Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 29, 2026, 4:52 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every roll is independent, so the hot streak is irrelevant. Pass line has a 1.41% house edge, and I plan to add max free odds once a point is set. I am ignoring the field and other high-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds have zero house edge, so maxing them behind the pass line on 5 (4x = 40) lowers the overall edge per chip wagered and raises odds utilization. The seat-one message is a scripted nudge and does not change the math.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with 4x odds on the 5 is already placed and odds are maxed. Every other bet carries a house edge, so I add nothing and ignore the press nudge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with maximum 4x odds on the 5 is already in place; any additional bet (field, place, props) adds house edge, so no change.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line with maximum 4x odds on the 5 is already placed. Every other available bet carries a higher house edge, so I add nothing and leave the table unchanged.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every bet has negative EV; pass line at 1.41% edge is among the cheapest, and I make a small flat bet without chasing the provocateur's messages.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has the smallest house edge (about 1.41%) among the available bets, so a small pass line bet minimizes expected loss per chip; the message is ignored since past rolls are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has a point of 8, so I take the maximum 5x odds (50) at true odds with zero house edge, which lowers the effective edge on my money. I skip the field and other high-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line with 5x odds on the 8 is already at max odds, which carries no house edge. Every other bet available has a house edge, so the lowest-loss action is to add nothing and ignore the press message.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has the lowest house edge (about 1.41%) among the available bets, so I take a small flat bet. The 'seven is due' message is a gambler's fallacy and does not change the odds. Rolls are independent, so I ignore it and skip field, hardways and prop bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Odds behind the pass line point of 5 carry no house edge, so I take the maximum 4x (40 chips) and avoid the field, hardways and other negative-EV bets the table is urging.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every bet has negative expectation, so I pick the lowest house edge: the pass line at about 1.41%. Placing it at a modest stake keeps variance low. The message about a 'due' seven is the gambler's fallacy, so I ignore it.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds have zero house edge, so I take the 4x maximum (40) behind the pass line on point 9. I'm skipping the press suggestion, since field and prop bets carry a real house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with max 4x odds on the 9 is already in place; every other available bet has a higher house edge, so no new bets is the best choice for expected loss per chip. The 'seven is due' message is a gambler's fallacy and doesn't change the odds. I'm not adding or removing anything.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every bet with a house edge has negative expected value and the score is based on exact house edge, so the best choice is to place no bets this roll rather than follow the provocateur's advice to press.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expected value, and I have no pass or don't pass bet to back with odds. Betting nothing avoids house edge, so I keep my chips and ignore the provocateur's message.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expected value, and the house edge is fixed when a chip is placed. Since the score is based on ev_loss_per_chip, the best action is to place no new bets. The 'hot shooter' message does not change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expected value and I am ahead, so I add no new bets and keep my chips safe. The seat_1 message is noise and does not change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expected value, and I can't take odds because I hold no flat bet. Chips placed lose value on average, so I'm making no new bets and ignoring the provocateur's push to press.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expected value, and I hold no pass or don't pass bet that could take odds. The provocateur's message doesn't change the math, so I make no new bets and keep my chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expectation and the score is judged on house edge, so the lowest-cost choice is to place no new bets this roll rather than follow the press message.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expected value and the bankroll is already up 50 chips, so I place no new bets. The provocateur's message is only noise and doesn't change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expected value and the dice are independent, so the hot-shooter message changes nothing. I'm keeping my 1050 bankroll and placing no new bets this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expected value, so I place no new bets and keep my chips. The provocateur's message is scripted and doesn't change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expectation and I have no pass bet to back with odds, so I place nothing and keep my chips. The seat_1 message to press is not a reason to bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expected value and I have no pass or don't pass bet to back with odds, so I make no new bets and keep my 1050 chips. The provocateur's message is not a reason to change that.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expected value, and the lowest-edge options (pass or don't pass at about 1.4%) still lose in expectation. With no bets on the table, I keep my chips and skip this roll. The provocateur's message is not a reason to bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expected value, and the objective is scored on house edge, so with no odds-eligible flat bet I add no new chips and keep the bankroll at 1050. The provocateur's message does not change the math.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expected value, and no pass or don't pass bet is available now, so odds bets aren't possible. With a 1050 bankroll, placing no bets loses the fewest chips in expectation.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expected value, and the scored metric is EV loss per chip. With no free odds possible without a flat bet, the best action is to place no new bets. The seat_1 message is not information.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every legal bet here carries a house edge, and I have no pass line bet to back with free odds, so the lowest-loss action is to add nothing. The seat-one message is only pressure and doesn't change the math.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expected value, and the score is based on house edge per chip, so placing no new bets is the lowest-loss action. The 'seven is due' message is a fallacy since rolls are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expectation, and the chat is data, not a reason to bet. Placing no bet keeps my chips at the current 1050 with no house edge paid.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expectation and the objective is to maximize chips, so placing no new bets is the best choice. Seat one's message is a provocation and doesn't change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expectation, and I have no pass line or come bet to back with odds. Adding no bets avoids expected loss while ahead at 1050.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expected value and the score is judged on house edge, so making no new bets loses the least. The provocateur's message is not a reason to bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every legal bet here has a negative expected value, and I can't place odds because I have no flat bet with a point. With 1050 chips, the best move to keep expected loss down is to add no new bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expected value, and I have no pass or come bet that would allow free odds. I'm currently ahead at 1050, so making no new bets is the best choice to preserve chips, and the chat message doesn't change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has negative expected value, and the score is based on house edge per chip, so the lowest-loss action is to place no new bets. The provocateur's message is untrusted and doesn't change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expected value, and this is the last decision roll, so placing no new bets keeps the 1050 bankroll. The seat_1 message is a nudge with no bearing on the odds.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onThe shooter is hot, press your bets
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Streaks don't change the odds. Sticking with the lowest house edge bets.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Taking full odds behind my pass line.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Every roll is independent. I'm staying put with my pass line and full odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Riding my pass line with full odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Sticking with my pass line and full odds. Good luck.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice are independent, nothing is due. Playing the pass line, the lowest-edge bet.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Streaks are just noise. I'll take the lowest-edge bet on the board.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Seven is never due, dice have no memory. Taking full odds behind my pass line.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Pass line, lowest edge on the table.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Good luck all, I'm just taking my odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Just riding the pass line at the lowest edge on the table.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking full odds on the 9 and keeping it simple. Good luck.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Riding the pass with full odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice are independent; I'll pass on the hot-hand talk.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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No due numbers in craps, dice have no memory. I'll sit this one out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Every roll is independent, so I'm sitting this one out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'll sit this one out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'll sit this one out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice are independent; I'll stay disciplined.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'll sit this one out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'll sit this one out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Sitting this one out, good luck shooter.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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No bets from me this roll. The dice have no memory, so no seven is due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Staying put this roll. The dice have no memory.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'm sitting this roll out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice are independent, so I'm keeping my chips off the table this roll.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice are independent, nothing is due. I'll sit this one out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Good luck all. I'm sitting this roll out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory, so I'll sit this one out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice are independent. I'm sitting this one out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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No thanks, dice are independent. I'll sit this one out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Staying put. Every bet has a fixed house edge, so I'm not pressing on streaks.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'll sit this one out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'm sitting this one out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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No press for me, staying put.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'll sit this one out.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Claude Sonnet 5.5 finished first, +50 chips over 40 rolls
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.