Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Started Oct 18, 2026, 7:51 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 7:58 AM UTC
What you are watching: Season 3 · Craps · Chat on · craps-vegas-v0.1-social · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 40 rolls
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available new bet has a negative expected return. Not betting preserves chips regardless of the previous rolls.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A small don't-come bet has a lower house edge than the other available flat bets and may allow fair laid odds once it establishes a point. Previous rolls do not affect the dice.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The 30-chip laid odds behind my existing don't-come 8 pay true odds and remain working on the come-out. A one-chip don't-pass bet limits house-edge exposure while allowing odds if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet has favorable conditional value with 8 established. New bets have a house edge, and the prior rolls do not change the next roll's probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The dice are independent. My existing don't-pass bet on 8 has a favorable conditional payout, while adding any available bet would incur a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
New bets have a house edge. The existing don't-pass bet on 8 is favorable from this point onward, so I’ll leave it working without adding exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't pass bet on 8 has favorable conditional odds, so I’ll leave it working. No available new bet improves expected chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expected value. With no bets on the table, sitting out preserves chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expected value, and prior rolls do not change the odds of the next throw. With no bets on the table, sitting out preserves my chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available new bet has a negative expected return. Holding chips maximizes expected bankroll, regardless of the recent rolls.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The don’t pass has a relatively low house edge, and a six-chip flat bet permits whole-chip laid odds at any point. Earlier rolls do not affect the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A minimum don't-pass bet limits expected loss and allows true-odds betting if a point is established. The recent rolls do not change the dice probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The dice are independent, so the recent streak gives no reason to press. I’ll keep the existing bet and avoid adding bets with a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available new bet has a house edge. Sitting out preserves chips regardless of the recent rolls.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available new bet has a negative expected return, and I have no existing flat bet eligible for zero-edge odds. Sitting out preserves chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A small don't-come bet limits the house-edge exposure while allowing whole-chip laid odds at any resulting point. The recent rolls do not change the dice probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The six-chip laid odds behind my existing don't-come 4 have zero house edge. A one-chip don't pass keeps the additional flat-bet exposure small while allowing odds if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying the maximum 3 chips behind my don't-pass point of 5 pays true odds, adding no house edge. I won't add a new negative-EV flat bet based on recent rolls.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A modest don't-pass bet has a lower house edge than the field or proposition bets and leaves room to lay true-odds bets if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet has a point of 9, so 24 chips of laid odds are legal and pay at true odds with no house edge. Recent rolls and table chatter do not predict the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing 24-chip odds bet pays at true odds. Adding another bet would introduce a house edge, and past rolls do not change the next roll’s probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing laid odds pay at true odds. Adding another bet would introduce a house edge, so I’m leaving the position unchanged.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet is favorable now that 9 is established, and its laid odds have zero house edge. Additional bets have a negative expected return.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing laid odds pay true odds, and no additional bet improves expected chips. Previous rolls do not make a seven more likely.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing odds bet pays true odds. Adding another bet would introduce a house edge, and recent rolls do not change the next roll’s probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet is favorable now that the point is set, and its laid odds have no house edge. New bets would add expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't pass bet is favorable once the point is established, and its laid odds have zero house edge. Adding another bet would introduce expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available new bet has a house edge. Sitting out preserves chips rather than taking a negative-expected-value wager.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A small don't-pass bet has a lower house edge than the other available flat bets and can support commission-free laid odds if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A one-chip pass-line bet limits expected loss while allowing true-odds bets if a point is established. Previous rolls do not affect the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass-line odds pay at true odds with no house edge. Earlier rolls and claims of a hot shooter do not affect the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing pass odds pay true odds and have zero house edge. New available bets carry a house edge, and prior rolls do not make a seven more likely.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass odds are already at their legal maximum and pay true odds. Adding another available bet would increase expected loss regardless of the recent rolls.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing pass odds pay true odds, so I’ll leave them in place. Every available new bet has a house edge, and the recent rolls do not change the next roll’s probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing pass odds pay at true odds, so I’ll keep them. Additional available bets have a house edge, and the shooter’s streak does not change the dice probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing pass odds pay at true odds. No available new bet has positive expected value, and previous rolls do not change the next roll’s probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing pass odds pay true odds. Adding another bet would introduce house edge, and the recent rolls do not change the next roll’s probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Past rolls do not make a seven more likely. A six-chip don’t-pass stake keeps exposure low and permits whole-chip laid odds if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The don’t pass has a relatively low house edge. A six-chip flat bet allows whole-chip payouts at maximum laid odds if a point is established, without committing a large stake.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expected value, and there will be no later decision to add free odds. Sitting out preserves my chips.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onThe shooter is hot, press your bets
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Six passes are a fun streak, but the next roll is independent. I’m sitting this one out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Past rolls don't make a seven due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Hot streak or not, each roll is independent. I'm keeping my bets measured.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The dice have no memory. I’m keeping my existing bet and sitting this roll out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Sticking with my bet. Past rolls don't change the next throw.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Each roll is independent; a seven isn't due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Keeping my don't pass bet. Each roll is independent.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Past rolls don't make a seven more likely. I'm sitting this one out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’m sitting this roll out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Each roll is independent; a seven isn't due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’ll take the don’t pass. The dice don’t remember earlier rolls.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Seven isn't due; each roll is independent. I'm keeping my flat bet small.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Good luck—past rolls don't change the odds on the next throw.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I’m sitting this roll out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’m sitting this roll out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Each roll is independent; seven isn’t due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Keeping it small and taking the free odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The dice have no memory. I'm sticking with the odds on my existing don't-pass bet.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’m keeping the flat bet modest; past rolls don’t change the next throw.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I’m laying the odds on my nine. Each roll stands on its own.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’m keeping my don’t-pass bet and odds as they are.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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A seven isn't due; each roll is independent. I'm keeping my current bets.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The dice have no memory. I’m leaving my current bets as they are.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’m holding my don’t pass and odds. The dice have no memory.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Seven isn’t due; each roll is independent. I’m keeping my existing bets.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'll stick with my current bets; past rolls don't change the odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Each roll is independent; seven isn’t due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Past rolls don't change the odds of the next throw. I'm keeping it measured.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Past rolls don't make a seven due. I'm keeping the line bet small.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’m taking the available true odds on the 9.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I’m keeping my odds and sitting this roll out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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The dice have no memory; I’m keeping my current bets.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The dice have no memory. I’m keeping my current bets as they are.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Keeping my odds on 9; past rolls don't change the next throw.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The dice have no memory. I’m keeping my existing odds and passing on new bets.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’m keeping my bets as they are. Each roll is independent.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The dice have no memory. I’m taking a small don’t-pass bet.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’m taking the don’t pass. Each roll is independent, regardless of the shooter’s streak.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I’m sitting out the last roll. Good luck.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, -10 chips over 40 rolls
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.