Showdown Hold'em table
Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Sep 29, 2026, 4:52 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
7-3 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x range and too weak to raise 3x, so I check and see the flop for free, keeping the option to raise 2x if it improves.
Model's stated reason
7s3c on a 6c-Ts-Kd flop has no pair and no strong draw, so a 2x raise has negative expected value. Checking keeps the risk small and leaves the river fold option open.
Model's stated reason
King-high loses to almost any qualifying dealer hand, but folding costs 2 antes for sure. Raising has an estimated EV of about -1.8 antes, since the dealer fails to qualify about 40% of the time and we often win the play bet then, so it beats folding.
Model's stated reason
2-6 offsuit is far below the optimal 4x raising range, so I check preflop and keep the risk small to see the flop.
Model's stated reason
I hold a pair of twos (2c 2d) on the flop. Standard Casino Hold'em basic strategy raises 2x with any made pair, and the dealer is not far ahead often enough to make checking better, though this is marginal.
Model's stated reason
4-5 offsuit is far below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+ etc.), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop or river.
Model's stated reason
4-5 on a 7-Q-8 board is only a gutshot with no pair, so a 2x raise risks too much against a dealer who qualifies with any pair. Checking keeps the river decision open.
Model's stated reason
My 4-5 doesn't play. I only have the board's pair of eights with A-Q-7 kickers, and the dealer beats that with almost any card above a 6 or any pocket pair. I can basically only tie, so the extra 10 chips is negative EV and folding loses less.
Model's stated reason
K9 suited is inside the published optimal 4x range (K2s+ and K5o+ both qualify), so raising 4x preflop is the highest-EV play.
Model's stated reason
3s7s is outside the optimal 4x raise range (weak suited hand, no ace or high cards), so I check and see the flop for a cheaper decision.
Model's stated reason
7-high with only a backdoor spade flush draw on a Q-T-4 flop is too weak to put 2x more at risk, so I check and will decide on the river.
Model's stated reason
My best five cards are just the board (4-4-A-Q-T), so I can only tie or lose. The dealer always qualifies with the board pair and beats me about 53% of the time, so raising loses about 16 chips on average versus 20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
QJ offsuit is inside the published optimal 4x range (Q8o+), so a preflop 4x raise maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
2h5d is offsuit trash, well outside the optimal 4x raising range, so I check preflop and keep the risk small to see the flop.
Model's stated reason
2h 5d on Ah 3s Ks is only ace-high with a gutshot wheel draw (needs a 4), which is too weak to put 2x more at risk against the dealer. Checking keeps the option to raise or fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
The board is A-K-Q-J-3 and my best five is ace-high with a 5 kicker, which loses to any dealer pair and to any dealer 10 (straight). Even an unpaired dealer hand almost always has a better kicker, so a 1x raise loses 30 versus 20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
77 is inside the published optimal 4x range (33+), so the maximum preflop raise maximizes expected chips.
Model's stated reason
6d2d is a weak offsuit-ish hand well outside the optimal 4x range, so I check and wait for the flop to decide on a 2x raise.
Model's stated reason
6d2d on a 7c Kc Kd board is only 7-high with a pair of kings on the board, and the dealer will often hold a king or a pair that beats me. Checking risks nothing more and keeps the option to raise 1x on the river or fold.
Model's stated reason
My best hand is just the board's three kings with 9-7 kickers, so I can only tie or lose. The dealer always qualifies and beats me about 88% of the time, so a raise risks 30 to save at most 20 and folding is better.
Model's stated reason
4-6 offsuit is well outside the optimal 4x raise range, so I check and see the flop for free, keeping the option to raise 2x if it improves.
Model's stated reason
4-6 offsuit on a Td-3s-8h flop is only a weak draw with no pair, so raising 2x would put too much at risk against a dealer who often ends up with a pair. Checking keeps the option to fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
I hold a pair of fours with K-T-8 kickers. By my rough count the dealer beats that in about 45% of the 990 possible holdings, so raising has an EV of roughly -5 chips against -20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
T7 offsuit is well outside the 4x raise range (no ace, no pair, weak kicker), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop or river with a better read.
Model's stated reason
T-high with a 7 on a J-Q-2 flop has no pair and only weak backdoor straight and flush draws. That is not enough to put 2x more at risk, so I check and keep the fold option on the river.
Model's stated reason
Folding costs 20 chips for certain. I hold a pair of sevens with an ace kicker, and the dealer often misses a qualifying pair or has a weaker hand. Raising 1x has a clearly better expected value than folding.
Model's stated reason
KJ suited is in the published optimal 4x range (K2s+ and K5o+ both cover it), so raising 4x preflop maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
2s4d is offsuit and weak, well outside the optimal 4x raising range, so check preflop and see the flop before deciding whether to raise 2x.
Model's stated reason
Pair of fours plus an open wheel draw (any 5 makes a straight) on an A-4-3 board is a solid flop hand against the dealer, so the 2x raise is worth taking.
Model's stated reason
J4 offsuit is outside the published 4x raise range (J8s+ or JTo), and it is too weak for a 3x raise, so I check and see the flop for free.
Model's stated reason
Jack-high with no pair and only a weak backdoor flush and straight draw is too weak to put 2x more at risk on the flop, so I check and can still fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
I have only king-high (K J T 8 5) on a board that pairs the dealer with about 60% of holdings. When the dealer doesn't qualify, A or Q high still beats me about half the time. Raising has an estimated EV of about -2.0 units, no better than folding's -2, so I fold rather than risk more.
Model's stated reason
A4 suited contains an ace, which is in the published optimal 4x preflop range, so raising 4x maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
7s6s is outside the published optimal 4x range (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so I check preflop and see the flop before deciding whether to raise 2x.
Model's stated reason
7s6s with Ts and Ks on board gives a four-flush draw of about 35% to hit, but a weak high-card hand otherwise. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x on the river if the flush hits and caps the loss at 20 chips if it misses. The EV difference against raising 2x is small.
Model's stated reason
I have a king-high spade flush (7s 6s with Ts Ks Js). Only a small share of dealer holdings beat it, so raising 1x is clearly positive EV.
Model's stated reason
K6 suited is inside the published optimal 4x range (K2s+), so raising 4x maximizes expected chips.
Model's stated reason
4-6 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x raising range, so I check to limit chips at risk and reassess on the flop.
Model's stated reason
The board pair gives the dealer a pair every hand, so they always qualify. I hold a pair of fives with an ace and six in play, plus straight-draw outs. The dealer beats me only with an ace, a 4 or 6 pairing up, or a pocket pair, about 40% of the time. That leaves me a clear edge, so the 2x raise has positive EV.
Model's stated reason
7-4 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x raising range, so I check preflop and see the flop without risking more chips.
Model's stated reason
7d 4s on a Qd Kh 9s flop is essentially air with no pair and no real draw, so a 2x raise has negative expectation. Checking keeps the option to fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
My 7-4 doesn't play; I only have the board's K-K-Q-J-9, so the dealer can tie but never lose. The dealer improves in about 71% of holdings (any A, K, Q, J, 10, 9 or a pair), so raising costs about -21.2 chips against -20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
A-J offsuit falls under 'any ace' in the published optimal 4x table, so the max preflop raise is the standard play against the house dealer.
Model's stated reason
KJo is in the published optimal 4x range (K5o+), so raising 4x preflop maximizes expected value against the house dealer.
Model's stated reason
2-6 offsuit is far below the optimal 4x raise range, so I check to limit risk and see the flop.
Model's stated reason
2h 6s on an 8d Ac Jc flop has no pair, no draw and little equity against a dealer who holds an ace in many hands, so a 2x raise would be -EV. Checking keeps the risk small and leaves the river fold option open.
Model's stated reason
I have two pair, sixes and twos with an ace kicker, on an unpaired board. Only sets, higher two pair, or a club flush beat it, so I win well over half the time and the 1x raise has clear positive EV.
Model's stated reason
2-9 offsuit is far below the optimal 4x raising range (which needs K5o+ or Q8o+, for example), so I check and wait for the flop rather than risk a large raise.
Model's stated reason
2d9c on a Jd 4c Kc flop is a hand with no pair, no draw and only nine-high, so it is far behind the dealer's range. Checking keeps the risk at the ante and blind and leaves the river fold option open.
Model's stated reason
I hold only king-high (K Q J 9 6) and the dealer qualifies about 64% of the time, almost always beating me. My estimated EV for raising 1x is about -2.08 antes, slightly worse than folding at -2, so I fold.
Model's stated reason
K9 suited is inside the published optimal 4x range (K2s+), so raising 4x maximizes expected value against the house dealer.
Model's stated reason
J7 offsuit is outside the optimal 4x raise range (J8s+ or JTo), so I check preflop and keep the risk low, then decide on the flop.
Model's stated reason
J7 offsuit on a 4-9-3 rainbow flop is just jack-high with no pair, no flush draw and only a gutshot-type straight chance. That is too weak to put 2x more at risk, so I check and see the river.
Model's stated reason
I have only king-high on the river, so I only win when the dealer misses a pair and has no ace or queen, roughly 19% of the time. Raising is about -20 chips against -20 for folding, and folding carries no extra risk.
Model's stated reason
J6 suited is outside the published optimal 4x range (J8s+ or JTo), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop or river.
Model's stated reason
The board pair of 8s means the dealer always qualifies, and my J kicker loses to any dealer ace, king, queen, 7, or higher pocket pair. That puts my equity below 50%, so I check to keep the cheaper river decision.
Model's stated reason
Jacks and eights two pair (7 kicker) beats most dealer hands on this board, so the 1x raise is clearly +EV against a range that only loses to a few trips, straights, full houses or higher pairs.
Model's stated reason
Q2 suited is outside the published optimal 4x range (Q6s+ needed), so I check preflop and see the flop.
Model's stated reason
The board pair of jacks means the dealer always qualifies. My jacks with a Q kicker lose to any dealer ace, king, jack, 4, pocket pair, or queen with a kicker above 4. I win only about 40% of the time, so the extra 2x bet is negative EV and I check.
Model's stated reason
The board pair of jacks means the dealer always qualifies. I have jacks and twos with a king kicker, which beats roughly two thirds of dealer holdings. Only a king, a four or a higher pocket pair beats me, so the 1x raise is clearly +EV.
Model's stated reason
7-9 offsuit is outside the optimal 4x raise range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, J8s+, JTo), so I check to see the flop and keep the risk low.
Model's stated reason
7-9 offsuit with no pair on a K-8-2 board is a weak holding (only bottom-ish pair draws with the 8 and gutshot-ish outs), so a 2x raise has negative expectation; checking keeps the risk low and lets me see the river.
Model's stated reason
I hold a pair of nines with a king kicker on a board with no flush possible, which beats most dealer hands. The raise is well above the break-even point compared with folding and losing 20 chips.
Model's stated reason
Pocket fours fall within the published optimal 4x range (33+), so raising 4x maximizes expected chips. Chat is off, so the table message is empty.
Model's stated reason
4s6s is outside the published optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so I check preflop and keep the option to raise on the flop with a better read.
Model's stated reason
Nines and sixes two pair on the flop is well ahead of most dealer hands, so the 2x raise has clear positive expectation.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat offChat is off for this match.
These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Session result: -205 chips over 30 hands
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