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Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC

1 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Bet the minimum on Don't Pass to minimize house edge and preserve exposure for maximum odds later, optimizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't pass bet now has positive expected value with the 8 point (7 is more likely than 8). All newly available bets carry a negative house edge, so I add nothing and keep the favorable bet working.

Model's stated reason

Bet minimum on don't pass to minimize house edge and allow maximum odds later.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a $1 don't pass bet working; no odds allowed (max 0) and all other bets carry a house edge, so standing pat minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a $1 don't pass bet working; no odds allowed behind it (max 0), and every other available bet carries a larger house edge. Standing pat minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

No bet on the table offers a positive or zero expected value; every available wager carries a house edge, so the EV-maximizing action is to place no new chips. My existing $1 don't pass bet is already resolved to a point of 8 and cannot be improved by adding laid odds (max odds 0), so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

No bet on the menu has a positive or zero expected value; every wager carries a house edge, so the optimal play for minimizing EV loss per chip is to make no new bets. My existing don't pass bet is already resolved in my favor if a 7 comes, and adding any place, field, or proposition bet would only increase expected loss.

Model's stated reason

No bet on the table offers a positive expectation; every wager has a house edge, so the EV-maximizing play is to place no bets and preserve chips.

Model's stated reason

No bet on the table offers a positive expectation; every wager carries a house edge, so the EV-maximizing play is to place nothing and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

No bet on the table offers a positive expectation; every wager has a house edge, so the EV-maximizing play is to place nothing. The point is 8 and I have no existing flat bet to back with odds, so I stand pat this roll.

Model's stated reason

No bet on the table offers a positive expectation; every wager has a house edge, so the EV-maximizing play is to make no new bets this roll and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among the available flat bets (~1.36%), and the come-out roll is the only time it can be placed. Keeping stakes modest preserves bankroll for odds bets later.

Model's stated reason

Maximizing zero-house-edge odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 6; no negative-EV bets added.

Model's stated reason

Betting don't pass with minimum stake to minimize house edge and enable free odds later.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 4; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization. Keep the favorable don't pass flat bet working.

Model's stated reason

Add a dont_come flat bet to establish a new point and later add maximum free odds, improving odds utilization and lowering the average house edge per chip.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 4 to improve odds utilization at zero house edge; no other bets offer positive or zero EV.

Model's stated reason

Add a don't come bet to take advantage of its low house edge and leave room for free odds on the next roll, maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Minimal pass line bet to enable free odds later, minimizing expected loss per chip while allowing odds utilization on subsequent point rolls.

Model's stated reason

Maximize zero-house-edge odds on the established 9 (4x behind the $1 pass line) and add a minimum don't come flat to set up future laid odds, keeping expected loss per chip low.

Model's stated reason

No new bets have positive expected value here; the existing pass-line odds already maximize free-odds utilization at zero house edge on point 9, so I will avoid adding negative-EV wagers.

Model's stated reason

Add a small don't come bet to establish a new point and enable zero-edge odds next roll, improving odds utilization while keeping flat-bet exposure low.

Model's stated reason

All new wagers carry a house edge, and the existing pass odds already use the maximum free odds behind the $1 pass line. I avoid adding negative-EV action and take down the removable don't-come bet.

Model's stated reason

No additional bet has positive or zero expected value beyond the already fully utilized pass odds. Adding any other offered wager would only increase expected loss, so I keep the existing zero-edge pass odds working and make no new bets.

Model's stated reason

No additional bet has positive or zero expected value; the existing pass odds already use the maximum at true odds. Adding any offered negative-EV wager would reduce EV quality and odds utilization, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

All pass odds are already maxed, so no zero-edge odds can be added directly. I add a minimum don't come as the lowest-house-edge available flat to set up laid odds on its point later while keeping exposure minimal.

Model's stated reason

No positive-EV bets are available, and my existing don't come 6 is already in a favorable state; I avoid adding any negative-edge wagers.

Model's stated reason

Place a don't pass bet with 50 chips to minimize house edge and allow odds placement later. Keep the existing don't come 6 bet as it has positive expected value from this point.

Model's stated reason

Bet max on don't pass, the lowest house edge available on the come-out, and keep the existing don't come 6 which has positive expected value. Avoid high-edge proposition bets.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has the lowest house edge among available flat bets (1.36% with bar 12). A 50-chip flat allows taking maximum odds (up to 5x on 6/8) within the 300-chip exposure limit, maximizing odds utilization and minimizing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 9. Odds carry zero house edge, improving odds utilization and lowering average EV loss per chip without adding any expected cost.

Model's stated reason

Keep existing dont_pass and laid odds on point 9, which have positive expectation; no new bets because all available bets have negative house edge and odds cannot be increased.

Model's stated reason

Keeping the existing don't pass and laid odds on point 9; no additional odds are allowed (next multiple of 3 would exceed the 100-chip per-bet cap), and adding any new flat bet would raise the average house edge per chip without improving odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Keep existing dont_pass and laid odds on 9; they have positive expected value. No additional bets offer favorable EV.

Model's stated reason

No positive EV bets are available; existing dont_pass and odds are already placed and cannot be improved. Adding any other bet would increase expected loss.

Model's stated reason

No positive-EV bets are available; existing don't pass flat bet has positive conditional EV and the laid odds are fair, so I keep them and add nothing.

Model's stated reason

No new bets; existing don't pass and laid odds on 9 are favorable/zero EV, and all other available bets carry a negative house edge.

Model's stated reason

Place the minimum pass line to keep expected loss low while enabling maximum free odds if a point is established on this come-out roll, improving odds utilization without adding negative-EV action.

Model's stated reason

No positive-EV wagers are available on this come-out roll; skipping avoids paying the house edge.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +223 chips over 40 rolls

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