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Craps table

Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

12 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

No bets on the table and the point is 9. Every available bet carries a house edge, so the optimal EV play is to place nothing and preserve chips.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among the available flat bets (1.36%), and the come-out roll is the only time it can be placed. I keep the stake modest relative to bankroll and avoid high-edge props like any seven or any craps.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 8; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among flat bets, and a 50-chip flat allows full odds behind any point within the 300-chip exposure cap, maximizing odds utilization and minimizing EV loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet to reduce house edge and increase odds utilization; no other negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

Bet 20 on don't come, the lowest house edge available, to set up max odds later and minimize expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum zero-house-edge laid odds behind the existing don't come 5 to improve odds utilization and reduce overall expected loss per chip; keep the flat bet since its conditional EV is favorable.

Model's stated reason

Place a small don't-come flat to enable free odds; 50 keeps room under the 300 exposure cap for full allowed odds on any point, minimizing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 6; odds are zero-EV and improve odds utilization without adding house edge.

Model's stated reason

Add a low-house-edge don't come bet to increase action and potentially set up free odds on its point later; keep existing don't come 6 and odds working.

Model's stated reason

Remove the unresolved don't come bet because it carries a negative expected value from this point; keep the favorable don't come 6 flat and its zero-edge odds.

Model's stated reason

Bet dont_come with 50 to minimize house edge and leave room for max odds (up to 5x on 6/8) to improve odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among available come-out bets; I'll add laid odds once a point is established to maximize odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 9; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization, while the existing don't pass is already favorable with 7 more likely than 9.

Model's stated reason

Betting the don't come line with a stake sized to allow maximum free odds (5x) on the most likely points (6/8) within bankroll, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Place the largest flat bet that still allows maximum odds for any point (6x flat = 138), using don't pass for its lower house edge. This sets up zero-EV odds bets on the next roll.

Model's stated reason

Take maximum zero-house-edge odds behind the don't pass point of 9 to improve odds utilization and reduce expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Bet don't pass with a small flat stake to minimize house edge and allow maximum odds utilization on any point.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10, making the existing don't pass bet favorable; adding maximum laid odds behind it is a zero-house-edge bet that improves odds utilization without increasing expected loss.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't pass and laid odds on 10 are already favorable and odds are maxed; no new bet offers positive EV, so I keep the position unchanged.

Model's stated reason

Existing don't pass on 10 has positive conditional expectation (2/3 win) and laid odds are fair; adding any new bet would carry a house edge, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Existing don't pass and laid odds on point 10 have positive conditional EV; no new bet offers better expected value, so I keep the table unchanged.

Model's stated reason

Current dont_pass on 10 is favorable; no positive-EV bets are available, so standing pat preserves expected value and avoids adding negative house-edge exposure.

Model's stated reason

Keep the existing don't pass and laid odds on point 10; they are already favorably positioned, and no additional odds capacity is available. Adding any other bet would only increase expected loss per chip without improving odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Place a don't come bet to start a low-house-edge flat bet, then add max odds next roll if a point is established, minimizing expected loss per chip and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Place the maximum dont_come flat bet, which has the lowest house edge among available bets, to set up a large laid-odds bet next roll if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Adding maximum laid odds behind the existing positive-EV don't come 4. Odds carry zero house edge, improving ev_loss_per_chip and odds_utilization while keeping the favorable flat bet.

Model's stated reason

No positive-EV bets are available on this final decision roll; the existing don't come flat on 4 has positive expected value and the laid odds are fair, so I keep them and add nothing.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -593 chips over 40 rolls

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