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Showdown Hold'em table

Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Oct 14, 2026, 8:54 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

T8 offsuit is well below the published 4x/3x raising range (needs K5o+ or suited connectors like J8s+), so checking keeps the ante/blind in play with a weak hand.

Model's stated reason

8-high with a pair on board gives almost no folding equity and raising 2x would be needlessly expensive; check and reassess on the river.

Model's stated reason

My best five is 55AT8, and dealer wins with any A,K,Q,J,T,8,6,4, pair 9s/7s+, or two pair via hole 6/4 — only rare holdings like 97,73,32 or low pairs don't beat me (~10% raise wins < the ~17% breakeven), so folding the 20 is cheaper than putting up 30.

Model's stated reason

55 is below the published 3x/4x preflop raising range (77+ required); check the flop and decide there.

Model's stated reason

My pair of fives is an underpair to the J-9-T flop and unlikely to beat the dealer's qualifying hands, so I keep the pot small and decide on the river with full information.

Model's stated reason

I hold 5s giving me a flush, which crushes most dealer holdings and pays blind bonus; raising is clearly correct over folding.

Model's stated reason

85o is well below the 4x/3x raising range (needs K5o+ or J8s+), so checking keeps the ante at risk only and lets the flop decision decide.

Model's stated reason

85s low pairless hand with king/high board has poor equity; checking keeps the option to play river with one 1x bet or fold cheaply, better than committing 20x ante on a weak draw.

Model's stated reason

With 8-high I beat every dealer hand that fails to qualify (~40% of holdings), winning the play bet, while folding locks in a 20-chip loss; raising has clearly higher EV.

Model's stated reason

K9 offsuit is in the published 4x raising range (K5o+), and raising preflop maximizes EV by betting strong kings before board information.

Model's stated reason

9s-3h is far weaker than the 3x/4x raising range, so check and reevaluate on the flop.

Model's stated reason

With 9-high and a weak Ace-high board, raising 2x is -EV; check and see if the board improves to a made pair worth a river bet.

Model's stated reason

With 9-high I beat almost nothing; even an unqualified dealer often plays an A-K-Q-J high that beats me, so raising 1x has EV far below the certain -20 from folding.

Model's stated reason

Pocket jacks are well above the published 4x preflop raising range (33+), so max value with a strong pair.

Model's stated reason

9h6h is below the published 3x/4x raising range, so checking keeps the flop option open with minimal risk.

Model's stated reason

Pair of sixes with a heart backdoor is enough to bet 2x on the flop per optimal strategy; folding equity plus decent showdown chances makes raising clearly better than checking.

Model's stated reason

Q4o misses the published 4x/3x raising range (needs Q8o+), so checking keeps the ante at minimum risk and preserves flop options.

Model's stated reason

Queen-high with no made hand and no real draw; raising 2x here is a clearly losing trap. Check and only escalate on the river if a strong hand develops.

Model's stated reason

I hold pair of queens; folding surrenders 20 chips, while raising 1x wins often enough (dealer misses ~60%) that EV raise (~-2 ante-units context) beats the certain -20 of folding.

Model's stated reason

T3 offsuit is far below the 3x/4x raising range (needs Q8o+/K5o+ or better), so checking keeps the flop option open with minimal risk.

Model's stated reason

T-high with no draw on a Q-6-4 flop is far too weak to risk 2x; check and only commit on the river with a made hand.

Model's stated reason

My pair of queens with a T kicker beats dealer holdings of only low cards (2,3,5,8,9,J), about 153/1225 combos, and folding surrenders 20 chips for certain; raising 1x loses less on average (~-14 vs -20).

Model's stated reason

J4o misses the published 4x/3x raising table (needs J8s+ or JTo); checking keeps the flop option open with a weak hand.

Model's stated reason

J-high with no pair, no flush draw, and only a backdoor gutshot on Qc7cTh; raising 2x here is far -EV, so check and reassess on the river.

Model's stated reason

I hold a pair of queens with a jack kicker; many dealer holdings (low pairs, non-qualifiers, weaker Q kickers) lose or fail to qualify, so betting 1x beats folding for -20.

Model's stated reason

3-5 offsuit is far below the published 3x/4x raising range; folding isn't available preflop, so check and evaluate on the flop.

Model's stated reason

With 3-5 on a K-7-8 flop we have near-zero equity and the dealer likely holds a pair or an unqualified draw; checking preserves the option to fold cheaply on the river rather than committing 20 chips.

Model's stated reason

I hold only a 6-kicker on the paired board; the dealer always qualifies with the board's pair of 8s, and my raise can at best push when both dealer hole cards are 5 or lower (~9%), otherwise losing 30. Folding costs a fixed 20, which is better EV.

Model's stated reason

AQo is well above the published 4x preflop raising range (Q8o+), so betting the maximum ante multiple maximizes EV.

Model's stated reason

T2o is far below the published 3x/4x raising range (needs K5o+ or better), so checking to see the flop is optimal.

Model's stated reason

Tc2d has no pair, draw, or qualify-relevant strength on 9-9-3; raising 2x with a ten-high would be a large -EV punt. Check and see the runout before river fold/raise decision.

Model's stated reason

I hold a pair of nines with decent kickers; folding surrenders 20 chips, while raising 1x has positive expectation since many dealer holdings fail to qualify or lose to my pair.

Model's stated reason

AK offsuit is well above the published 4x raising range (any ace), so betting the maximum preflop is optimal.

Model's stated reason

4d6c is far below the optimal 3x/4x raising range (needs 33+, any ace, K-high, etc.), so checking and deciding on the flop minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

4d6c has no pair and only a weak backdoor draw on Q-J-3; raising 2x here is far too loose, so checking to see the river cheaply is correct.

Model's stated reason

Pair of sixes beats the dealer when they fail to qualify (~25% of the time, netting +10) and only loses 30 when outkicked, making the raise marginally better EV than folding for a guaranteed -20.

Model's stated reason

J5 offsuit is well below the published 3x/4x raise range (needs JTo or J8s+), so checking keeps the ante at risk only with flop optionality.

Model's stated reason

Top pair jacks on a dry flop is a clear 2x flop raise; it's well ahead of dealer qualification range and the blind can still pay.

Model's stated reason

A3 offsuit qualifies under the published 4x preflop table (any ace), so raising 4x is optimal.

Model's stated reason

KJo offsuit is well above the published 4x raising threshold (K5o+), so raising 4x preflop maximizes EV.

Model's stated reason

Q6 offsuit falls below the published 4x/3x raising range (needs Q8o+ or suited), so checking and deciding on the flop is optimal.

Model's stated reason

Queen-high with no pair on a K85 board is too weak to risk 2x; checking preserves the option to fold cheaply on the river if the board doesn't improve.

Model's stated reason

The board's paired eights guarantee the dealer qualifies, but I hold pair of eights with a Q kicker; dealer only beats me with a bigger pair or both hole cards Q+ or paired. Roughly ~47% I win, so risking 10 more to save ante+blind+play far exceeds folding (-20).

Model's stated reason

T9o is far below the published 4x/3x raising range, so checking to revisit on the flop minimizes risk with a hand whose equity is mediocre.

Model's stated reason

Ten-high with only a weak flush/backdoor draw is far too weak to risk 2x ante on the flop; keep the pot small and decide more cheaply on the river.

Model's stated reason

I hold the ace-high flush (Ac-Kc-Jc-9c-8c), a near-certain winner that also pays the 3:2 blind bonus, so raising 1x is clearly correct.

Model's stated reason

Q2s is below the optimal 3x/4x raising range (needs Q6s+ suited), so checking and re-evaluating on the flop is correct.

Model's stated reason

Queen-high on a paired board is too weak to put 2x at risk; check and fold cheap on the river unless the queen or a pair improves.

Model's stated reason

My two pair (A,A,4,4,Q) beats the board unless the dealer holds an A, a 4, or a kicker above my queen; that happens well under half the time, so raising 1x clearly beats folding away 20 chips.

Model's stated reason

Any ace is in the published 4x preflop raise table; raising maximizes EV with top-card strength.

Model's stated reason

74o is far below the 4x/3x raising range, so checking to see a cheap flop is optimal.

Model's stated reason

7c4c on Ac Qc 9s has only a weak gutshot/backdoor flush draw and loses to most dealer holdings; checking keeps the river raise_1x-or-fold option, which is the optimal low-cost line.

Model's stated reason

I hold a flush (7-high club flush) on the river; raising 1x is clearly correct since my hand beats nearly all dealer holdings and the blind pays 3:2 on a flush.

Model's stated reason

8s9c is far below the published 4x/3x raising range (needs 33+, any ace, K/Q/J suited combos), so checking keeps the ante at risk and preserves the flop raise option.

Model's stated reason

8s9c on a three-diamond board with no flush is far too weak to risk a 20-chip raise; checking preserves the option to raise 1x on the river if the board improves or fold cheaply otherwise.

Model's stated reason

The board itself makes a Q-high flush, so the dealer can only beat me with a higher diamond (6 of 45 unknown cards ≈ 25%), otherwise it's a push; raising risks ~10-20 in the bad case versus a guaranteed -20 fold, so raising is far better EV.

Model's stated reason

Pocket sevens are well within the published optimal 4x preflop raising range (33+), so betting the maximum ante multiple maximizes EV.

Model's stated reason

Q7 offsuit falls just short of the published 3x/4x raise ranges and has poor dealer-qualification odds, so checking keeps the option of a flop 2x raise at lower risk.

Model's stated reason

Q-7 offsuit with no pair or decent draw on 9-5-4 has poor showdown odds; checking keeps the river fold option viable.

Model's stated reason

Queen-high on a paired-action board rarely beats a qualifying dealer hand; raising 1x adds risk with almost no win equity, so folding saves the extra bet.

Model's stated reason

KQo is well above the published 4x raising range (K5o+), so betting the maximum ante multiple is optimal.

Model's stated reason

5s6s is below the published 3x/4x raising range (needs J8s+ suited), so checking keeps the flop option open with minimal risk.

Model's stated reason

Open-ended straight draw plus flush draw (any spade, 8, or J gives a strong hand); with two cards to come this draw has enough equity to justify the 2x play bet rather than checking.

Model's stated reason

T9 offsuit is well below the published 4x/3x raising range (needs J8s+/JTo or better), so checking keeps the ante and blind in play with a cheap flop decision.

Model's stated reason

Two pair (tens and nines) on the flop is a strong made hand; raising 2x maximizes value before the dealer's range can improve.

Model's stated reason

9c5d is far below the published 4x/3x raising range (33+, any ace, K-high+), so checking keeps the ante at minimal risk and defers to flop/river decisions.

Model's stated reason

9-5 on AQ6 has no pair, no draw, and little equity; raising 2x with air is -EV, so I keep the option to fold cheaply on the river.

Model's stated reason

With 9-high I lose to any dealer pair, and the dealer pairs up on an A-Q-K-7-6 board far too often; even when he misses, his overcards usually outkick my 9. Raising adds 10 chips to an almost-certain loss, so folding for 20 is cheaper.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Session result: -65 chips over 30 hands

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