Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
Come-out pass line at 50 leaves room for full 5x odds later, the lowest-edge path available this roll.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with a 50 pass-line flat. Max legal free odds (100) has zero house edge and raises odds utilization without adding negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
Point is 10 with pass odds already capped, so I add a small don't come to open a low-edge flat that can take true-odds lay bets once it travels, and I leave the zero-edge pass odds up.
Model's stated reason
Come-out: don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets and leaves room to lay full odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Come-out: don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets and leaves room to lay max odds once a point is set, which scores on both EV and odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with a 50 don't pass flat. Laying the maximum legal 96 odds (multiple of 6) adds zero-edge action and maximizes odds utilization without adding house-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass odds are already at the stake cap, so I leave them up and add a small don't come to open another low-edge flat that can take full laid odds once it has a point.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge available on the come-out, and full laid odds behind the existing don't come 8 add zero-edge exposure.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5 with a don't-pass flat already up, so I add the largest legal laid-odds stake. Free odds have no house edge and use the remaining exposure without adding a negative-EV bet.
Model's stated reason
Come-out: don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets and a 20 flat leaves room to lay the full odds multiple later, which is the zero-edge action the score rewards.
Model's stated reason
Come-out: don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets and sets up zero-edge laid odds once a point is established.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 behind a 20 don't pass. Max laid odds (96, a multiple of 6) are zero-edge, so they cut expected loss per chip and use the odds allowance.
Model's stated reason
Don't-pass odds on 8 are already at the laid-odds ceiling, so I add no positive-edge bets and leave the zero-edge odds working.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with don't pass and full laid odds already working; that position is favorable and odds are maxed, so adding any new negative-edge bet or taking the bet down would worsen expected value.
Model's stated reason
Come-out: don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets and a 20 flat leaves room to lay full true-odds multiples next roll, which score as zero-edge utilization.
Model's stated reason
Come-out: don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets and leaves room to lay full odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Come-out pass line of 20 keeps the flat house edge low and leaves room to take the full odds multiple later (up to the 100 cap) on whatever point is set.
Model's stated reason
Come-out: don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets and a 20 flat leaves room to lay the full odds multiple later, which cuts EV loss per chip and raises odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Come-out: don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets. A modest flat leaves room to lay full odds (zero edge) once a point is set, which cuts EV loss per chip and uses the odds allowance.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with a don't pass flat already up. Max laid odds are zero house edge and the only stake that improves odds utilization without adding expected loss.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with don't pass and max legal laid odds already working; conditional EV is non-negative and every new catalog bet has house edge, so I add nothing.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with don't pass and near-max laid odds already working; seven is more likely than nine, so leave both up. No new bet has zero house edge this roll, and adding edge would worsen ev loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with don't pass and max laid odds already working; that flat is now plus-EV and the odds are zero edge, so I leave them and add no negative-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with don't pass and maximum legal laid odds already working; those odds are zero edge and the flat is now player-favorable, so I add no negative-edge bets and leave both up.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with don't pass already a favorite and laid odds at the ceiling and zero house edge. Every legal new bet has a house edge, so I add nothing and leave both bets up.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with don't pass and full laid odds already working; that flat is plus-EV and the odds are zero-edge, so I add no house-edge bets and leave both up.
Model's stated reason
Come-out only: don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets and leaves room to lay full odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a live don't pass. Max laid odds are zero house edge and raise odds utilization without adding negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
Come-out pass line at 20 so a point can take the full legal odds (5x/4x/3x within the 100 cap) at zero house edge; pass odds multiples fit those ceilings cleanly.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 20 pass-line flat already up. Max true-odds (100, a multiple of 5) has zero house edge and is the only addition that improves both EV loss per chip and odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with pass line and full 5x odds already working; odds are zero house edge and cannot be increased, so adding any other bet would only raise expected loss.
Model's stated reason
Come-out with no point: don't pass has the lowest house edge available, and a small flat leaves room to lay full odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with a 10 don't pass flat; max laid odds (48, a multiple of 6) are zero house edge and fully use the odds ceiling, which minimizes EV loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with don't-pass and max laid odds already working; odds are zero-edge and the flat is now plus-EV, so I add no house-edge bets and leave both up.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with don't-pass odds already at the ceiling, so adding any legal bet would only increase expected loss. Standing pat keeps zero-edge odds working and avoids new house-edge wagers.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass and max laid odds on 8 are already +EV or zero-edge; no legal odds remain and every new bet has a house edge, so I add nothing.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with max laid odds already behind don't pass; that flat is plus-EV to keep and odds are zero-edge. No legal addition has zero house edge, so I add nothing.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on 8 already has the maximum legal laid odds, which carry no house edge. Adding any new bet would only increase expected loss, so I leave the table unchanged.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 with don't pass and max laid odds already working; that flat is plus-EV and the odds are fair, so I leave them up and add no negative-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
Last decision is a come-out with no odds available, and every offered bet has a house edge. Placing nothing avoids expected loss.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
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Result
Session result: -268 chips over 40 rolls
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