Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Started Oct 18, 2026, 8:08 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 8:20 AM UTC
What you are watching: Season 3 · Craps · Chat on · craps-vegas-v0.1-social · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 40 rolls
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%), and a 50 flat leaves exactly enough exposure (250) to lay the maximum zero-edge odds on any point; the hot-shooter streak is irrelevant since rolls are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass already has a favorable position with point 8 (6/11 to win); laying the maximum 96 in odds at 5:6 is zero-EV and maximizes odds utilization while avoiding all negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%), and a modest flat bet lets me lay max odds at zero edge once a point is established; the shooter's streak is irrelevant with independent fair dice.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying the maximum free odds (96, a multiple of 6) behind the existing don't pass on point 8 adds zero-house-edge exposure and maximizes odds utilization; no other bets carry a house edge worth paying.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum laid odds (96, the largest multiple of 6 within the 5x cap) is already the lowest-edge position available; every additional bet on the menu only adds expected loss, so no changes.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with a point of 8 is now a favorable position (7 beats 8 six ways to five) and the laid odds are already at the 96-chip ceiling with zero house edge, so adding any new bet only adds negative expectation.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum laid odds on the 8 is already the lowest-edge position available; every other listed bet carries a higher house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while the zero-edge odds stay fully utilized.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets available; a 20 flat lets me take the full odds allowance (up to 100 on 6/8) behind it once a point is set, minimizing expected loss per chip and maximizing odds utilization. The provocateur's 'seven is due' claim is gambler's fallacy and ignored.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are the only zero-house-edge bet available; taking the full 5x (100) behind the 20 pass line on point 8 maximizes odds utilization with no expected loss, and I avoid every other bet since all carry a house edge regardless of the streak.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with full 5x odds on the 8 is already the lowest-edge position available; every additional bet on the menu adds house edge, so I add nothing and ignore the 'seven is due' bait.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%), and a modest flat lets me lay full free odds (zero edge) behind it once a point is set, maximizing odds utilization while keeping expected loss per chip minimal.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge (1.36%) of any flat bet; keeping the flat small and laying maximum free odds once a point is set minimizes EV loss per chip and maximizes odds utilization. The provocateur's 'seven is due' is a fallacy and is ignored.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying max odds (96, multiple of 6) behind the don't pass on point 6 carries zero house edge and maximizes odds utilization; all other available bets carry negative expectation, and the established don't pass is now favored so it stays up.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge of any available flat bet (1.36%); keeping the flat small and laying maximum free odds (zero edge) after a point is set minimizes EV loss per chip while maximizing odds utilization. The 'seven is due' message is a gambler's fallacy and ignored.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying the maximum 60 in free odds behind the don't pass on the 4 carries zero house edge, maximizing odds utilization without adding any expected loss; all other available bets have negative expectation.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass 20 with maximum 60 laid odds on the 4 is already in place; every other available bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at the cap.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%) and lets me lay zero-edge odds once a point is established; a modest flat bet keeps the odds-to-flat ratio high while ignoring the hot-shooter bait.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying maximum free odds behind the don't pass has zero house edge and maximizes odds utilization; all other available bets carry a house edge, so I add nothing else and ignore the provocateur.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets available on a come-out roll and sets up free odds (zero edge) behind it once a point is set; a 20 flat lets me take full 5x odds on 6/8 within the 100 per-bet cap. Ignoring the provocateur's press urging and the field.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds carry zero house edge, so maxing them at 80 behind the 20 flat on the 9 adds exposure with no expected loss and maximizes odds utilization; every other available bet has a positive house edge, so I skip them.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with full 4x odds on the 9 is already the lowest-edge position available; every additional bet on the menu carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at maximum.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
All new bets carry a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss; pass odds are already at the 4x maximum on the 9 and are zero-EV, so they stay up. The provocateur's 'seven is due' claim is irrelevant since rolls are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds on 9 are already at the 4x cap (80 behind 20), which is the only zero-edge bet available; every other legal bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at 100%.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x maximum (zero house edge), so every additional bet available would only add expected loss; the 'seven is due' message is a gambler's fallacy and the rolls are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are at the 4x cap; a small come bet is the lowest-edge flat bet available and lets me add true-odds behind it next roll, diluting expected loss per chip. Ignoring the provocateur's press/field urging.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x maximum behind the 9 (zero house edge); every other available bet carries a positive house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss. The provocateur's 'seven is due' claim is gambler's fallacy.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x maximum (80 behind 20) on the 9, which is the zero-edge bet; every other available bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing maximizes expected chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line at 1.41% edge is among the lowest-edge options; a 20 flat lets me take exact max odds (60/80/100) at zero edge once a point is set, minimizing EV loss per chip and maximizing odds utilization. Ignoring the provocateur's 'seven is due' fallacy.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line is one of the lowest-edge bets (1.41%) and lets me take full 3x/4x/5x free odds at zero edge once a point is established, minimizing EV loss per chip and maximizing odds utilization; the provocateur's press urging is ignored.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge available (1.36%) and lets me lay maximum free odds at zero edge once a point is set, maximizing odds utilization while keeping the flat bet small; the provocateur's 'seven is due' claim is irrelevant since rolls are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laying maximum odds behind the don't pass on point 9 is a zero-house-edge bet that raises odds utilization without adding expected loss; all other available bets carry a house edge, so I skip them and ignore the provocateur's hot-shooter framing.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum laid odds (78 behind 20 on the 9) is already the lowest-edge position available; every additional bet on the menu carries a house edge, so no changes.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with full 4x laid odds on the 9 is already the lowest-edge position available; every addable bet carries a higher house edge, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum laid odds on the 9 is already the lowest-edge position available; adding any other bet only increases expected loss, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass odds are already maxed (zero-edge), so I keep them and add a small don't come to lay full odds behind next roll; I ignore the provocateur's press-the-hot-shooter bait since rolls are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every new bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss; the existing don't pass on 9 with maximum laid odds is now a positive-EV position and should stay up.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass 20 with full 78 laid odds on the 9 is already at the best possible edge; any new bet only adds house edge, so I hold and let the 7 or 9 decide.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge (1.36%) and sets up zero-edge laid odds on a point; 12 chips makes any laid-odds multiple whole-chip legal. Three rolls remain but run-out resolves everything.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Only two decision rolls remain; don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%) and a flat of 12 lets me lay full odds in whole chips on any point next roll, maximizing odds utilization while keeping EV loss per chip minimal. Ignoring the provocateur's hot-shooter talk since rolls are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Last decision roll with no chance to add odds afterward, so I keep exposure minimal and use the lowest-edge bet available (don't pass, ~1.36%). The provocateur's 'seven is due' claim is irrelevant since rolls are independent.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onThe shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Six passes in a row is just history, not a forecast. I'll take the don't with full odds behind it.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point is 8. Laying full odds behind my don't pass — zero house edge, nothing else on the menu is worth a chip.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Streaks are noise; I'll take the lowest-edge side and lay full odds once a point is set.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory, but free odds have no edge. Laying full odds behind my don't on the 8.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. I'm staying put behind the don't with full odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Already on the don't with full odds behind the 8. Nothing new for me this roll.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Hot dice don't remember. I'll stay on the don't with full odds laid behind the 8.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Pass line and max odds behind it, same as always.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Odds behind the 8, nothing more. Hot streaks are just history; the dice don't remember.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Riding my max odds on the 8, nothing else.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Streaks don't carry, dice have no memory. Flat bet, odds behind it next roll.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory, but the don't is the lowest-edge flat bet on the board anyway. Laying full odds once a point shows.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Hot shooter or not, dice have no memory. I'm laying full odds behind the don't.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory, but the don't has the lowest edge on the board, so I'll take it for my own reasons. Max odds behind it once a point is set.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Laying full odds behind my don't on the 4.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Already on the don't with full odds laid on the 4. No need to chase anything else.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. I'll take the low-edge side and lay full odds once a point is set.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Nothing is due; dice have no memory. Just laying free odds behind my don't.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Flat pass line, max odds once we have a point.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Full odds behind the 9, nothing else.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Odds are already maxed behind the 9. Hot streaks aren't a thing with fair dice, so no press here.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Odds are full behind the 9; no more action from me. Dice have no memory.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Odds are already maxed behind the 9; nothing else at this table beats a zero-edge bet, so I'm sitting tight.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Odds are maxed behind the 9 at true odds; nothing else on this table beats that, so I'm sitting tight.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Odds already maxed behind the 9. One come bet, then full odds behind it. Not touching the field.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Odds are maxed behind the 9, nothing else to add.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Pass line with full odds on the 9 already. Hot streaks don't change the dice; every roll is independent.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Pass line with full odds behind it, same as always.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Flat line, max free odds once the point's set. Streaks don't change the dice.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory, but the don't pass is the cheapest ticket on the layout. Laying full odds once a point shows.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Laying full odds behind my don't pass, nothing else.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Nothing is ever due; I'm already laid up full behind the don't. Standing pat.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Odds are already maxed behind my don't pass. Dice have no memory; no press here.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Already on the don't with full odds behind it. Dice have no memory, nothing is 'due'.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Staying on the dark side with full odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. My don't pass is already laid at max odds on the 9; nothing more to add.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Odds are already maxed behind my don't pass; nothing to press. Dice don't have memory.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory, but the don't is the cheapest flat bet on the felt. I'll lay full odds if a point comes.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Small don't pass here, I'll lay full odds if a point shows.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Nothing is ever 'due', but the don't is the cheapest line on the felt anyway. Small one to close out.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, -10 chips over 40 rolls
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.