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Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: pass line has the lowest house edge among available bets (1.41%) and enables full odds later; keep stakes small to limit EV loss.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 with a pass line bet; taking full 4x odds at true 3:2 is the zero-edge play, maximizing value without adding house edge.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds on 9 are already at the 4x maximum, so the lowest-edge position is fully loaded; adding new bets only adds house edge, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds are already maxed at 4x on the 9; adding place 6 and 8 gives the lowest house-edge action available this roll.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 with maxed pass odds and a working place 6; no new negative-EV bets, so no change.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 with pass odds already maxed; place_6 is the only low-edge bet and stays. Adding new negative-EV bets only increases expected loss, so no action.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 with max odds already behind the pass line and a working place 6; no new bets have positive edge, so stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with pass odds already maxed at 20. I add the lowest-edge bets available: a flat come bet (1.41% edge, to be backed with odds if it travels) and place 6/8 (1.52% edge), avoiding high-edge prop and field bets.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 with pass odds already maxed at 4x (20 behind 5) and cheap place bets on 6/8 working; no new negative-EV bets warranted.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no bets up; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%) among available bets, so I stake a modest 25 chips to establish a point and enable odds later.

Model's stated reason

Point 6 with a 25 pass line bet; taking full 5x odds (100) at true 6:5 payout is the lowest-edge play available.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: don't pass has the lowest house edge (1.36% bar 12) and stays removable, so I stake the maximum 100 to minimize expected loss while keeping odds opportunities later.

Model's stated reason

My don't pass 100 sits behind point 9; laying 90 odds (2:3 payout, pays 60) is a zero-edge addition to maximize odds utilization at minimal EV cost.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 with don't pass 100 and 90 laid odds already working; laying more is capped and new don't come adds come-out risk, so hold the strong zero-edge-odds position.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass with full-ish laid odds behind it is already the lowest-edge position available; adding negative-EV one-roll or place bets only increases expected loss, so I stand pat on point 9.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: pass line has the lowest house edge (1.41%) and I can back it with full odds next roll once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Point 8 with a 100 pass bet; taking the maximum 100 in free odds at true 6:5 is the zero-edge play and fits the 200 exposure cap.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: pass line carries the lowest house edge available now (~1.41%); a modest 5-chip flat bet keeps EV loss minimal and sets up full odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 with a 5 pass line; taking the full 4x odds (20) at true 3:2 is the zero-edge play and maximizes odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds are already maxed at 4x on the 9; adding low-edge place bets on 6 and 8 is the best remaining use of chips.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 with pass odds already maxed; every available new bet carries a house edge, so standing pat minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: my place 6/8 stay off automatically, so I just add a small don't pass, the lowest-edge bet available, and leave the existing place bets to work once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: don't pass has the lowest house edge (~1.36%) and bars the 12; my place 6/8 stay off so they carry no risk this roll.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: my place 6/8 are off and safe, so I keep them to work once a point is set; no new bets since pass/don't pass carry house edge and one-roll props are all negative EV.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: my place 6 and 8 are off by default and will reactivate once a point is set, so the lowest-edge action is to add nothing this roll.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5, so my working place bets on 6 and 8 are on the two best-paying numbers; with no odds bets available, holding the lowest-edge positions and adding nothing is the optimal play.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5; my place 6 and 8 are working with the lowest house edge among place bets, so I keep them and add nothing with a worse edge.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5 and my place 6/8 bets are working with the lowest house edge available; adding any new bet only adds expected loss, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5; my place 6 and 8 are the lowest-edge bets available and stay working. No new action needed.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: pass line is the lowest-edge bet available (1.41%), so I stake the maximum 100 on it and will back it with full odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Point 4 with a 100 pass line bet; taking full 3x odds at true 2:1 is the zero-house-edge play and maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: place max pass line to enable large zero-edge odds behind it next roll (odds utilization scoring); pass line edge 1.41% is among the lowest available.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with 8 rolls left: pass line is the lowest-edge entry bet and lets me back it with full true-odds if a point is established, maximizing odds utilization while keeping expected loss minimal.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with 50 on the pass line; backing it with the maximum 100 in free odds at true 6:5 is the zero-house-edge play and maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

Point 6 with pass 50 backed by 100 in odds already maximizes odds utilization (no additional odds allowed this roll), and every new bet carries house edge, so the lowest EV-loss action is to let the existing bets ride with no new wagers.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with pass 50 plus 100 in odds already working; the odds cap shows no additional odds allowed, and every remaining bet option is negative-EV, so I stand pat with the zero-edge odds riding through the last five rolls.

Model's stated reason

With only 4 rolls left, I add the lowest-edge bets available (place 6 and 8 at 1.52% each) alongside my full pass odds on the point 6; no better odds opportunities are legal this roll.

Model's stated reason

With only 3 decision rolls left and the point already 6 behind my pass line, the 100-chip odds bet is the only zero-edge money on the table; the redundant 6-chip place_6 carries a 1.52% edge, so I take it down and add nothing new.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with two decision rolls left; pass line has the lowest house edge (1.41%) and resolves immediately on a natural or carries to the point phase.

Model's stated reason

Final hand with no odds available this roll; every bet option carries a fixed house edge, so the EV-loss-optimal move is no new bets and bankroll is preserved.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +442 chips over 40 rolls

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