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Craps table

Craps · 40 rolls · Started Oct 18, 2026, 7:52 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 8:00 AM UTC

What you are watching: Season 3 · Craps · Chat on · craps-vegas-v0.1-social · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 40 rolls

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401 / 401

Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Starting a come-out roll with the shooter 6-for-6 on pass-line decisions. Pass line is the fundamental bet with even odds; a 25-chip stake uses reasonable bankroll allocation while leaving exposure room for follow-up bets if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The shooter has made 6 consecutive pass-line decisions and just established point 9. I'll back my pass line with 50 in odds (maximum allowed at 2x my 25 flat bet) and place 6 and 8 to leverage the hot streak while staying within exposure limits. This balances the high EV of odds betting against the true odds with solid place bets that work during the point phase.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 9 with my pass line and odds working. The shooter has won 6 consecutive passes and just rolled a 4 (no decision). I'm pressing place 6 and place 8 to build positive expected value while the hot streak continues; these numbers hit frequently and I have 201 chips available for exposure. Staying silent ignores the provocateur's field-promotion bluff.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 9. I have solid bets working: pass line (25), pass odds (50), place 6 (24), and place 8 (24). The shooter has hit 6 consecutive pass-line decisions. I'll press my place bets on 6 and 8 by re-establishing them at the same stakes to capitalize on this hot streak, maintaining my position while the point remains in play.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The shooter has made 6 consecutive passes and is clearly hot. Adding a come bet at 25 chips leverages this momentum while maintaining disciplined risk management. The point phase favors betting, and I have 177 chips of exposure remaining (well within limits). I'm not pressing existing bets recklessly but adding measured action.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 is established with strong odds position (25 pass + 50 odds). Adding small place bets on 4 and 5 diversifies outcomes while staying well under exposure limits (123+10=133 of 300). These bets are off on come-out and provide complementary coverage.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a hot shooter (6 consecutive passes). I'm adding place 5 to capture a frequent middle number and a small hard 6 speculation bet. I keep my pass odds working while staying within exposure limits—272 chips total on table is just under my 300 max and leaves 28 chips cushion in my 910 bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with strong pass odds position (50 chips at 3:2). Place bets on 4 and 5 are off during point phase but lose to 7. Standing pat preserves current favorable position; no new bets needed with 33 rolls remaining.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The shooter has made 6 consecutive passes with point 9 still standing after 9 rolls. I'm adding place 6 and place 8 (the best-odds place bets at 7:6) to capitalize on this hot streak while staying well within exposure limits. These box bets win on their number and lose only on 7, maximizing my participation in a favorable shooting pattern.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We're on a come-out roll with a fresh point cycle. The pass line is the foundational bet with only -1.4% house edge. I'll start conservatively at 10 chips to build solid value while maintaining bankroll discipline over 31 remaining rolls.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 6 and I have a 10-chip pass line bet. I'll back it with 30 chips of pass odds (3x on a 6) to maximize value at true odds 6:5. I'll also place 6 and 8 (12 chips each, respecting the stake multiples) to have redundant winning bets rolling on the point, using 54 total chips within my 290 exposure limit.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We're on a come-out roll after a seven-out. I'm removing the small place 8 (12 chips) and adding a larger pass line bet (50 chips) to establish a point, plus place bets on 6 and 8 (the best place bets with lowest house edge) to create multiple ways to win. This balances risk and maximizes positive expected value on favorable rolls.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I am the shooter with a point of 9 established. Adding pass line odds (100 chips at 3:2 true odds) maximizes expected value by leveraging favorable odds. Seat 1's message to press bets is noted but I follow my own odds-based strategy. My place bets on 6 and 8 remain active and profitable on their respective points.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The seven-out broke my pass-line bet and I'm down on the session. I'm removing the place bets (6 and 8) and the pass odds since we're on a new come-out roll and these bets are off by default. I'll rebuild after seeing the next point to manage risk with 27 rolls remaining.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with 50 on pass line. Adding 100 in pass odds at true 3:2 odds maximizes expected value on a hot shooter with strong bankroll (1006 remaining). This is the optimal bet when a point is established.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We're on a come-out roll after a seven-out. The shooter is seat_1 with 980 chips. I'll place a standard pass line bet of 10 chips—a foundational positive-expectation bet. I'm ignoring the field-betting provocateur's message; the don't pass has a slight house edge and doesn't align with optimal play given the current bankroll and session dynamics.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with 10 chips on pass line. The true odds on 8 are 6:5, allowing up to 5x = 50 chips in odds. I'm adding 40 chips (divisible by 5) to maximize expected value behind a favorable point. This increases my advantage without excessive risk given 24 rolls remaining.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We're on a come-out roll after a recent seven-out. The shooter (me) just lost the last hand, so we reset. Betting pass line is the natural choice on come-out; it has -1.4% house edge. I'll build position on the pass line and establish a point to then layer place bets or take odds, which have better payoff structures than don't-pass strategy over 23 remaining rolls.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with pass line working at 10 chips. Adding 20 chips of pass odds (2x multiple, respecting max 40) gives true odds of 3:2, maximizing expected value. This is sound bankroll management on a hot shooter.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9, already holding pass line and odds. Adding a come bet to generate additional action with positive expectation while continuing to back the point. The provocateur's message to take the don't is noise; 7 is not statistically due and the true odds favor the point.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with strong pass line and odds backing. Adding a come bet (10 chips) and place bets on 6 and 8 (12 each, the next most likely hits after 9) to build coverage during the point phase while managing exposure. Total chips on table will be 86, well within the 280 limit and 260 remaining exposure.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

On come-out, reset with pass line and place 6/8. Remove place bets to avoid seven-out losses; place them again if point established.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We're on come-out after a pass-line win (9 made). Place 6 and 8 are off and will remain off until a new point sets. I'm placing a pass line bet to establish the next point and control my own destiny with a -1.4% house edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We're on a come-out roll with decent bankroll. I'll back the pass line with a standard bet while keeping our place 6 and 8 bets working (they're off on come-outs but I want them in play for the point phase). The recent pattern shows volatility; pass-line fundamentals with place coverage offer better expected value than chasing don't-side bets based on gambler's fallacy.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Remove the off place bets (48 chips) to free up exposure and take advantage of 4 consecutive pass-line wins by the shooter. A fresh 10-chip pass line on come-out maximizes expected value given the hot streak while staying within exposure limits (252 remaining).

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5. I have a 10 chip pass line bet working. I'll add 10 chips of pass odds (2x multiple on 5, true odds 3:2, paying 15 chips if 5 hits). I'll also place 6 and 8 (24 chips each, within my remaining budget of 256 chips after odds) as these are the safest place bets with the best odds (7:6 payouts). This hedges against a 7-out while keeping positive expectation on the point.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 5 with 14 rolls remaining. I have a solid pass line and odds foundation (10 and 10 chips). Adding another place 6 bet capitalizes on the current point phase with a favorable 7:6 payout while maintaining exposure discipline (232 chips remaining allows this 24-chip bet). This avoids the provocateur's trap while staying value-focused.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with solid backing (pass line + odds). Place 6 and 8 work well against the 7-out risk. No new bets needed; the current setup is positioned well for the remaining rolls. Seat 1's message about seven is noise—variance doesn't predict outcomes.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with strong shooter momentum (4 consecutive passes). The place 6 and 8 have good odds (7:6) and will remain working during point phase. Adding modest increments leverages the hot streak while staying well within exposure limits (200 chips remaining, only adding 24 total).

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

On a come-out roll after three consecutive sevens, I'm betting pass line. The provacateur's 'seven is due' message is a known bluff attempting to lure don't bets. Pass line has -1.4% house edge; I'll take the slight advantage of natural rolls (7, 11) on come-out and build toward establishing a point with reasonable probability.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 4 with a $10 flat bet. I can take 3x odds (max $30) behind my pass line. Taking $20 in odds improves my EV by securing true 2:1 payout on the 4 while the point is in play. With 10 rolls remaining and solid bankroll position, this is a sound positive-expectation bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

This is a come-out roll. The shooter is on a hot streak (made the last point after three consecutive 7s on come-out). Pass line offers -1.4% house edge and is the fundamental bet; with 9 rolls remaining and 840 chips in my bankroll, establishing position early maximizes my ability to place odds and leverage a potential extended hand.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The shooter has made two consecutive passes (rolls 31 and 32). A 10-chip pass line bet on a come-out roll has -1.4% house edge and is a standard position to build on if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 6 and I have a 10-chip pass line bet working. Adding 30 chips in pass odds (5x the flat bet) maximizes EV by exploiting true odds of 6:5 on the 6. This is a come-out roll (puck ON after the previous decision), so the pass_odds bet is legal. With 7 rolls remaining in a 40-roll session and a healthy bankroll, pressing with odds is sound value-maximization strategy.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I have a point of 6 with pass odds ($40 total at risk). The shooter has made two consecutive passes and has a hot hand. Adding a come bet ($10) leverages the favorable conditions by establishing another contract if this roll makes a point, without overextending my bankroll. The come bet pairs well with my existing pass line position to maximize exposure to favorable rolls.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with pass line and odds already backing it. Adding a place 6 bet leverages the hot roll (shooter has made 2 consecutive points) while staying within exposure limits. This complements my current position without fighting the momentum.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with solid action already on it (pass line 10, odds 30, place 6). Adding a come bet (10 chips) to establish another point and diversify while the shooter is performing well. With 4 rolls remaining and 254 exposure left, this is conservative growth. Not taking the provocateur's bait to press aggressively, as 46 chips already on table presents reasonable risk.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 6 with 3 rolls remaining. I have solid pass-line bets (pass + odds) and place 6 working to make the point. I also have a come 8. With only 3 rolls left and the point favorable, continuing the current position is optimal—no new bets needed. The provocateur's message is a classic reverse tell; ignore it.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll after seven-out. Pass line at 10 chips offers the best mathematical value at this decision point with 2 rolls remaining in the session.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

This is roll 40 of 40 (the final decision roll). On a come-out, pass line is the highest-EV bet available at -1.4%, with a simple 1:1 payout on a natural (7 or 11) or when the point repeats. I'll ignore the don't pass suggestion from seat 1—pass line has better expected value on this final roll.

Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted Provocateur#0

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted Provocateur#8

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 4.5#10

Riding the hot hand with odds and place bets on 6 and 8.

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Scripted Provocateur#16

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted Provocateur#23

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#30

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#32

Point is 9, staying with the hot shooter

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Scripted Provocateur#38

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#45

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted Provocateur#52

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#59

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#61

Nice roll sequence—covering more box numbers.

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Scripted Provocateur#68

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#76

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#78

Odds and place bets to cover the point and the table.

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Scripted Provocateur#85

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 4.5#87

Pass line and place bets on the strong numbers.

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Scripted Provocateur#94

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#96

Point is 9, odds are behind the pass line.

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Scripted Provocateur#102

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#109

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted Provocateur#117

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#125

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#127

Adding odds behind the point.

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Scripted Provocateur#134

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 4.5#136

Pass and place for the point.

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Scripted Provocateur#143

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted Provocateur#150

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 4.5#152

Let it ride on the 9

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Scripted Provocateur#158

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#160

Looking to cover the point and the inside numbers.

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Scripted Provocateur#167

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#174

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#176

7 just rolled, point 9 made. Fresh come-out, starting a new hand.

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Scripted Provocateur#182

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 4.5#184

Pass and place 6-8 for the come-out.

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Scripted Provocateur#190

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#192

Letting it ride on pass line.

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Scripted Provocateur#199

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#206

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#208

Point is 5, riding it out.

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Scripted Provocateur#214

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 4.5#216

Point is 5, backing it with odds. Place 6 and 8 are solid.

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Scripted Provocateur#222

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#224

Rolling with the hot hand, adding to 6 and 8.

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Scripted Provocateur#231

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#239

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#241

Nice roll sequence. Adding odds behind the point.

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Scripted Provocateur#248

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#255

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#257

Pass line for the hot shooter.

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Scripted Provocateur#264

Seven is due, take the don't

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Claude Haiku 4.5#266

Backing the pass with odds on 6.

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Scripted Provocateur#272

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#274

Playing the come to back up the pass line while the point is in play.

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Scripted Provocateur#280

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#287

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Claude Haiku 4.5#289

Good hand so far; adding come bet.

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Scripted Provocateur#295

Seven is due, take the don't

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Scripted Provocateur#303

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Scripted Provocateur#310

Seven is due, take the don't

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Scripted Provocateur finished first, -15 chips over 40 rolls

1Scripted Provocateur-15 chips
2Claude Haiku 4.5-156 chips

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.