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Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a relatively low house edge. A six-chip flat bet permits whole-chip laid-odds payouts at any point, allowing free odds on a later roll.

Model's stated reason

The maximum legal laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet pay true odds, adding exposure without adding expected loss.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet already has its maximum allowed laid odds, which pay at true odds. Adding another bet would increase expected loss, so I’m leaving the table unchanged.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet and its full laid odds are already working on 9. New bets would add house-edge exposure, so I’ll leave them as they are.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet on 9 is favorable from this point, and its laid odds pay true odds. New bets would add house-edge exposure.

Model's stated reason

A 6-chip don't-come bet keeps the flat-bet house edge modest while allowing whole-chip laid odds on any point it establishes. The existing don't-pass odds are already at their limit.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-come bet on 5 supports 24 chips of laid odds at true odds, adding exposure without additional expected loss.

Model's stated reason

The existing laid odds pay true odds, so I’ll leave them in place. Adding another bet would introduce house-edge exposure.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing don't-pass and don't-come bets with their fair odds. Every available new bet has a negative expected return, so I’m adding no exposure.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a low house edge. A 20-chip flat bet leaves room to add the maximum permitted zero-house-edge odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Lay the maximum permitted odds behind the existing don't-pass bet; the odds have no house edge. Avoid adding bets with a house edge.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a low house edge and creates an opportunity to add true-odds bets if a point is established. A 20-chip flat bet leaves room for substantial odds within the table limits.

Model's stated reason

Lay the maximum permitted odds behind the existing don't-pass bet on 9. The odds pay at true odds, adding no expected loss while improving odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet has a favorable position on point 9, and its laid odds pay true odds. Additional bets carry a house edge, so I’ll leave the current bets working without adding exposure.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet is backed by nearly maximum laid odds, which have zero house edge. Adding another bet would increase expected loss, and the recent rolls do not change the odds of the next throw.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a low house edge. A six-chip flat bet allows whole-chip payouts at the maximum laid odds for any point, if one is established.

Model's stated reason

Lay the maximum permitted odds behind the existing don't-pass bet on 8. The odds pay at true odds, adding no expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a low house edge. A six-chip flat bet allows whole-chip laid odds at the maximum permitted multiple if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Lay the maximum permitted odds behind the existing don't-pass bet on 9. Odds pay at true odds, adding no house-edge loss.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet is backed by the maximum allowed zero-edge odds. Additional available bets have a house edge, so I’ll keep the current position.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing don't-pass bet on 9 and its fair-odds lay. Additional available bets have negative expected value, so I’m adding none.

Model's stated reason

A minimum pass-line bet limits expected loss while allowing true-odds betting if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Every available new bet has a negative expected return. With no bets on the table, sitting out preserves my chips.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a relatively low house edge. A six-chip flat bet allows whole-chip payouts when laying the maximum permitted odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among the available come-out bets. If a point is established, this flat bet can support larger zero-house-edge odds.

Model's stated reason

The 78-chip lay is the maximum legal odds behind my existing don't-pass bet on 5. It pays true odds, adding no house edge.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet has favorable odds now that the point is 5, and its laid odds have no house edge. Every available new bet has a house edge, so I’ll leave the table unchanged.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet has a favorable position at point 5, and its laid odds pay true odds. New bets have a house edge, so I’ll keep the current bets and add nothing.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass odds are at the largest legal whole-chip stake. A don't-come bet provides another opportunity to add zero-house-edge odds once it establishes a point.

Model's stated reason

A minimum don't-pass bet limits expected loss while creating an opportunity to add zero-house-edge odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Lay the maximum permitted odds behind the existing don't-pass bet at true odds, with no added house edge.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a low house edge. A six-chip flat bet also permits whole-chip payouts on maximum laid odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

A minimum-stake don't pass bet limits expected loss while creating an opportunity to add zero-house-edge odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

A small don't-come bet has a relatively low house edge and may allow free odds once it establishes a point. I’m keeping the existing don't-pass bet working.

Model's stated reason

The laid odds on my existing don't-come 5 pay true odds, so they add exposure without adding expected loss. I’ll take the maximum available and avoid new house-edge bets.

Model's stated reason

The existing laid odds have zero house edge. Every available new bet has negative expected value, so I’ll keep the current bets and add nothing.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass and don't-come bets are favorable now that their points are established, and the laid odds have no house edge. Every available new bet has a house edge, so I’ll keep the current bets and add nothing.

Model's stated reason

The existing laid odds pay at true odds. With no additional odds available, adding another bet would introduce a house edge, so I’ll leave the table unchanged.

Model's stated reason

A minimum-stake don't pass bet limits expected loss while preserving the option to add zero-house-edge odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

With one decision roll remaining, I cannot add odds after a point is established. Staying out avoids a negative-expected-value bet.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +61 chips over 40 rolls

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