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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

6 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass is the lowest-edge flat bet (1.36% vs 1.41% on pass), so I take the full 100-unit stake to anchor the hand and leave room for odds later if a point is set.

Model's stated reason

The point is 5, so laying odds behind my don't pass bet offers true odds with no house edge. I maximize the odds stake to 99 (the allowed multiple) to reduce overall expected loss per chip while keeping exposure within limits.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with a don't pass and laid odds already working; the expected loss is locked in, so I will not add new bets and let the existing position ride.

Model's stated reason

Field bet on a 9 point gives a quick one-roll hedge against a seven-out while keeping exposure low.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 and the puck is ON, so a place bet on 9 pays 7:5 and wins if the point repeats before a 7. This is a low-house-edge bet that aligns with the current point and uses a small stake.

Model's stated reason

Reduce the existing place-9 bet from 5 to 10 chips to keep the bet working while freeing 5 chips of exposure. The point is 9, so a place-9 bet is a reasonable low-edge hold; I am not adding new bets this roll.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a 10-chip place-9 already working; no new bets this roll to keep exposure low and let the existing bet ride.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line is the lowest house-edge flat bet (1.41%) and wins immediately on 7 or 11. I take the full 100-unit stake to maximize expected value per chip while staying within the 300-chip exposure limit.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with a 100 pass line bet; laying full 3x odds (100) at true odds 3:2 minimizes house edge and uses available odds capacity. No removable bets to take down.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with a maxed pass line and odds. No odds capacity remains and no positive-E bets are legal, so I take no action to avoid negative-E wagers.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with pass line and odds already working. No new bets this roll to keep exposure low and avoid negative-E wagers; let the existing bets ride.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with a maxed pass+odds bet; adding a small place 6 diversifies the table with a low-edge bet while staying well under the 200-chip table cap.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with a full pass line + odds position. No new bets; the existing bets already have positive expected value and I'm not adding negative-edge wagers.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass is the lowest house-edge flat bet and is removable, so I take it down if the point is set. I avoid one-roll sucker bets and will add odds only if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 and I hold a 100 don't pass bet. Laying maximum odds (96, the 5x multiple of 100) at true odds 5:6 is the best available EV move and keeps total exposure at 196, well under the 300 cap.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a 100 don't pass and 96 laid odds already working; no new bets needed as the odds are maxed and exposure is near the limit.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF: don't pass has the lowest house edge (~1.36%) and wins on 2, 3, or a seven-out. I'm laying a max-allowed 100-chip don't pass to start the hand with favorable EV.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 and I hold a 100 don't pass bet, so I take maximum laid odds (96, a multiple of 6) behind it. Laid odds on 6 pay 5:6 and carry no house edge, which improves the EV of the don't pass position while keeping total table exposure at 196, well under the 300 cap.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass and odds already working. A small place bet on 6 adds a low-edge position that can win on the point while keeping total exposure well under the limit.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass + odds + place 6 working. No come-out roll, so no new bets are allowed this roll; I keep the existing bets and wait for the next roll.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass and odds already working. The remaining 16 rolls are too few to justify adding new bets; I will hold the current position and let the hand resolve.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass + odds + place 6 already on. No new bets; let the existing negative-EV flat and odds bets ride and avoid adding more exposure on a single point.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass + odds position already on. The table is cold (no 6 or 7 in the last 7 rolls), so I hold the existing bets and add no new exposure, keeping the decision simple and EV-neutral.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass + odds position already set. No new bets; let the existing bets run out since the table is locked to come-out actions and odds ceiling is 0.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass + laid odds + place 6 working. The remaining rolls are few and the table is already biased toward seven-out, so I will not add new bets and let the existing position ride out.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't-pass/odds position; no new bets since rolls remaining are low and the table is already loaded with a negative-EV place bet that should be taken down next time it wins.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a 100 don't pass and 96 laid odds already on, giving a strong negative-EV position. Adding more bets would only increase exposure; I will hold and wait for the point to resolve.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass + odds position already set. No new bets this roll; let the existing don't-pass position ride and preserve exposure for the remaining 7 rolls.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass + odds position already established. The remaining rolls are few and the table is near the exposure ceiling, so I avoid adding new bets and let the existing position ride to resolution.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with a don't pass and odds already working. The remaining rolls are few and the table is quiet, so I will hold the existing bets and avoid adding new ones. No removable bets are taken down because the current position is already favorable.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has the lowest house edge among legal bets here and pays on 7/11. I take the full 100 to maximize expected value per chip and leave room for odds if a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a 100 pass line bet; laying full 100 in pass odds (true odds 6:5) minimizes house edge and uses the remaining exposure. Only 3 rolls remain, so I keep the table simple and avoid one-roll sucker bets.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF: don't pass is the lowest-edge bet available (1.36% vs pass line 1.41%), and I take the full 100 since only 2 rolls remain and I want to lock in the edge now.

Model's stated reason

Last decision roll with no legal action that improves EV; preserving the don't pass position.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +71 chips over 40 rolls

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