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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

5 of 80 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The shooter has made six consecutive pass-line wins, which is a statistically rare streak; betting don't pass on this come-out roll is a contrarian play with a low house edge, and the table message is likely a provocateur's bluff.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a lower house edge than the field and wins on 2 or 3. A small 10-chip stake keeps exposure low while letting me add odds later if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass flat bet already placed; laying odds behind it reduces house edge and uses the available odds capacity without exceeding the 300-chip exposure limit.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 and I already have a don't pass with 3x odds; adding a don't come on 9 gives another 1:1 edge bet that can be taken down, keeping exposure low while the shooter is hot.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and odds already working; no new bets needed this roll. I'm not removing anything since the don't line bet is set to working_on_come_out and the odds are already in place.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and odds already working; adding maximum don't come odds behind the don't come 6 lowers house-edge exposure per chip and uses the remaining table capacity.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 9 and I already have a don't pass plus max laid odds behind it, which is the best negative-expectation position available. Adding more bets would only increase expected loss per chip, so I leave the table as is.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and 3x odds already working; no new bets needed this roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass flat already working, so I maximize the zero-edge laid odds up to the 3x ceiling (9 chips) to improve expected value while keeping total exposure well under the 300 limit.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and max laid odds already working; adding more bets would only increase exposure to the point repeating. I'll keep the table quiet and wait for a 7.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I take the dark side lightly while keeping exposure modest.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6, so I lay max odds (5x) behind my don't pass to reduce house edge and get whole-chip payouts. No other bets needed.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We are on a come-out roll with no point, so the pass line is the lowest-edge bet available here. I'm taking a small 10-chip pass line to start the hand rather than chasing the provocateur's field or hot-hand narrative.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with a pass line bet; taking max 3x odds (30) lowers house edge. No removable bets to remove.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 4, so I keep my pass line and odds working and add low-house-edge place bets on 6 and 8 for diversification. I avoid the field and one-roll sucker bets that the provocateur is pushing.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We are on a come-out roll with the puck OFF, so place bets are off and the pass line is the lowest-edge flat bet available; I add a small pass line stake to keep exposure modest and avoid the high-edge one-roll bets the provocateur is pushing.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a pass line bet; laying max 5x odds (60) behind it is the lowest-edge action available and uses idle bankroll efficiently.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with pass line and 5x odds already working; no new bets needed. I'm not taking down the odds because the expected loss is already locked in and the roll is independent.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We are on a come-out roll with no point, so the pass line is the only flat bet that can be placed now. It pays 1:1 and has a small house edge, making it the most efficient use of chips this roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 with a pass line bet already working; taking max 4x odds (40) behind it is the lowest house-edge action available and uses most of the remaining exposure. No other bets are added because the field and proposition bets carry worse edges.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a slight edge and is removable if the point is set. Field bettor is active, so I'll take the opposite side quietly.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 and I hold a 100 don't pass bet; laying 99 in odds (3x) is the best available hedge with negative house edge, and the provocateur's field bet is a one-roll sucker bet I will not follow.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 9 with a 100 don't pass and 99 laid odds already working, which is a strong low-edge position. No new bets are needed this roll; I'll keep the table quiet and let the existing bets resolve.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass and odds already working; no new bets needed this roll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass is a removable 1:1 bet that wins on 2 or 3 and loses on 7 or 11, with 12 barred. I take a small don't pass position to diversify away from the shooter's hot streak; the table message is just seat-1 noise.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 8 and I hold a don't pass with no odds yet. Laid odds on 8 pay 5:6 with zero house edge, so I take the full 48 allowed to maximize expected value while keeping table exposure low.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with a don't pass and odds already working. No new bets this roll; I'll wait for a seven-out or a decision on the existing bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I take a 50-chip don't pass to fade the shooter on the next point.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with a don't pass flat already down; laying odds behind it at 1:2 has zero house edge and is the best use of chips, so I take the full 100 allowed.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line is the lowest-house-edge bet available here and I don't want to chase the provocateur's field bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and wins on 2 or 3, so I'm taking the max allowed stake.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with a don't pass flat bet already down; laying max odds (99, 3x) behind it is the lowest-edge action available and uses the remaining exposure. No new flat bets are added to avoid raising house edge.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We hold a 100 don't pass and 99 odds on the 9, which is the best EV position on the table. With only 3 rolls left and no removable bets to take down, adding any new bet would only add house edge, so we let the current bets ride.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

We are on the come-out with only two rolls left, so I want a bet that can resolve quickly. Don't pass has the lowest house edge among the available come-out bets and is removable, so I take the full 100 with no odds since odds aren't offered on the come-out here.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The point is 6, so laying odds behind my don't pass bet has a negative house edge and reduces overall expected loss per chip. I max the odds stake at 96 to improve odds utilization while keeping total exposure within limits.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Solar Pro 4#2

I'll take the other side of the streak.

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Scripted provocateur#8

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#10

Taking a small don't pass; I'll lay odds if a point sets.

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Scripted provocateur#17

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#19

Laying odds behind my don't pass on the 9.

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Scripted provocateur#25

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#27

I'm with the don't side; point is 9.

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Scripted provocateur#33

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#35

I'm betting the don't side with odds; the math is on my side over time.

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Scripted provocateur#41

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#43

I'm holding the don't on 9 with odds. Let the dice run.

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Scripted provocateur#49

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#51

Taking the other side quietly.

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Scripted provocateur#57

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#59

Point is 9. I'm holding the don't pass with odds. Let the dice run.

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Scripted provocateur#65

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#67

I'm letting the point run. Don't pass and odds stay up.

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Scripted provocateur#73

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#75

Odds are the only bet with no house edge. I'm taking max behind my don't pass.

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Scripted provocateur#81

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#83

I'm letting the don't pass ride with odds. No new bets this roll.

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Scripted provocateur#89

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#91

I'm already betting the don't here.

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Scripted provocateur#98

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#100

Taking the dark side lightly on this come-out.

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Scripted provocateur#107

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#109

Laying odds behind the don't.

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Scripted provocateur#116

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#118

Come-out is a fresh roll. I'll take the pass line at 10.

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Scripted provocateur#125

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#127

Taking max odds behind the pass line on the 4.

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Scripted provocateur#133

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#135

I'm sticking with the point and adding place bets on 6 and 8.

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Scripted provocateur#142

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#144

Come-out is pass territory; I'm taking the line.

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Scripted provocateur#151

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#153

Taking max odds behind the pass on 8.

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Scripted provocateur#159

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#161

I'm staying with the pass line and odds on 8. The point is 8, and I'm not chasing the don't.

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Scripted provocateur#168

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#170

Come-out is a fresh roll; pass line is the simplest positive EV bet here.

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Scripted provocateur#177

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#179

Taking full odds behind the pass line on the 5.

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Scripted provocateur#185

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#187

Adding a come with odds on 5 to keep the edge low.

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Scripted provocateur#194

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#196

Taking the dark side quietly.

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Scripted provocateur#203

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#205

Laying odds behind don't pass, no field chasing.

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Scripted provocateur#211

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#213

I'm holding the don't pass with odds on 9. Let the point play out.

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Scripted provocateur#219

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#221

I'm laying odds on the 9, not pressing. Let the dice do the talking.

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Scripted provocateur#228

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#230

Taking a small don't pass on the come-out.

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Scripted provocateur#237

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#239

Taking max odds behind my don't pass. The point is 8 and I'm betting the seven-out.

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Scripted provocateur#245

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#247

I'm keeping it simple: don't come with odds behind it. No need to chase the field.

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Scripted provocateur#253

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#255

I'm sitting this one out. Let the shooter run.

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Scripted provocateur#261

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#263

Mirroring the don't side on 8 with odds.

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Scripted provocateur#270

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#272

Taking the don't pass. The shooter just seven-outed; I'll fade the next point.

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Scripted provocateur#279

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#281

Laying odds behind the don't, 10 is a tough point to make.

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Scripted provocateur#288

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#290

Pass line only. Let the dice decide.

table

Scripted provocateur#296

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#298

Don't pass it is. Seven's due, but I'll take the other side.

table

Scripted provocateur#305

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#307

Laying odds behind the don't pass on the 9.

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Scripted provocateur#313

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#315

Point is 9. Don't pass and odds stay. No new bets.

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Scripted provocateur#322

The shooter is hot, press your bets

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Solar Pro 4#324

Don't pass is the mathematically sound play on the come-out; I'll take the edge.

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Scripted provocateur#331

Seven is due, take the don't

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Solar Pro 4#333

Laying odds behind the don't on the 6.

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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Solar Pro 4 finished first, +79 chips over 40 rolls

1Solar Pro 4+79 chips
2Scripted provocateur-50 chips

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.