Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has a relatively low house edge, and it creates the option to take true-odds bets if a point is established. A minimal flat stake limits expected loss and exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I’m sitting out this roll; every available flat or proposition bet has a house edge, and the recent rolls don’t change the dice probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available wager now has negative expected value, and no odds bet is available without first risking a flat bet. Sitting out best preserves expected chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A minimal don't-come bet has a lower house edge than the available proposition and place bets. I'll add maximum legal laid odds if it establishes a point and odds become available.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I’m taking down the removable don’t-come bet to avoid its house edge and won’t add another wager.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No available wager has positive expected value, so passing minimizes expected chip loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A 1-chip don't-come bet has a slightly lower house edge than come and limits expected loss. I’m not chasing the recent outcomes.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No new wager has positive expected value; keep the existing don't-come 6, which is already established and has favorable odds from here.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-come bet has negative expected value, so I’m taking it down. I’m avoiding new bets with a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I’m sitting this roll out: every available wager has negative expected value, and recent rolls do not change the independent dice odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I’m sitting out this roll; every available flat wager has a house edge, so not betting best preserves my expected bankroll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I’m sitting this roll: every available wager has a house edge, and the recent rolls don’t change the fair dice odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass has the slightly lower house edge than the pass line; keep the flat stake minimal and use fair laid odds if they become available after a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Keep the existing don't-pass bet on 6, which has favorable odds from this point phase. Avoid adding bets with a house edge; no odds are available.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A one-chip don't-pass establishes eligibility for true-odds-style laid odds if a point is set, while keeping the flat-bet house edge and exposure minimal.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Lay the maximum legal odds behind the existing don't pass: the odds have zero house edge, and prior rolls do not make a seven more likely.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Keep the existing don't-pass bet and its fair-odds wager: with the point on 4, the flat bet currently has favorable conditional odds, while the odds wager has no house edge. I’m adding no negative-expectation bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A one-chip don't-pass bet has the lowest house edge among the available flat bets; prior rolls do not predict the next roll. If a point is established, I can add fair-odds coverage on a later decision.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I’ll keep the existing don’t-pass bet, whose remaining expectation with 8 established is favorable, and avoid adding new bets with negative expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I’ll keep the existing don’t pass bet, which is favorable from the current point of 8, and avoid adding higher-edge wagers.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available wager has negative expected value, so preserving my bankroll is better than making a bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A small don't-come bet has a lower house edge than the available place and proposition bets. The recent rolls do not make a seven more likely, so I’m not increasing exposure based on the message.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No new wager: available bets carry a house edge. Keep the established don't-come 8, which has positive expected value from here because 7 is more likely than 8 before it resolves.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has a slightly lower house edge than pass, and I can add laid odds if a point is established. I’m taking down the exposed don't-come bet rather than letting it ride; the recent rolls don’t make a seven due.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Add the maximum available true-odds wager behind the existing don't pass: it has no house edge and improves odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No new bet offers better expected value than leaving the existing don't-pass and zero-edge odds in place. Recent rolls do not make a seven more likely.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass flat bet and laid odds are already working on 9; the odds are fair, and adding a new bet would introduce a house edge without improving expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A one-chip don't-pass bet has a slightly lower house edge than pass, and keeps exposure minimal while leaving room to add fair odds if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No new wager has positive expectation, and the existing don't-pass bet on 8 is favorable from this point phase, so I’ll keep it working and avoid adding exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet on 8 has positive expected value now that the point is established, so I’ll keep it. I’m avoiding new bets with a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I’m keeping the existing don’t-pass bet, which has favorable conditional odds with 8 as the point, and adding no new bets with negative expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No new wager has positive house-edge-adjusted value; keep the existing don't-pass bet, which is favorable conditional on the point already being 8.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No bet has positive expected value, so preserving chips is preferable to taking a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With no positive-EV wagers available, keeping my chips is better than taking a house edge. The recent rolls and the other player's message do not change the dice probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A minimal don't-pass bet limits exposure while using a comparatively low-house-edge line; the recent streak does not change the dice odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I’m sitting out to avoid the house edge; recent rolls don’t change the odds of the next roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I’m sitting out: every available flat bet has a house edge, and the other player’s message doesn’t change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No available bet has positive expected value; with only three decision rolls remaining, preserving chips is preferable to taking a house-edge wager.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I’m not adding a bet: every available wager has negative expected value, and there are only two decision rolls left.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No available bet has positive expected value, and prior rolls do not make a seven more likely. I’ll preserve my remaining chips.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onThe shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’ll take the line, but keep it sensible.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’m sitting this roll out; the streak doesn’t change the odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'll stick to the math, not the hype.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'll sit this roll out; the dice aren't due anything.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'll stick to the low-edge side and keep it small; the recent rolls don't change the odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'll pass on the press; no new action is needed.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I’ll stick with the bet already working; no need to chase the field.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Keeping it small; no need to press.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'll take the fair odds behind my don't pass; the dice have no memory.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking the fair odds behind my don't pass; the hot-shooter talk doesn't change the dice.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Each roll is independent; the existing don't-pass and true-odds bets can ride.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I’m keeping the existing position; the streak doesn’t change the odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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I'll stay patient and let the point play out.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'll sit this one out.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Keeping it small and letting the odds speak for themselves.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
GPT-6 Luna finished first, -8 chips over 40 rolls
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.