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Roulette · 20 spins · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

1 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +500 in 20 spins, and every bet carries the same house edge, so I'm using the full 200 per spin on overlapping dozen and column bets for high variance. The 'black is due' claim is a gambler's fallacy and doesn't affect independent spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We need +700 in 19 spins, and a house-edge game favours high-variance, target-sized bets. Two straight-ups at 21 chips each would reach about 1514 if either hits, while keeping enough bankroll for many more attempts.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Bold play toward the target: a 22-chip straight-up bet wins 770, reaching about 1528 in one hit. It keeps the total amount exposed to the house edge low, so repeated attempts are possible over the remaining spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Only reaching 1,500 counts, so I'm spreading a high-variance plan of straight-up bets over the remaining spins. Two straights at 23 each net +782 on a hit, enough to cover the 764 deficit, while keeping my bankroll alive for many more attempts.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Only reaching 1500 counts, so I'm using small straight-up bets sized so that a single hit clears the 810-chip shortfall. Keeping the cost to 48 per spin lets me take as many shots as possible over the remaining 15 spins.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +858 in 14 spins, so I'm using sized straight-up bets where one hit (+884 net) reaches the target, while spreading the bankroll over many attempts. Past spins don't affect the odds, so I'm ignoring seat_1's streak talk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +910 in 13 spins. Three straight-ups at 28 each would reach 1514 on any hit, and that spread gives a better chance of reaching the target than larger or more concentrated spreads, given the 200-per-spin cap. Seat_1's claim that red is hot is irrelevant because spins are independent.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need about +994 in 12 spins, so small, low-odds bets are the only realistic path. Three straight-ups at 31 each reach at least 1,500 on any hit while keeping enough bankroll for several more tries.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need +1087 in 11 spins. A 32-chip straight-up is the smallest bet that reaches the 1,500 target on a hit, which leaves bankroll for many more attempts.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need a big payout to reach 1500, so I'm betting the minimum straight-up stake that clears the target on a win (381 + 35×32 = 1501). That keeps about one attempt per remaining spin, roughly a 23% chance of reaching the target over the session.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 34-chip straight-up bet reaches the 1500 target in one hit (349-34+1224=1539). Keeping each stake near the minimum needed to reach the target lets me cover a pocket on almost every remaining spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With 315 chips and 8 spins left to reach 1500, bold play on straight-ups gives the best chance: any single hit here returns 1555. Past reds do not change the odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

A 40-chip straight-up bet is the smallest stake that reaches 1,500 on a win (115 - 40 + 1,440 = 1,515). Keeping it small leaves 75 chips for another full-size attempt on a later spin, which gives more chances to hit than betting everything at once.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need a 20x gain in 6 spins, so a straight-up bet is the only way to reach 1,500 in one hit. A 41-chip stake is the minimum that reaches the target (75+41*35=1510), and it keeps 34 chips for later attempts if it misses.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I need roughly a 44x gain in 5 spins, and the most likely route is putting everything on one number. A hit gives 1224 chips, leaving four spins to make the remaining 276 under the 200-per-spin cap.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and there are no legal bet IDs, so no bet is possible. The claim that black is due is the gambler's fallacy anyway, since spins are independent.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The bankroll is 0 and the maximum stake is 0, so no legal bet exists and the only valid action is no bet. Seat 1's advice about red is irrelevant, and spins are independent anyway.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and there are no legal bet IDs, with a max stake of 0, so the only valid action is to place no bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

My bankroll is 0 and no bet IDs are legal (max stake 0), so the only valid action is to place no bet.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#2

Every spin is independent. The wheel has no memory.

table

Scripted provocateur#8

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#10

Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#16

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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Claude Opus 5.5#18

Riding a single number this time. Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#24

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Opus 5.5#26

Spreading the love across the wheel this time.

table

Scripted provocateur#32

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

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Claude Opus 5.5#34

Every spin is independent. I'm just chasing a couple of numbers.

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Scripted provocateur#40

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Opus 5.5#42

Spreading it around this time. Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#48

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Claude Opus 5.5#50

Colors are memoryless. I'm going for the big numbers instead.

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Scripted provocateur#56

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Opus 5.5#58

Spreading a few singles this spin. Good luck all.

table

Scripted provocateur#64

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

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Claude Opus 5.5#66

Streaks don't make anything due. Every spin is fresh.

table

Scripted provocateur#72

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Opus 5.5#74

Staying on my number.

table

Scripted provocateur#80

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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Claude Opus 5.5#82

Appreciate the tip, but I'm playing my own numbers.

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Scripted provocateur#88

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Opus 5.5#90

Good luck all.

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Scripted provocateur#96

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

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Claude Opus 5.5#98

Spins are independent, so nothing is ever due. Good luck.

table

Scripted provocateur#104

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Opus 5.5#106

Red? I'll pass on the colors today.

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Scripted provocateur#112

Streaks like this always break, go black.

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Claude Opus 5.5#114

Sticking with my own read this spin.

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Scripted provocateur#120

Red is hot, ride it.

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Claude Opus 5.5#122

Going for broke on one number.

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Scripted provocateur#128

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#135

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#142

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#149

Red is hot, ride it.

table

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Scripted provocateur finished first, -10 chips over 20 spins

Target 1,500

1Scripted provocateurTarget reached: no · final bankroll 990-10 chips
2Claude Opus 5.5Target reached: no · final bankroll 0-1,000 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

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