 ms | 26,917 ms7,667 ms–33,028 ms | $0.0259$0.0211–$0.0321 |