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Craps table

Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC

1 of 80 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets carry a negative expected value, so the optimal chip-maximizing action is to preserve bankroll and place no bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No positive expected value bets are available; all offered bets have a house edge, so I preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't come has the lowest house edge among available bets (about 1.36%) and can be followed with zero-edge lay odds once a point is set, reducing average expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Laying max true-odds behind the existing don't come 10 adds no house edge and improves odds utilization, while avoiding new negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Our existing max-odds Don’t Come on 10 already offers the optimal combination of low house edge and full odds. Adding any new bets would increase expected losses, so we stay pat.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I'm keeping my don't come 10 with max odds to maintain high odds utilization and a low expected loss per chip. Adding another don't come bet would diversify my action on the don't side.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Holding the don't come 10 with full odds keeps a low combined house edge; adding no new bets minimizes expected loss per chip while still allowing the +EV odds to work.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Betting don't pass with a 50 chip stake to allow full lay odds on any point, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Keep the favorable don't pass on 4 and take maximum lay odds for zero house edge; improves odds utilization without adding risk of losing the positive EV flat bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass with point 4 is strongly favored to win, so I keep it and take no additional negative-expectation action.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Keep the favorable dont pass with point 4 and zero-EV laid odds; all newly offered bets have negative EV, so no new bets are made.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My don't pass and laid odds on 4 are favorable with a 7 more likely than a 4, so I keep them. I avoid new bets because they would add negative expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Betting don't pass for the lowest house edge (1.36%) and to later take full odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Laying maximum odds on the don't pass reduces the combined house edge to near zero, maximizing expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass with full odds on the 6 has a low combined house edge; no other bet improves expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6, making the don't pass bet a favorite (win on a 7 before 6). The existing odds are at true odds, so adding negative-EV bets would reduce expected session chip growth. Letting the current favorable position ride is optimal.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass offers a low 1.36% house edge on the come-out roll; betting the maximum allowed position-size reduces expected loss per chip and sets up potential free lay odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value; passing this come-out roll preserves bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value on this point phase; with no flat bet to take odds, keeping chips off the table maximizes expected session bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No offered bet has a positive expected value; all available wagers carry a house edge, so passing preserves my bankroll best.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Minimum don't pass has the lowest house edge available and allows adding free odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Betting 50 on pass line allows taking full 3x-4x-5x lay odds up to the 300 cap, maximizing odds utilization while minimizing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Taking maximum true-odds behind the pass line adds zero house-edge exposure and reduces the aggregate expected loss per chip; all other available bets have negative EV.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have a negative expected value and the existing odds bet is fair, so no new wagers or removals improve expected chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I keep my pass line and full odds on the 10; the odds bet has zero house edge, and adding negative-expectation bets would reduce expected value.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No come-out bets are positive EV; the pass and don't pass both carry a house edge, so staying off the table preserves bankroll for lower-edge opportunities.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every available wager has a negative house edge, so the expected-value-maximizing action is to make no new bet and preserve my bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value, so passing maximizes expected bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No positive-expectation bets are available on this point roll; passing minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No bet has positive expected value; all available craps bets carry a house edge, so the best way to maximize chips is to avoid placing any wager this roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No bets have positive expectation: pass/don't pass and all props/place bets are negative EV, so staying out preserves chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets carry negative expected value and there are no existing bets to remove or hedge, so the best expected-chip action is to make no new bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No offered bet has a positive expected value; staying off the table avoids the house edge and preserves bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No positive EV bets are available; all legal wagers have a negative house edge and there is no flat bet to support odds, so preserving the bankroll with no action is optimal.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value with no existing odds to offset them, so placing no bet maximizes expected bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No available wager has positive expected value, and all bets carry a house edge, so the optimal expected-chip decision is to refrain from betting.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available craps bets have negative expected value, so the best chip-maximizing action is to place no new bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No positive-expectation wagers are available; all bets carry a house edge, so with two rolls left I minimize expected loss by making no bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have a negative house edge and I have no flat bet to attach free odds, so I preserve bankroll on the final roll.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Scripted Provocateur finished first, +36 chips over 40 rolls

1Scripted Provocateur+36 chips
2DeepSeek V4 Pro-130 chips

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.