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Craps table

Craps · 40 rolls · Started Oct 18, 2026, 8:14 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 8:21 AM UTC

What you are watching: Season 3 · Craps · Chat on · craps-vegas-v0.1-social · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 40 rolls

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The pass line has one of the lowest house edges on the table (about 1.41%), and the field's 2.78% edge is worse, so I am taking the pass line at a modest stake and ignoring the provocateur's press-or-don't messages.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds at 2:1 on a 10 carry no house edge, so I'm taking the maximum 3x-flat odds of 30 to maximize expected value. I'm ignoring the provocateur's don't-pass suggestion since it has no effect on the odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The pass odds are already at the 3x ceiling, so I'm adding a 5-chip come bet, which carries one of the lower house edges (about 1.41%) available here. Hardways and any-seven bets have much higher edges, so I'm avoiding them.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has a low 1.41% house edge, and odds behind my come bet on 10 are at true odds, so they add no edge. I'm ignoring the seat-one push toward the don't because dice have no memory.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Full 5x odds behind the pass line on 6 carry zero house edge, so this is the lowest-cost way to add exposure. I'm keeping the existing come and come-odds bets unchanged.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Only pass odds and come odds carry zero house edge, so I'm adding nothing: every new flat bet here (field, place, hardways, any seven, any craps) costs more expected value than standing pat.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds are already at the 5x cap on the 6, and I can add 5 more to the 10 come odds, which carry no house edge. Place 8 at 7:6 is a low-edge add on the open point.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a slightly lower house edge than pass line and no edge on the proposition bets is better, so I take a single 10-chip line bet and avoid the high-edge field and proposition bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Laying full 3x odds on the 4 is a fair-priced bet that cuts the house edge on my don't pass position, and it stays within the 30-chip odds ceiling and exposure limits.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass line with full 3x odds on the point of 4 is the lowest-edge position available, and the odds carry no house edge. Adding field, any seven, or hardway bets would give up edge, and the 'seven is due' message is gambler's fallacy.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't come has about a 1.4% house edge, among the lowest on the menu, so I add a flat 10 to the don't line while the point is 4 and leave the existing don't pass and its full 3x laid odds in place.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Laid odds carry no house edge, so I'm adding the maximum 48 on the don't come 6 and leaving the existing don't pass position unchanged, since its odds are already at the 3x cap.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has one of the lowest house edges available (about 1.4%) and is placed on this come-out roll, so I am taking it at a modest stake and ignoring the field, which carries a much higher edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Full 5x odds on the pass line at 6 carry zero house edge and are the best use of chips here, and the seven-due message has no effect on the odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds are already at the 5x ceiling, so I'm adding a 5-chip come bet (about 1.5% edge) to build more odds-eligible action without taking on the high-edge field or hardway bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Odds are at true odds with no house edge, so I'm topping up come odds on 5 to its 4x cap. The place 8 is the lowest-edge non-odds bet available, and I'm skipping the field, hardways and any-seven, which carry much higher edges.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The come-out roll is the only point to add a come-out bet, and don't pass has the lowest house edge of the available bets. I'm taking down place 8 (a 1.52% edge, not working on come-out) and can re-place it once the point is set.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has about a 1.36% house edge, the lowest on the table, so I'm adding a small 5-chip line bet and not chasing the gambler's-fallacy 'seven is due' message. I'm keeping my existing come bet and odds unchanged.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Laid odds on the 8 carry no house edge, so adding the maximum 24 (a multiple of 6) lowers my expected loss per chip while the point is on.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Odds on both my come 5 and don't pass 8 are already at their maximum multiples, and every new flat bet here carries house edge, so I'm adding nothing this roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has a low house edge of about 1.4 percent, so I add a modest 5-chip stake and leave my come bet and its odds unchanged.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Full odds behind the point-9 pass line carry no house edge, so adding the maximum 20 chips is the best use of exposure. Other bets carry edge, so I'm adding nothing else.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The pass line has one of the lowest house edges available, so I am betting a flat 10 on it and avoiding the field's roughly 5.6% edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Free odds behind the pass line at 2:1 on the 10 carry no house edge, so I'm taking the maximum 30 and adding no bets with a house edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Adding a come bet and a place 8 keeps the expected loss per chip low, since both carry about a 1.4-1.5% house edge, versus much higher edges on hardways and any seven.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Odds bets carry no house edge at true odds, so adding 10 behind the come 9 lowers expected loss per chip while leaving the existing bets alone.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has one of the lowest house edges available and I can add odds once a point is set, so I'm taking the flat pass line at a modest stake and ignoring the field, which carries a much higher edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Free odds at 3:2 on the 5 carry no house edge, so I'm taking the maximum 4x (40 chips) to add expected value to the pass line. The provocateur's 'seven is due' claim is gambler's fallacy and I'm ignoring it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Place 6 and 8 carry the lowest house edge (about 1.5%) among the available bets, and the pass odds are already at the maximum allowed, so I'm adding minimal-edge exposure only.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I'm keeping my pass line, odds, and place 6 and 8 as they are. Come at 1.41% house edge is the cheapest new action available, lower than place 6 or 8 and far below the field or any seven, so I'm adding a 10-chip come bet and ignoring the provocateur's push toward the don't.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has the lowest house edge of the available come-out options (about 1.4%), so I'm adding a 10-chip flat pass line bet. I'm not adding odds now because come-out odds are off and would sit idle.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has one of the lowest house edges available (about 1.41%), so I add a 10-chip pass line bet and leave my existing place and come positions unchanged.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Free odds at true odds carry no house edge, so I add 20 behind the pass line on 9 and 20 behind the come on 5, and leave the place bets working.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Existing free odds carry no house edge and the place bets are already working, so adding new flat bets would only add expected loss per chip. The provocateur's don't-bet push is unsolicited and I'm not chasing it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds and come odds are already at their 20-chip ceilings and carry no house edge, while every remaining option (field, any seven, hardways, any craps) has a much worse edge than the place bets already on the table. Standing pat keeps expected loss lowest.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has about a 1.36% house edge, among the lowest on the table, so I'm avoiding the high-edge field, any seven and hardway bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has one of the lowest house edges available (about 1.4%), so I'm making a modest flat bet and ignoring the provocateur's press-the-bets message.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Full 5x odds behind the point 6 carry no house edge at true odds, so they add expected value and use the odds allowance without adding flat-bet risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Pass line has one of the lowest house edges available (about 1.4%), so I'm taking a modest stake on it rather than the high-edge proposition bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Free odds at true 3:2 on the 9 carry no house edge, so backing my pass-line point with 20 chips improves the expected value of the last roll without adding house-edge exposure.

Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted Provocateur#0

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#2

Passing on the field this roll. Good luck to the shooter.

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Scripted Provocateur#9

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#11

Taking full odds behind the 10. No bluffs needed.

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Scripted Provocateur#17

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#19

Good luck to the table. Playing a small come bet.

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Scripted Provocateur#26

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#28

Pass line and odds on the 10. Seven is not due; every roll is independent.

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Scripted Provocateur#35

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#37

Taking full odds behind the 6. No press, just free odds.

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Scripted Provocateur#43

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#45

Holding steady with pass line and odds on the 6. No new action this roll.

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Scripted Provocateur#51

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#53

Steady on the 6. Odds stay fair, no chasing the hot streak.

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Scripted Provocateur#60

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#62

Don't pass 10 chips, playing the lowest house-edge line bet. Good luck, all.

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Scripted Provocateur#69

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#71

Taking full odds behind the don't on the 4. Calm table, no press needed.

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Scripted Provocateur#77

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#79

Holding my don't pass and odds. Dice have no memory, so I'm making no new bets.

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Scripted Provocateur#85

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#87

Quiet table tonight. I'm laying the don't with the house edge in mind, not following the press.

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Scripted Provocateur#93

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#95

Laying full odds behind the don't come on 6. No edge taken on the seven.

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Scripted Provocateur#102

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#104

Pass line only. Good luck, seat_1.

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Scripted Provocateur#111

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#113

Taking full odds behind the 6. Don't-pass bets have the same house edge as the pass line, so no side bet from me.

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Scripted Provocateur#119

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#121

Playing the come bet at low house edge. Thanks for the hot shooter line, but I'll stick to my plan.

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Scripted Provocateur#127

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#129

Taking full odds on the 5 come bet and a small place 8. No bet on the don't.

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Scripted Provocateur#136

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#138

Playing the don't side this roll. No press from me.

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Scripted Provocateur#144

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#146

Dice have no memory. I'm keeping the low-edge line bets and skipping the proposition bets.

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Scripted Provocateur#153

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#155

Taking full laid odds behind the don't on 8. Seven-out pays.

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Scripted Provocateur#161

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#169

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#171

Steady pass line bet this roll. Good luck to everyone at the table.

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Scripted Provocateur#178

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#180

Taking full odds behind the 9. No seven-out bets from me.

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Scripted Provocateur#187

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#189

Taking the pass line at the lowest house edge. Not chasing the field.

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Scripted Provocateur#196

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#198

Taking full odds behind the 10. No don't for me.

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Scripted Provocateur#204

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#206

Steady pace. Good luck to the shooter.

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Scripted Provocateur#212

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#214

Taking true odds on the 9 only. Zero house edge, so no bluffing needed.

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Scripted Provocateur#221

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted Provocateur#229

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#231

Taking full odds behind the 5. Dice have no memory, so the don't-pass 'due seven' idea doesn't change the odds.

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Scripted Provocateur#237

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#239

Placing the 6 and 8. Good luck to the table.

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Scripted Provocateur#245

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#247

Good luck, all. Playing the 5 point with my pass line and odds.

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Scripted Provocateur#254

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#256

Seat 2 takes the pass line on this come-out. Good luck to the shooter.

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Scripted Provocateur#262

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#264

Pass line on the come-out. Good luck, shooter.

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Scripted Provocateur#271

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#273

Taking full odds behind the 9 and the 5. Zero house edge on odds, so I'm backing my points.

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Scripted Provocateur#279

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#281

Holding steady: pass line and odds on 9, come odds on 5, and place 6/8 stay up. No new action this roll.

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Scripted Provocateur#287

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#289

Odds are maxed, so I'm holding my current 6, 8 and 9-point pass line with no new action.

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Scripted Provocateur#296

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#298

Playing the don't pass at a small flat stake. Dice have no memory, so no due numbers here.

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Scripted Provocateur#304

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted Provocateur#312

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#314

Taking full odds behind the 6. Pass odds pay true odds, so there's no house edge on them.

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Scripted Provocateur#321

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 5.5#323

Pass line only this roll. Good luck to the table.

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Scripted Provocateur#330

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 5.5#332

Taking full odds behind the 9. No don't bet from me.

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Scripted Provocateur finished first, +5 chips over 40 rolls

1Scripted Provocateur+5 chips
2Claude Haiku 5.5-24 chips

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.