Claude family · craps · Chat On
ante-index-v1
67.7/ 100
95% interval 66.3–69.8
Records describe observed shared units. Season 2 opponent exposure was uneven, so Season 3 schedules balance pair and seat exposure.
No opponent records are published for this season.
These are observed frequencies under this ruleset and opponent panel, not personality traits or evidence of inner state.
No representative scenes are published yet.
No configuration changes are recorded.
| Condition | Follow control | Follow pressure | Susceptibility | Pairs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| craps social | 29.0% | 27.5% | 0.0 pp | 200 |
| roulette fallacy | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0 pp | 200 |
Loss against the covered reference, compared with a random player. Lower loss is better.
Excluded from Edge: Roulette (exhibition).
Identical frozen decisions, separate from the Ante Index. Each game, split and stratum is shown with 95% intervals. Season 3 settings · participant IDs ending in -s3.
| Participant | Cases | Mean loss | Loss / random | Optimal | Valid | Quality · all | Quality · valid | Coverage | Latency p50 | Latency p95 | Mean cost |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blackjack · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 15/150 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,869 ms1,672 ms–2,134 ms | 2,318 ms2,028 ms–2,417 ms | $0.0038$0.0037–$0.0038 |
| Blackjack · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 17/170 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,784 ms1,570 ms–1,896 ms | 2,303 ms1,931 ms–2,417 ms | $0.0037$0.0037–$0.0038 |
| Blackjack · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 67/670 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,822 ms1,737 ms–1,917 ms | 2,538 ms2,297 ms–3,771 ms | $0.0037$0.0037–$0.0037 |
| Blackjack · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 75/750 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,821 ms1,732 ms–1,917 ms | 2,521 ms2,297 ms–3,771 ms | $0.0037$0.0037–$0.0038 |
| Blackjack Team Play · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 15/150 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,215 ms2,035 ms–3,267 ms | 5,615 ms3,120 ms–7,318 ms | $0.0375$0.0292–$0.0458 |
| Blackjack Team Play · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 13/130 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,215 ms1,993 ms–3,057 ms | 4,224 ms2,950 ms–4,885 ms | $0.0382$0.0292–$0.0469 |
| Video Poker · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 17/170 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 3,666 ms2,465 ms–4,433 ms | 4,917 ms4,440 ms–6,307 ms | $0.0073$0.0067–$0.0079 |
| Video Poker · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 12/120 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,304 ms1,914 ms–4,362 ms | 5,294 ms3,858 ms–6,307 ms | $0.0067$0.0060–$0.0077 |
| Video Poker · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 65/650 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 3,491 ms2,512 ms–4,240 ms | 7,358 ms5,372 ms–8,391 ms | $0.0074$0.0070–$0.0079 |
| Video Poker · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 51/510 transport failures | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 0.0000.000–0.000 | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,415 ms2,151 ms–4,104 ms | 6,220 ms5,411 ms–8,067 ms | $0.0071$0.0066–$0.0077 |
| Blackjack · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 29/290 transport failures | 0.0010.000–0.003 | 0.0030.000–0.009 | 93.1%82.8%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 99.7%99.1%–100.0% | 99.7%99.1%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,811 ms1,746 ms–1,958 ms | 2,907 ms2,218 ms–8,945 ms | $0.0038$0.0037–$0.0040 |
| Blackjack · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 119/1190 transport failures | 0.0020.000–0.004 | 0.0040.000–0.009 | 96.6%93.3%–99.2% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 99.6%99.1%–100.0% | 99.6%99.1%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,847 ms1,743 ms–1,914 ms | 2,901 ms2,407 ms–5,715 ms | $0.0038$0.0038–$0.0038 |
| Blackjack · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 10/100 transport failures | 0.0030.000–0.008 | 0.0240.000–0.063 | 80.0%50.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.6%93.7%–100.0% | 97.6%93.7%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,891 ms1,587 ms–2,602 ms | 6,375 ms2,184 ms–8,945 ms | $0.0040$0.0037–$0.0045 |
| Blackjack · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 41/410 transport failures | 0.0040.000–0.011 | 0.0280.000–0.072 | 90.2%80.5%–97.6% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.2%92.8%–100.0% | 97.2%92.8%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 1,891 ms1,729 ms–2,105 ms | 3,892 ms2,403 ms–7,804 ms | $0.0039$0.0038–$0.0039 |
| Video Poker · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 30/300 transport failures | 0.0060.000–0.018 | 0.0020.000–0.006 | 96.7%90.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 99.8%99.4%–100.0% | 99.8%99.4%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 4,157 ms3,249 ms–4,725 ms | 7,581 ms5,915 ms–11,452 ms | $0.0080$0.0073–$0.0088 |
| Blackjack Team Play · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 30/300 transport failures | 0.0070.001–0.016 | 0.0210.003–0.052 | 86.7%73.3%–96.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.9%94.8%–99.7% | 97.9%94.8%–99.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,417 ms2,122 ms–2,686 ms | 4,754 ms3,550 ms–7,318 ms | $0.0371$0.0306–$0.0432 |
| Blackjack Team Play · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 37/370 transport failures | 0.0080.003–0.013 | 0.0470.020–0.083 | 75.7%62.2%–89.2% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 95.3%91.7%–98.0% | 95.3%91.7%–98.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 3,134 ms2,805 ms–3,591 ms | 6,103 ms4,559 ms–7,167 ms | $0.0364$0.0315–$0.0422 |
| Blackjack Team Play · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 118/1180 transport failures | 0.0110.001–0.029 | 0.0270.003–0.076 | 91.5%86.4%–95.8% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.3%92.4%–99.7% | 97.3%92.4%–99.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,700 ms2,501 ms–2,790 ms | 4,907 ms3,921 ms–6,064 ms | $0.0363$0.0335–$0.0390 |
| Blackjack Team Play · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 73/730 transport failures | 0.0140.000–0.056 | 0.0260.000–0.097 | 98.6%94.5%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.4%90.3%–100.0% | 97.4%90.3%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,459 ms2,236 ms–2,646 ms | 3,520 ms3,144 ms–3,638 ms | $0.0372$0.0336–$0.0406 |
| Blackjack Team Play · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 71/710 transport failures | 0.0140.000–0.043 | 0.0260.000–0.083 | 98.6%95.8%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 97.4%91.7%–100.0% | 97.4%91.7%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,457 ms2,247 ms–2,646 ms | 3,569 ms3,098 ms–3,638 ms | $0.0348$0.0314–$0.0383 |
| Blackjack Team Play · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 14/140 transport failures | 0.0160.002–0.034 | 0.0990.016–0.207 | 71.4%50.0%–92.9% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 90.1%79.3%–98.4% | 90.1%79.3%–98.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 2,482 ms2,110 ms–2,630 ms | 4,099 ms2,632 ms–4,594 ms | $0.0366$0.0268–$0.0461 |
| Video Poker · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 9/90 transport failures | 0.0200.000–0.059 | 0.0160.000–0.051 | 88.9%66.7%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 98.4%94.9%–100.0% | 98.4%94.9%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,013 ms5,309 ms–8,220 ms | 10,159 ms6,485 ms–11,452 ms | $0.0105$0.0093–$0.0118 |
| Showdown Hold’em · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 40/400 transport failures | 0.0200.004–0.039 | 0.2360.055–0.467 | 87.5%77.4%–97.5% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 76.4%53.3%–94.5% | 76.4%53.3%–94.5% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,702 ms4,814 ms–12,280 ms | 21,324 ms19,950 ms–29,196 ms | $0.0153$0.0130–$0.0180 |
| Showdown Hold’em · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 10/100 transport failures | 0.0200.000–0.061 | 0.2200.000–0.679 | 90.0%70.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 78.0%32.1%–100.0% | 78.0%32.1%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,979 ms4,689 ms–11,333 ms | 16,927 ms8,863 ms–19,878 ms | $0.0129$0.0100–$0.0166 |
| Showdown Hold’em · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 120/1200 transport failures | 0.0280.006–0.055 | 0.0430.010–0.087 | 93.3%88.3%–97.5% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 95.7%91.3%–99.0% | 95.7%91.3%–99.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,718 ms5,349 ms–8,272 ms | 19,949 ms17,627 ms–20,883 ms | $0.0137$0.0126–$0.0148 |
| Video Poker · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 120/1200 transport failures | 0.0280.004–0.067 | 0.0060.001–0.016 | 95.0%90.8%–98.3% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 99.4%98.4%–99.9% | 99.4%98.4%–99.9% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 4,223 ms3,509 ms–4,686 ms | 8,922 ms7,768 ms–12,297 ms | $0.0084$0.0079–$0.0090 |
| Showdown Hold’em · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 80/800 transport failures | 0.0330.000–0.076 | 0.0340.000–0.081 | 96.3%91.3%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 96.6%91.9%–100.0% | 96.6%91.9%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,718 ms5,069 ms–8,671 ms | 17,007 ms15,446 ms–19,353 ms | $0.0128$0.0117–$0.0140 |
| Showdown Hold’em · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 80/800 transport failures | 0.0330.000–0.076 | 0.0340.000–0.081 | 96.3%91.3%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 96.6%91.9%–100.0% | 96.6%91.9%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,718 ms5,069 ms–8,671 ms | 17,007 ms15,446 ms–19,353 ms | $0.0128$0.0117–$0.0140 |
| Showdown Hold’em · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 30/300 transport failures | 0.0360.000–0.101 | 0.0510.000–0.155 | 93.3%83.3%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 94.9%84.5%–100.0% | 94.9%84.5%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 8,379 ms5,906 ms–10,757 ms | 16,439 ms13,368 ms–19,878 ms | $0.0137$0.0119–$0.0156 |
| Showdown Hold’em · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 20/200 transport failures | 0.0440.000–0.132 | 0.0430.000–0.155 | 95.0%85.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 95.7%84.5%–100.0% | 95.7%84.5%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 9,285 ms6,127 ms–12,090 ms | 15,801 ms13,368 ms–17,014 ms | $0.0142$0.0119–$0.0164 |
| Showdown Hold’em · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 20/200 transport failures | 0.0440.000–0.132 | 0.0430.000–0.155 | 95.0%85.0%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 95.7%84.5%–100.0% | 95.7%84.5%–100.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 9,285 ms6,127 ms–12,090 ms | 15,801 ms13,368 ms–17,014 ms | $0.0142$0.0119–$0.0164 |
| Video Poker · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 41/410 transport failures | 0.0830.016–0.190 | 0.0710.013–0.163 | 85.4%73.2%–95.1% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 92.9%83.7%–98.7% | 92.9%83.7%–98.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 6,114 ms5,571 ms–6,945 ms | 12,297 ms8,568 ms–25,046 ms | $0.0107$0.0097–$0.0119 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.0960.061–0.133 | 0.2450.158–0.345 | 36.4%16.7%–55.6% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 2,559 ms2,384 ms–3,409 ms | 5,424 ms3,995 ms–5,495 ms | $0.0209$0.0204–$0.0215 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.0960.061–0.133 | 0.2450.158–0.345 | 36.4%16.7%–55.6% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 2,559 ms2,384 ms–3,409 ms | 5,424 ms3,995 ms–5,495 ms | $0.0209$0.0204–$0.0215 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.0960.061–0.133 | 0.2450.158–0.345 | 36.4%16.7%–55.6% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 2,559 ms2,384 ms–3,409 ms | 5,424 ms3,995 ms–5,495 ms | $0.0209$0.0204–$0.0215 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 22/300 transport failures | 0.0960.061–0.133 | 0.2450.158–0.345 | 36.4%16.7%–55.6% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 75.5%65.5%–84.2% | 73.3%56.7%–86.7% | 2,559 ms2,384 ms–3,409 ms | 5,424 ms3,995 ms–5,495 ms | $0.0209$0.0204–$0.0215 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.1060.079–0.138 | 0.2560.190–0.337 | 36.0%25.8%–46.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 2,394 ms2,231 ms–2,516 ms | 4,647 ms4,131 ms–5,886 ms | $0.0203$0.0201–$0.0205 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.1060.079–0.138 | 0.2560.190–0.337 | 36.0%25.8%–46.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 2,394 ms2,231 ms–2,516 ms | 4,647 ms4,131 ms–5,886 ms | $0.0203$0.0201–$0.0205 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.1060.079–0.138 | 0.2560.190–0.337 | 36.0%25.8%–46.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 2,394 ms2,231 ms–2,516 ms | 4,647 ms4,131 ms–5,886 ms | $0.0203$0.0201–$0.0205 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 89/1190 transport failures | 0.1060.079–0.138 | 0.2560.190–0.337 | 36.0%25.8%–46.0% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.4%66.3%–81.0% | 74.8%67.2%–81.5% | 2,394 ms2,231 ms–2,516 ms | 4,647 ms4,131 ms–5,886 ms | $0.0203$0.0201–$0.0205 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.1100.081–0.140 | 0.2340.171–0.302 | 20.0%7.4%–35.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 2,763 ms2,466 ms–3,647 ms | 5,517 ms4,772 ms–6,641 ms | $0.0209$0.0198–$0.0223 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.1100.081–0.140 | 0.2340.171–0.302 | 20.0%7.4%–35.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 2,763 ms2,466 ms–3,647 ms | 5,517 ms4,772 ms–6,641 ms | $0.0209$0.0198–$0.0223 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.1100.081–0.140 | 0.2340.171–0.302 | 20.0%7.4%–35.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 2,763 ms2,466 ms–3,647 ms | 5,517 ms4,772 ms–6,641 ms | $0.0209$0.0198–$0.0223 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · sealed | 30/1190 transport failures | 0.1100.081–0.140 | 0.2340.171–0.302 | 20.0%7.4%–35.7% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 76.6%69.8%–82.9% | 25.2%18.5%–32.8% | 2,763 ms2,466 ms–3,647 ms | 5,517 ms4,772 ms–6,641 ms | $0.0209$0.0198–$0.0223 |
| Craps · overallClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 0.2460.046–0.621 | 0.5010.099–1.168 | 37.5%0.0%–71.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 3,409 ms2,359 ms–5,562 ms | 8,304 ms3,752 ms–9,781 ms | $0.0200$0.0190–$0.0211 |
| Craps · easyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 0.2460.046–0.621 | 0.5010.099–1.168 | 37.5%0.0%–71.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 3,409 ms2,359 ms–5,562 ms | 8,304 ms3,752 ms–9,781 ms | $0.0200$0.0190–$0.0211 |
| Craps · borderlineClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 0.2460.046–0.621 | 0.5010.099–1.168 | 37.5%0.0%–71.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 3,409 ms2,359 ms–5,562 ms | 8,304 ms3,752 ms–9,781 ms | $0.0200$0.0190–$0.0211 |
| Craps · costlyClaude Sonnet 5.5 · calibration | 8/300 transport failures | 0.2460.046–0.621 | 0.5010.099–1.168 | 37.5%0.0%–71.4% | 100.0%100.0%–100.0% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 49.9%0.0%–90.1% | 26.7%13.3%–43.3% | 3,409 ms2,359 ms–5,562 ms | 8,304 ms3,752 ms–9,781 ms | $0.0200$0.0190–$0.0211 |