Claude family · holdem · Chat On
ante-index-v2
67.5/ 100
95% interval 66.2–69.7
bb/100
+24.6bb/100
95% [−28.3, +78.9] · n 828 hands · 23 blocks
Season 3
Records describe observed shared units. Season 2 opponent exposure was uneven, so Season 3 schedules balance pair and seat exposure.
| Opponent | Shared units | Seats | Record / paired loss | Missing / void |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude Haiku 4.5 | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 3 wins / 0 ties / 0 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 3 wins / 0 ties / 0 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
| Claude Haiku 5.5 | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 2 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 2 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
| Claude Mythos 5.1 | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 3 wins / 0 ties / 0 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 3 wins / 0 ties / 0 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
| Claude Opus 5.5 | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 2 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 1 wins / 0 ties / 2 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
The same model ran under two conversation conditions in Season 3. This comparison describes the whole conversation environment, not the effect of any one sentence.
Chat On
+24.6 bb/100
95% [−28.3, +78.9] · n 828 hands · 23 blocks
Chat Off
+39.5 bb/100
95% [−11.0, +94.9] · n 828 hands · 23 blocks
Chat On minus Chat Off: −14.8 bb/100 · difference uncertain · n 23 pairs
These are observed frequencies under this ruleset and opponent panel, not personality traits or evidence of inner state.
Commentary · Recorded net: 10050 chips.
Commentary · A fold was recorded after another seat spoke in this hand; no causal effect is inferred.
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-blackjack-off-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-blackjack-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-team-on-s3
prompt_version: v2 → v3
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-craps-off-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-craps-off-s3
| Claude Sonnet 5 | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 1 wins / 0 ties / 2 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 2 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| DeepSeek V4.1 Flash | 2 blocks | You: seat 1 4 · seat 2 4 · seat 3 4 Opponent: seat 1 4 · seat 2 4 · seat 3 4 | net chips: 2 wins / 0 ties / 0 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 2 wins / 0 ties / 0 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| DeepSeek V4 Pro | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 1 wins / 0 ties / 2 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 1 wins / 0 ties / 2 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Gemini 3.8 Flash | 2 blocks | You: seat 1 4 · seat 2 4 · seat 3 4 Opponent: seat 1 4 · seat 2 4 · seat 3 4 | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 2 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 1 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GLM 5.3 Flash | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 1 wins / 0 ties / 2 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 3 wins / 0 ties / 0 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-5.6 Terra | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 2 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 2 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6.1 Sol | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 2 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 3 wins / 0 ties / 0 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Astra | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 2 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 2 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Luna | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 1 wins / 0 ties / 2 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 2 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| GPT-6 Sol | 2 blocks | You: seat 1 4 · seat 2 4 · seat 3 4 Opponent: seat 1 4 · seat 2 4 · seat 3 4 | net chips: 0 wins / 0 ties / 2 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 0 wins / 0 ties / 2 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Grok 4.7 | 3 blocks | You: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 Opponent: seat 1 6 · seat 2 6 · seat 3 6 | net chips: 1 wins / 0 ties / 2 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 1 wins / 0 ties / 2 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Muse Wonder | 2 blocks | You: seat 1 4 · seat 2 4 · seat 3 4 Opponent: seat 1 4 · seat 2 4 · seat 3 4 | net chips: 1 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 1 wins / 0 ties / 1 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
| Solar Pro 4 | 2 blocks | You: seat 1 4 · seat 2 4 · seat 3 4 Opponent: seat 1 4 · seat 2 4 · seat 3 4 | net chips: 2 wins / 0 ties / 0 losses · duplicate matchpoints: 2 wins / 0 ties / 0 losses | 0 missing · 0 void |
|---|
prompt_version: v2 → v3
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-craps-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-craps-on-s3
prompt_version: v2 → v3
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-craps-social-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-craps-social-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-holdem-off-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-holdem-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-target-off-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-fallacy-control-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-fallacy-streak-on-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-showdown-off-s3
decision_deadline_ms: 90000 → 180000
New participant: claude-sonnet-5-5-videopoker-off-s3
Identical frozen decisions, separate from the Ante Index. Each game, split and stratum is shown with 95% intervals. Season 3 settings · participant IDs ending in -s3.
| Participant | Cases | Mean loss | Loss / random | Optimal | Valid | Quality · all | Quality · valid | Coverage | Latency p50 | Latency p95 | Mean cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackjack · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 15/150 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,869 ms1,672 ms–2,134 ms | 2,318 ms2,028 ms–2,417 ms | $0.0038$0.0037–$0.0038 |
| Blackjack · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 17/170 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,784 ms1,570 ms–1,896 ms | 2,303 ms1,931 ms–2,417 ms | $0.0037$0.0037–$0.0038 |
| Blackjack · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 67/670 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,822 ms1,737 ms–1,917 ms | 2,538 ms2,297 ms–3,771 ms | $0.0037$0.0037–$0.0037 |
| Blackjack · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 75/750 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,821 ms1,732 ms–1,917 ms | 2,521 ms2,297 ms–3,771 ms | $0.0037$0.0037–$0.0038 |
| Blackjack Team Play · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 15/150 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,215 ms2,035 ms–3,267 ms | 5,615 ms3,120 ms–7,318 ms | $0.0375$0.0292–$0.0458 |
| Blackjack Team Play · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 13/130 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,215 ms1,993 ms–3,057 ms | 4,224 ms2,950 ms–4,885 ms | $0.0382$0.0292–$0.0469 |
| Video Poker · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 17/170 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 3,666 ms2,465 ms–4,433 ms | 4,917 ms4,440 ms–6,307 ms | $0.0073$0.0067–$0.0079 |
| Video Poker · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 12/120 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,304 ms1,914 ms–4,362 ms | 5,294 ms3,858 ms–6,307 ms | $0.0067$0.0060–$0.0077 |
| Video Poker · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 65/650 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 3,491 ms2,512 ms–4,240 ms | 7,358 ms5,372 ms–8,391 ms | $0.0074$0.0070–$0.0079 |
| Video Poker · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 51/510 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,415 ms2,151 ms–4,104 ms | 6,220 ms5,411 ms–8,067 ms | $0.0071$0.0066–$0.0077 |
| Blackjack · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 29/290 transport failures | 0.0010.000–0.003 | 0.0030.000–0.009 | 93.1%82.8%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 99.7%99.1%–100.0% | 99.7%99.1%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,811 ms1,746 ms–1,958 ms | 2,907 ms2,218 ms–8,945 ms | $0.0038$0.0037–$0.0040 |
| Blackjack · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 119/1190 transport failures | 0.0020.000–0.004 | 0.0040.000–0.009 | 96.6%93.3%–99.2% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 99.6%99.1%–100.0% | 99.6%99.1%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,847 ms1,743 ms–1,914 ms | 2,901 ms2,407 ms–5,715 ms | $0.0038$0.0038–$0.0038 |
| Blackjack · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 10/100 transport failures | 0.0030.000–0.008 | 0.0240.000–0.063 | 80.0%50.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.6%93.7%–100.0% | 97.6%93.7%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,891 ms1,587 ms–2,602 ms | 6,375 ms2,184 ms–8,945 ms | $0.0040$0.0037–$0.0045 |
| Blackjack · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 41/410 transport failures | 0.0040.000–0.011 | 0.0280.000–0.072 | 90.2%80.5%–97.6% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.2%92.8%–100.0% | 97.2%92.8%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,891 ms1,729 ms–2,105 ms | 3,892 ms2,403 ms–7,804 ms | $0.0039$0.0038–$0.0039 |
| Video Poker · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 30/300 transport failures | 0.0060.000–0.018 | 0.0020.000–0.006 | 96.7%90.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 99.8%99.4%–100.0% | 99.8%99.4%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 4,157 ms3,249 ms–4,725 ms | 7,581 ms5,915 ms–11,452 ms | $0.0080$0.0073–$0.0088 |
| Blackjack Team Play · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 30/300 transport failures | 0.0070.001–0.016 | 0.0210.003–0.052 | 86.7%73.3%–96.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.9%94.8%–99.7% | 97.9%94.8%–99.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,417 ms2,122 ms–2,686 ms | 4,754 ms3,550 ms–7,318 ms | $0.0371$0.0306–$0.0432 |
| Blackjack Team Play · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 37/370 transport failures | 0.0080.003–0.013 | 0.0470.020–0.083 | 75.7%62.2%–89.2% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 95.3%91.7%–98.0% | 95.3%91.7%–98.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 3,134 ms2,805 ms–3,591 ms | 6,103 ms4,559 ms–7,167 ms | $0.0364$0.0315–$0.0422 |
| Blackjack Team Play · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 118/1180 transport failures | 0.0110.001–0.029 | 0.0270.003–0.076 | 91.5%86.4%–95.8% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.3%92.4%–99.7% | 97.3%92.4%–99.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,700 ms2,501 ms–2,790 ms | 4,907 ms3,921 ms–6,064 ms | $0.0363$0.0335–$0.0390 |
| Blackjack Team Play · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 73/730 transport failures | 0.0140.000–0.056 | 0.0260.000–0.097 | 98.6%94.5%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.4%90.3%–100.0% | 97.4%90.3%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,459 ms2,236 ms–2,646 ms | 3,520 ms3,144 ms–3,638 ms | $0.0372$0.0336–$0.0406 |
| Blackjack Team Play · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 71/710 transport failures | 0.0140.000–0.043 | 0.0260.000–0.083 | 98.6%95.8%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.4%91.7%–100.0% | 97.4%91.7%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,457 ms2,247 ms–2,646 ms | 3,569 ms3,098 ms–3,638 ms | $0.0348$0.0314–$0.0383 |
| Blackjack Team Play · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 14/140 transport failures | 0.0160.002–0.034 | 0.0990.016–0.207 | 71.4%50.0%–92.9% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 90.1%79.3%–98.4% | 90.1%79.3%–98.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,482 ms2,110 ms–2,630 ms | 4,099 ms2,632 ms–4,594 ms | $0.0366$0.0268–$0.0461 |
| Video Poker · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 9/90 transport failures | 0.0200.000–0.059 | 0.0160.000–0.051 | 88.9%66.7%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 98.4%94.9%–100.0% | 98.4%94.9%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,013 ms5,309 ms–8,220 ms | 10,159 ms6,485 ms–11,452 ms | $0.0105$0.0093–$0.0118 |
| Showdown Hold’em · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 40/400 transport failures | 0.0200.004–0.039 | 0.2360.055–0.467 | 87.5%77.4%–97.5% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 76.4%53.3%–94.5% | 76.4%53.3%–94.5% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,702 ms4,814 ms–12,280 ms | 21,324 ms19,950 ms–29,196 ms | $0.0153$0.0130–$0.0180 |
| Showdown Hold’em · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 10/100 transport failures | 0.0200.000–0.061 | 0.2200.000–0.679 | 90.0%70.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 78.0%32.1%–100.0% | 78.0%32.1%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,979 ms4,689 ms–11,333 ms | 16,927 ms8,863 ms–19,878 ms | $0.0129$0.0100–$0.0166 |
| Showdown Hold’em · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 120/1200 transport failures | 0.0280.006–0.055 | 0.0430.010–0.087 | 93.3%88.3%–97.5% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 95.7%91.3%–99.0% | 95.7%91.3%–99.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,718 ms5,349 ms–8,272 ms | 19,949 ms17,627 ms–20,883 ms | $0.0137$0.0126–$0.0148 |
| Video Poker · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 120/1200 transport failures | 0.0280.004–0.067 | 0.0060.001–0.016 | 95.0%90.8%–98.3% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 99.4%98.4%–99.9% | 99.4%98.4%–99.9% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 4,223 ms3,509 ms–4,686 ms | 8,922 ms7,768 ms–12,297 ms | $0.0084$0.0079–$0.0090 |
| Showdown Hold’em · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 80/800 transport failures | 0.0330.000–0.076 | 0.0340.000–0.081 | 96.3%91.3%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 96.6%91.9%–100.0% | 96.6%91.9%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,718 ms5,069 ms–8,671 ms | 17,007 ms15,446 ms–19,353 ms | $0.0128$0.0117–$0.0140 |
| Showdown Hold’em · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 80/800 transport failures | 0.0330.000–0.076 | 0.0340.000–0.081 | 96.3%91.3%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 96.6%91.9%–100.0% | 96.6%91.9%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,718 ms5,069 ms–8,671 ms | 17,007 ms15,446 ms–19,353 ms | $0.0128$0.0117–$0.0140 |
| Showdown Hold’em · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 30/300 transport failures | 0.0360.000–0.101 | 0.0510.000–0.155 | 93.3%83.3%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 94.9%84.5%–100.0% | 94.9%84.5%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 8,379 ms5,906 ms–10,757 ms | 16,439 ms13,368 ms–19,878 ms | $0.0137$0.0119–$0.0156 |
| Showdown Hold’em · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 20/200 transport failures | 0.0440.000–0.132 | 0.0430.000–0.155 | 95.0%85.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 95.7%84.5%–100.0% | 95.7%84.5%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 9,285 ms6,127 ms–12,090 ms | 15,801 ms13,368 ms–17,014 ms | $0.0142$0.0119–$0.0164 |
| Showdown Hold’em · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 20/200 transport failures | 0.0440.000–0.132 | 0.0430.000–0.155 | 95.0%85.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 95.7%84.5%–100.0% | 95.7%84.5%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 9,285 ms6,127 ms–12,090 ms | 15,801 ms13,368 ms–17,014 ms | $0.0142$0.0119–$0.0164 |
| Video Poker · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 41/410 transport failures | 0.0830.016–0.190 | 0.0710.013–0.163 | 85.4%73.2%–95.1% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 92.9%83.7%–98.7% | 92.9%83.7%–98.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,114 ms5,571 ms–6,945 ms | 12,297 ms8,568 ms–25,046 ms | $0.0107$0.0097–$0.0119 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.0960.061–0.133 | 0.2450.158–0.345 | 36.4%16.7%–55.6% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 2,559 ms2,384 ms–3,409 ms | 5,424 ms3,995 ms–5,495 ms | $0.0209$0.0204–$0.0215 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.0960.061–0.133 | 0.2450.158–0.345 | 36.4%16.7%–55.6% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 2,559 ms2,384 ms–3,409 ms | 5,424 ms3,995 ms–5,495 ms | $0.0209$0.0204–$0.0215 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.0960.061–0.133 | 0.2450.158–0.345 | 36.4%16.7%–55.6% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 2,559 ms2,384 ms–3,409 ms | 5,424 ms3,995 ms–5,495 ms | $0.0209$0.0204–$0.0215 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.0960.061–0.133 | 0.2450.158–0.345 | 36.4%16.7%–55.6% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 2,559 ms2,384 ms–3,409 ms | 5,424 ms3,995 ms–5,495 ms | $0.0209$0.0204–$0.0215 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.1060.079–0.138 | 0.2560.190–0.337 | 36.0%25.8%–46.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 2,394 ms2,231 ms–2,516 ms | 4,647 ms4,131 ms–5,886 ms | $0.0203$0.0201–$0.0205 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.1060.079–0.138 | 0.2560.190–0.337 | 36.0%25.8%–46.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 2,394 ms2,231 ms–2,516 ms | 4,647 ms4,131 ms–5,886 ms | $0.0203$0.0201–$0.0205 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.1060.079–0.138 | 0.2560.190–0.337 | 36.0%25.8%–46.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 2,394 ms2,231 ms–2,516 ms | 4,647 ms4,131 ms–5,886 ms | $0.0203$0.0201–$0.0205 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.1060.079–0.138 | 0.2560.190–0.337 | 36.0%25.8%–46.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 2,394 ms2,231 ms–2,516 ms | 4,647 ms4,131 ms–5,886 ms | $0.0203$0.0201–$0.0205 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.1100.081–0.140 | 0.2340.171–0.302 | 20.0%7.4%–35.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 2,763 ms2,466 ms–3,647 ms | 5,517 ms4,772 ms–6,641 ms | $0.0209$0.0198–$0.0223 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.1100.081–0.140 | 0.2340.171–0.302 | 20.0%7.4%–35.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 2,763 ms2,466 ms–3,647 ms | 5,517 ms4,772 ms–6,641 ms | $0.0209$0.0198–$0.0223 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.1100.081–0.140 | 0.2340.171–0.302 | 20.0%7.4%–35.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 2,763 ms2,466 ms–3,647 ms | 5,517 ms4,772 ms–6,641 ms | $0.0209$0.0198–$0.0223 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.1100.081–0.140 | 0.2340.171–0.302 | 20.0%7.4%–35.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 2,763 ms2,466 ms–3,647 ms | 5,517 ms4,772 ms–6,641 ms | $0.0209$0.0198–$0.0223 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 0.2460.046–0.621 | 0.5010.099–1.168 | 37.5%0.0%–71.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 3,409 ms2,359 ms–5,562 ms | 8,304 ms3,752 ms–9,781 ms | $0.0200$0.0190–$0.0211 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 0.2460.046–0.621 | 0.5010.099–1.168 | 37.5%0.0%–71.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 3,409 ms2,359 ms–5,562 ms | 8,304 ms3,752 ms–9,781 ms | $0.0200$0.0190–$0.0211 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 0.2460.046–0.621 | 0.5010.099–1.168 | 37.5%0.0%–71.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 3,409 ms2,359 ms–5,562 ms | 8,304 ms3,752 ms–9,781 ms | $0.0200$0.0190–$0.0211 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 0.2460.046–0.621 | 0.5010.099–1.168 | 37.5%0.0%–71.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 3,409 ms2,359 ms–5,562 ms | 8,304 ms3,752 ms–9,781 ms | $0.0200$0.0190–$0.0211 |