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Craps table

Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value. Making no bets preserves the bankroll and maximizes expected chips over the session.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value. With no wagering requirement, keeping all chips unbet maximizes expected final bankroll.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping all 1,000 chips unexposed maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping all 1,000 chips unexposed maximizes expected session-end chips.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping all 1,000 chips unexposed maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value. Placing no bets preserves chips and maximizes expected final bankroll.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping the chips uncommitted maximizes expected final bankroll.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value. Keeping my chips unbet maximizes expected final bankroll.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, so placing no bets maximizes expected chips retained. Previous rolls do not predict the next independent roll.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value. Declining to bet preserves the bankroll and maximizes expected chips over the session.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, so placing no bets maximizes expected chips retained. Past rolls do not change the probabilities of the next independent roll.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value. Declining to bet preserves chips and maximizes expected final bankroll.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value. Making no bets preserves chips and maximizes expected final bankroll.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping all 1,000 chips maximizes expected final chips without taking unnecessary risk.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping the bankroll unexposed maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value. Placing no bets preserves the bankroll and maximizes expected chips.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping all 1,000 chips uncommitted maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping all 1,000 chips off the table maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value, so making no bet maximizes expected chips retained. Past rolls do not predict the next independent dice roll.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping all 1,000 chips unexposed maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping all 1,000 chips uncommitted maximizes expected ending chips.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value. Declining to bet preserves the bankroll and maximizes expected chips over the session.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value, so making no new bets maximizes expected final chips and preserves the bankroll.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, so making no new bets maximizes expected chips retained. Past rolls do not change the probabilities of the next independent roll.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value, so placing no bets maximizes expected chips. Previous rolls do not change the probabilities of future independent rolls.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value. Placing no bets preserves the bankroll and maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, so making no new bets maximizes expected chips and preserves the bankroll.

Model's stated reason

All available wagers have negative expected value, and betting is optional. Placing no bets preserves my bankroll and maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value. Declining to wager preserves the bankroll and maximizes expected chips.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value. Keeping all 1,000 chips un wagered maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping the bankroll unexposed maximizes expected chips over the remaining rolls.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, so making no new bets maximizes expected final chips. Previous rolls do not change the probabilities of the next roll.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value. Making no new bets preserves the bankroll and maximizes expected chips at session end.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value. Making no new bets preserves the bankroll and maximizes expected chips at session end.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping all 1,000 chips unexposed maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value, and betting is optional. Keeping the bankroll unexposed maximizes expected chips retained.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value. Placing no bets preserves the bankroll and maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value. Placing no bets preserves the bankroll and maximizes expected chips at session end.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value. Placing no bets preserves the bankroll and maximizes expected chips over the remaining session.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has negative expected value. Placing no bets preserves the 1,000-chip bankroll and maximizes expected final chips.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Session result: 0 chips over 40 rolls

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.