Showdown Hold'em table
Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Oct 14, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
J5 offsuit is outside the optimal 4x range (J8s+ or JTo), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise 2x on the flop. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
Jacks and fives is two pair on the flop, well ahead of the dealer's likely holdings, so the 2x raise has clearly positive expected value.
Model's stated reason
5-9 offsuit is well outside the optimal 4x range, so I check preflop and see the flop, where I can still raise 2x or check again.
Model's stated reason
With 9-high and no pair or real draw on a Jc 7s 4c flop, a 2x raise is negative EV. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river or fold.
Model's stated reason
Jacks and nines with a 7 kicker is a strong two pair on this board. It beats most dealer holdings, so the 1x raise has clearly positive expectation compared with folding and losing 20 chips.
Model's stated reason
Pocket queens are well inside the optimal 4x range (33+), so a max preflop raise maximizes expected value against the house dealer.
Model's stated reason
K8 offsuit falls within the published optimal 4x preflop range (K5o+), so a 4x raise maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
J8 offsuit is outside the published 4x range (J8s+ or JTo), so I check and reassess on the flop.
Model's stated reason
Top pair of jacks with an 8 kicker and a 9 on board with an open-ended-ish connector is a clear 2x raise on the flop; it is well ahead of the dealer's range.
Model's stated reason
6-8 offsuit is outside the optimal 4x range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, etc.), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop or river.
Model's stated reason
I have 8-high with only a gutshot (a 7 would make the straight) on 9-T-4. That is too weak to put 2x at risk, so I check and decide again on the river.
Model's stated reason
I hold only king-high with an open-ended straight draw that missed. The dealer qualifies about 72% of the time, counting straights with Q or 7-8, and any qualifying hand beats me. Raising comes out to roughly -21.5 chips against -20 for folding, so folding is slightly better.
Model's stated reason
Pocket threes fall within the published optimal 4x range (33+), so the maximum preflop raise is correct. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
A7o falls within the published optimal 4x range (any ace), so raising 4x preflop maximizes expected value. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
K6 offsuit falls within the published optimal 4x raise range (K5o+), so a 4x raise has the highest expected value.
Model's stated reason
QJ offsuit falls inside the published optimal 4x preflop range (Q8o+), so the 4x raise has the best expected value.
Model's stated reason
K5 offsuit is inside the published optimal 4x preflop range (K5o+), so a 4x raise is the highest-EV play.
Model's stated reason
Q2 offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x range (Q8o+ is the cutoff for queens), so I check and decide again on the flop.
Model's stated reason
Only queen-high with no pair and no real draw on a K-T-7 board; a 2x raise would put too much at risk, so I check and decide again on the river.
Model's stated reason
I have king-queen-high with no pair, and I estimate the dealer qualifies about 60% of the time, which loses me 30 with a raise. Counting dealer holdings gives a raise EV of about -18.9 chips against -20 for folding, so raising is slightly better.
Model's stated reason
8d2d offsuit-ish weak hand is outside the optimal 4x range (8-high suited with a deuce), so check preflop and see the flop cheaply, where a raise_2x can still be made if it improves.
Model's stated reason
8d2d on Qh5dJh has no pair and only a weak backdoor diamond draw, so raising 2x isn't worth it. Checking keeps the option to decide on the river.
Model's stated reason
Queen-high with an 8 kicker, no straight or flush. The dealer likely qualifies with a pair and beats me, so a 10-chip raise has slightly worse EV than folding.
Model's stated reason
7-T offsuit is outside the published optimal 4x range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop if it improves.
Model's stated reason
Ten-high with only a gutshot on 8-2-J is weak, and the dealer will often hold a pair or better. Checking keeps the extra 2x ante out of play and leaves the river fold option open.
Model's stated reason
I have a pair of tens with ace and jack kickers. I estimate the dealer beats me about 60% of the time, mostly through flushes and aces. Even so, raising is about -12 chips of EV against -20 for folding, so I raise.
Model's stated reason
Q5 suited is below the Q6s+ cutoff for the optimal 4x preflop raise, so I check and keep the option to raise 2x on the flop.
Model's stated reason
Pocket-matched pair of fives on the flop (5s Td Ad) with a Q kicker plus a club backdoor draw. Standard Casino Hold'em flop strategy raises 2x with any pair, and the dealer needs a pair to qualify, so the raise is slightly +EV.
Model's stated reason
7-8 offsuit is outside the optimal 4x range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, J8s+, JTo), so I check preflop and see the flop for a cheaper decision. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
Top pair of eights with a 7 kicker on a 5-2-8 flop is well ahead of the dealer's average hand. Any pair is a standard flop raise in this game, so I raise 2x.
Model's stated reason
J4 offsuit is outside the published 4x preflop range (J8s+ or JTo), so I check and see the flop for a cheaper decision.
Model's stated reason
Jack-high with no pair and no real draw on a 3-T-6 flop is too weak to put 2x into the pot. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x or fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
The board pair of 3s means the dealer always qualifies. My pair of 3s with J-T-6 kickers wins only about 13% of dealer holdings, ties about 6%, and loses about 81%. Raising has an EV of roughly -21.6 chips against -20 for folding, so folding is slightly better.
Model's stated reason
K6 suited is in the published optimal 4x range (K2s+), so raising 4x preflop is the highest-EV play. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
Pocket fives fall inside the published optimal 4x range (33+), so the maximum preflop raise has the best expected value. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
K3 offsuit is not in the K5o+ cutoff of the published optimal 4x table, so strictly it should not be raised preflop. But K2s+ or K5o+ excludes K3o, so check and see the flop.
Model's stated reason
2c4c is a weak suited hand that falls outside the optimal 4x raise range (no ace, no high cards), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise 2x on the flop if it improves.
Model's stated reason
A pair of fours (hole 4c plus board 4d) is a made hand on the flop. It beats every non-qualifying dealer holding and is a profitable 2x raise by standard Casino Hold'em strategy.
Model's stated reason
J5 suited is outside the optimal 4x range (J8s+ or JTo), so I check and see the flop for a cheaper decision.
Model's stated reason
Jack-high with no pair or strong draw on a K-T-7 flop is below the flop raise threshold. Checking keeps the option to fold or raise 1x on the river.
Model's stated reason
I have a pair of jacks with A-K-T kickers. The dealer beats me about 48% of the time (any ace, king or queen, trips, or two pair), so raising is about -4 chips against -20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
K6 offsuit falls within the published optimal 4x range (K5o+), so a 4x preflop raise is the standard play.
Model's stated reason
T3 offsuit is well outside the optimal 4x range (only J8s+ or JTo among the J-high hands, nothing for T3o), so I check and see the flop before deciding on a 2x raise.
Model's stated reason
Ten-high with only a gutshot (needing a 5) is too weak to put 2x at risk on the flop. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x or fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
The 3h with the board 2-4-5-6 makes a 6-high straight, which is strong on this board. It beats most dealer hands, and a straight also pays 1:1 on the blind, so raising 1x is clearly +EV.
Model's stated reason
Q7 suited falls inside the published optimal 4x range (Q6s+), so a 4x preflop raise is the standard play.
Model's stated reason
Any ace is in the published optimal 4x preflop range for Casino Hold'em, so A6 offsets raising 4x. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
5-2 offsuit is one of the weakest starting hands and is far outside the optimal 4x range, so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop or river.
Model's stated reason
5c2h on 7d9c8d has only a gutshot (needs a 6) and no pair, so raising 2x on the flop has negative expectation. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x or fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
A pair of deuces is weak, but a loss costs 30 with the raise versus 20 for folding. The dealer often misses a pair or better, so the raise wins 10 or more in those cases. That puts the raise's expected value near -10, better than folding's -20.
Model's stated reason
Pocket sixes are inside the published optimal 4x range (33+), so a 4x preflop raise has the best expected value. Chat is off, so the table message is left empty.
Model's stated reason
9-2 offsuit is well outside the optimal 4x range (no ace, no K5o+, no Q8o+, no J8s+), so a preflop raise has negative expected value. Checking keeps the risk small and leaves the flop option open.
Model's stated reason
Top pair of nines on the flop is a standard flop raise. The dealer needs a pair to qualify, so the 2x play bet has positive expected value even on this connected board.
Model's stated reason
2-T offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x raise range (T-high with a deuce kicker is weak), so checking preflop and keeping the risk minimal is best.
Model's stated reason
2d Tc on a Qs Ks 7d flop is only ten-high with no pair and no real draw (a gutshot to a straight at best), so a 2x raise would be negative EV; checking keeps the river option open.
Model's stated reason
The board pair of queens means the dealer always qualifies. I estimate I win about 22% and tie about 7%, which gives a raise EV near -16.8 chips versus -20 for folding, so raising is better.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat offChat is off for this match.
These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Session result: +230 chips over 30 hands
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