Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC
16 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
Bet the don't pass line with a small flat stake to minimize house edge and leave room for maximum free odds if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
Placing a don't pass bet to establish a point with the lowest house edge, then I can add maximum odds next roll to minimize expected loss per chip and maximize odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Maximizing zero-house-edge laid odds behind the existing don't pass flat bet to dilute expected loss and improve odds utilization; the flat bet already has positive conditional EV at point 9.
Model's stated reason
No new bets: the existing dont_pass with odds on 9 has positive conditional EV, and adding any new flat bet would increase house edge exposure without enough time to fully offset with odds. Keep current position.
Model's stated reason
Add a don't come flat bet to set up additional free odds later; avoid negative-EV place/hardway/prop bets.
Model's stated reason
No new bets. The existing don't pass bet on 9 has positive conditional EV (60% to win before a 7), and the odds bet is fair. All other available bets carry a house edge, so adding them would reduce expected chips and worsen EV loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
No bet offered has positive expected value, and no wager is required. Standing pat avoids the house edge and maximizes expected chip count.
Model's stated reason
Placing a don't come bet to establish a flat bet with the lowest house edge, so I can add zero-edge laid odds on the next roll if it travels.
Model's stated reason
Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 4; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding a new negative-EV flat bet.
Model's stated reason
I already have 100 on don't come 4 plus 100 laid odds, which is the best available position (true odds, no house edge on the odds). With 100 exposure remaining and the point at 8, adding more bets would only increase variance without improving EV, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 and I already have 200 chips committed on a don't come 4 with laid odds; exposure remaining is only 100, so I add nothing and let the existing bets ride.
Model's stated reason
No new bets: existing dont_come_4 and odds are already working and will resolve on the next 7 or 4. Adding more would increase exposure without improving expected value.
Model's stated reason
I already have 200 on the table with a strong don't-come 4 plus laid odds; exposure remaining is only 100 and no new bet offers better expected value, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with an existing don't come 4 and laid odds working; no new bets needed since don't pass would hedge against my own don't come position and the remaining one-roll props all carry a house edge. Standing pat preserves the favorable don't come 4 setup.
Model's stated reason
No new bets: existing dont_come_4 and odds are already placed and working, and adding more would increase exposure without improving expected value. The point is 9, so dont_come bets are not allowed, and place/field/hardway bets all carry a house edge. Waiting preserves bankroll and avoids unnecessary risk.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 and I already hold a max-exposure don't-come 4 with laid odds; adding any new bet would exceed the 300-chip exposure cap, and no existing bet is worth taking down since the 4 is favored to come before a 7.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with a don't come 4 and laid odds already working; adding a pass line bet would hedge against my own don't come position, and no other bet offers positive EV, so I stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I already have 200 chips on the table (dont_come_4 + laid odds) with only 100 exposure remaining, and the point is 8. Adding any new bet would either be a negative-EV one-roll prop or a place bet that is off on this come-out roll, so I stand pat and let the existing dont-come bets ride.
Model's stated reason
I already have 200 chips on the table (dont_come_4 + laid odds on 4), which is the maximum exposure I want given the 300 cap. Adding any new bet would exceed my risk tolerance and the remaining 100 exposure room is better left unused since all other bets carry a higher house edge than the dont_come/odds combination I already hold. No action.
Model's stated reason
I already have 200 chips on the table (dont_come_4 + laid odds) with only 100 exposure remaining. Adding any new bet would exceed the 300-chip max exposure, and my existing bets are already optimally positioned with true-odds lay on the 4. No action is the best action here.
Model's stated reason
Place minimum don't pass to enable zero-house-edge odds later; minimizes expected loss and maximizes odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Place the lowest-house-edge available flat bet; if it travels to a point, add free laid odds next roll to improve odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
Place a don't pass bet with the lowest house edge available and size it to allow full odds later within the 300-chip exposure limit.
Model's stated reason
Adding maximum laid odds behind the existing don't pass bet on point 6; odds carry zero house edge, improve odds utilization, and do not reduce the positive conditional expected value of the flat bet.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
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Result
Session result: +23 chips over 40 rolls
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