Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
Starting a new session on the come-out roll. Pass line is a foundational bet with a reasonable 1.414% house edge and 1:1 payout. Betting 10 chips leaves ample bankroll for future action while establishing position for potential point play.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6. Taking maximum pass odds (50 chips at true 6:5 odds) gives positive EV. Adding place bets on 6 and 8 (the two highest probability point numbers) diversifies coverage while staying well within the 290 chip exposure limit (total 72 on table).
Model's stated reason
Starting a fresh session with a modest pass line bet. The come-out roll has good odds (7/11 wins, 2/3/12 loses, rest establish point). With 38 rolls remaining and a bankroll of 928, I'm building a disciplined base strategy position.
Model's stated reason
Starting a new come-out roll with a modest pass line bet. After losing the last hand on a seven-out, this is a standard positive-expectation bet to begin rebuilding. With 37 rolls remaining and 938 chips, conservative betting is appropriate.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4. Adding 2:1 odds (20 chips) behind the pass line maximizes positive EV. Placing 6 and 8 (12 chips each) takes advantage of the point phase and provides solid payouts with good probability of hitting before a 7-out.
Model's stated reason
We're at roll 6 of 40 on point 4. I have pass+odds working well (good risk-reward on point 4). Adding a come bet (10 chips) maintains momentum and diversifies; place 4 (5 chips, minimum) covers that number more directly. Total exposure remains well within limits (54 + 15 = 69 chips on table).
Model's stated reason
On come-out roll with 34 rolls remaining and good bankroll. Pass line is a fundamental bet with favorable odds on naturals (7, 11) and point establishment. Starting with 10 chips allows flexibility for follow-up bets if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4. I'll back the pass line with 20 chips of odds (2:1 true odds, max 3x on a 10 chip flat). Then place 6 and 8 for 12 each to have multiple ways to win during the point phase, covering the most common point completions. This gives me three independent ways to profit before a 7-out.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with solid odds coverage. Adding a come bet to establish another point and a place 5 to cover the middle. Both bets have good house edge profiles and utilize remaining exposure efficiently.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4, and I already have 30 chips in odds and place bets working toward favorable outcomes. With 31 rolls remaining and 223 exposure available, I'll hold my current position and let the bets work without adding more chips at this moment.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with 30 rolls remaining. Adding a come bet continues the aggressive positive expectation strategy, utilizing remaining exposure (223 available, adding 10 leaves 213). The come bet offers 1:1 payoff and can establish its own point, providing additional ways to win on this favorable point phase.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with 29 decisions remaining. Placing a modest pass line bet to establish a point with positive expectation. Conservative 10-chip stake preserves bankroll while maintaining exposure flexibility for subsequent rolls.
Model's stated reason
I have a pass line bet of 10 on point 9. Adding 20 chips of pass odds (2x multiple) behind it maximizes my expected value by betting at true odds (3:2 on 9). With 28 rolls remaining and 290 chips exposure available, this leverages my advantage and properly utilizes the odds.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll, I'm placing modest bets on both pass and don't pass to hedge my risk while maintaining exposure control. This balanced approach lets me capitalize on favorable outcomes (pass wins on 7/11, don't pass wins on 2/3) while keeping total table exposure at 20 chips well below the 300-chip limit.
Model's stated reason
On come-out, I'm establishing a baseline with modest pass and don't pass bets (10 chips each). This hedged approach minimizes variance while I observe the session momentum with 26 rolls remaining and a 806-chip bankroll.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6. I have pass and don't pass both working at 6, which is a hedge that protects against large swings. Adding pass odds (3x on 6 allows up to 30 chips at 6:5 true odds) locks in value on the pass line. Place 6 and 8 are efficient bets on the point numbers. This balanced approach maintains the hedge while adding positive expected value bets.
Model's stated reason
I have conflicting bets on point 6 (pass line and don't pass hedge). The pass line is locked in and non-removable, so I must remove the don't pass, its corresponding pass odds hedge, and the place 6 (which duplicates my pass line exposure). I'll keep place 8 to maintain action on the table with positive expected value, then reassess after the next roll.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6. Taking maximum 5x odds (50 chips) on the pass line bet (10 chips) to improve expected value. This is optimal strategy as odds bets have no house edge and increase EV significantly.
Model's stated reason
Starting a new come-out roll with a basic pass line bet. This is the fundamental craps bet with -1.4% house edge.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5. Adding 20 chips of pass odds (2x multiple of 10 flat bet) gives true odds of 3:2, which is a favorable positive EV play. This maximizes expected value with 280 chips remaining on exposure.
Model's stated reason
Starting a new come-out roll with a modest pass line bet. With 20 rolls remaining and a bankroll of 916, conservative betting establishes a foundation with positive expectation and minimizes variance risk.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6. Adding 50 chips in pass odds (5x on 6) at true odds 6:5 for positive expected value. Supporting with place 6 and place 8 bets to generate additional ways to win before a 7-out, maximizing chip gain with 62 chips total on the table.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with 18 rolls remaining. Current position: pass line + odds on 6, plus place 6 and place 8. These bets are well-positioned for the current point cycle. No new bets needed; maintaining existing coverage is optimal given the limited rolls remaining and moderate exposure (72 chips on table out of 300 max). Focus on letting the current bets resolve.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6; I have solid coverage with pass_line, pass_odds, and place_6. Adding place_5 diversifies my number coverage and improves my win probability on subsequent rolls while staying well within exposure limits (72 + 5 = 77 chips on table, well below 300 max).
Model's stated reason
On come-out rolls, place bets are off and don't work. I'm removing these two place bets (8 and 5) now to reduce exposure and recapture 11 chips. This gives me flexibility for the remaining 16 rolls without dead money sitting idle on a come-out roll.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6. Place 6 and 8 are the best bets in the point phase due to their low house edge (1.52%) and high probability of hitting before a 7. Betting 12 chips on each (two multiples of 6) keeps me positioned to win on the point while managing exposure and variance.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with place 6 and place 8 working. I'll hold current position to preserve my chips; with only 14 rolls left, defensive positioning is prudent. The next roll could easily seven-out, ending this hand.
Model's stated reason
On come-out roll with 13 rolls remaining and 969 chips. Balanced modest pass/don't pass bets (10 each) to hedge risk while building edge through superior odds strategy on point establishment. Conservative sizing preserves bankroll for odds plays.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with puck ON. I have conflicting pass/don't pass bets at equal stakes, so I remove the don't pass to focus on winning this point. I'll back my pass line with maximum odds (40 on a 10 stake, 4:1 ratio) and add two stable place bets (6 and 8, good payout ratios of 7:6) to increase my chances of hitting before a 7-out.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with pass+odds working. Adding place 6 and 8 (the 6-8 pair) provides good coverage for hits before a 7-out. These bets complement the pass line and create multiple ways to win on this hand.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with pass line + odds and place 8 working. Only 10 rolls remaining in session. Maintaining current position with strong pass odds (4:1 true odds on 9) is prudent; no additional bets needed while waiting for point repeat or seven-out.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with 80 chips already in play. Adding a place 6 bet (6 chip stake, pays 7:6) provides positive EV coverage of the 6 while the point develops. This diversifies risk and uses remaining exposure efficiently.
Model's stated reason
We're on a come-out roll with 8 rolls remaining. Removing the non-working place bets (place_8 and place_6) to clear the table and reset. Starting fresh with a modest pass line bet of 10 chips to establish a new point, preserving bankroll for the remaining rolls.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6. I'm adding max pass odds (50 chips at true 6:5 odds) to leverage my pass line bet. I'm also placing 6 and 8 (12 chips each) to cover the most likely point repeats while protecting against 7-out. This uses 74 chips of my 290 remaining exposure, maintaining position for remaining hands.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with 5 rolls remaining. Remove pass_odds (poor 6:5 odds on 6) and place_6 (7.41% house edge) to lock in pass_line profit and reduce exposure before the likely 7-out.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with 5 rolls remaining, I'm betting both sides modestly (10 chips each on pass and don't pass) to maintain exposure while maximizing expected value. This hedge strategy locks in low house edge bets and allows flexibility for subsequent rolls depending on the point outcome.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with equal pass and don't pass bets at stake. Adding maximum odds (3x on 10) to both sides hedges the position while utilizing the exposure efficiently. Pass odds pay 2:1, don't pass laid odds pay 1:2, creating a balanced risk structure with 4 rolls remaining.
Model's stated reason
I'm currently holding contradictory positions on point 10: pass_line + pass_odds (betting for 10) versus dont_pass + dont_pass_odds (betting against 10). With only 3 rolls remaining and the point at 10, I should let these bets play out naturally rather than adding new bets. Both sides will resolve quickly, and any new bets risk wasting exposure on a short session end.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with 2 hands remaining in the session, I'm taking a balanced approach by betting both sides of the line. The pass line and don't pass each at 10 chips provide maximum expected value with minimal exposure, leaving flexibility for subsequent decisions based on the point established.
Model's stated reason
This is the final decision roll (roll 40 of 40). Point is 8. I have pass and don't pass on 8. I'm adding pass odds (3x on 8 pays 6:5), and place bets on 6 and 8 (both pay 7:6). These bets have positive expected value and utilize exposure efficiently to maximize chips before the session ends.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
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Result
Session result: +231 chips over 40 rolls
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