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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

20 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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257 / 257

Action timeline

Model's stated reason

No bet on the table and no free odds available; every available wager carries a house edge, so passing avoids unnecessary expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Placing a low-edge don't come flat bet to potentially add laid odds later, minimizing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Adding maximum laid odds behind my existing don't come 9 is a zero-house-edge bet that improves odds utilization without adding negative EV. No other bets offer positive expected value.

Model's stated reason

Bet minimum on don't pass to minimize house edge and preserve bankroll for max odds later.

Model's stated reason

Don't come has the lowest house edge among available bets and allows laying true odds later, improving odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 9; odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV exposure.

Model's stated reason

Add a small dont_come flat to leave room for maximum odds next roll, minimizing expected loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

Add a don't come bet, the lowest house edge available, while keeping the favorable existing don't come 9 and its zero-EV odds.

Model's stated reason

Take maximum free odds on the existing don't come 9 to improve odds utilization without adding house edge; no other bets have positive expectation.

Model's stated reason

Add a don't come bet for 100, the lowest house edge available, using most remaining exposure while keeping existing don't come 9 and its odds working.

Model's stated reason

Place a small don't come flat bet to enable max odds later, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Adding maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 9 is a zero-house-edge bet that improves odds utilization without adding expected loss. No other negative-EV bets are worth placing.

Model's stated reason

Place a don't come bet to establish a point and later add laid odds, minimizing house edge and maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Dont_come has the lowest house edge among available bets (1.36%). A 50-chip flat stake allows the maximum 5x odds (250 chips) later within the 300-chip exposure limit, maximizing odds utilization and minimizing EV loss per chip.

Model's stated reason

I already have a don't come bet on 4 with a strong edge, and adding more bets would only increase exposure without improving expected value. The point is 6, and my existing bet is working, so I'll stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum laid odds behind the existing don't come 4 bet; these odds carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding a new negative-EV flat bet.

Model's stated reason

Add a low-house-edge don't come bet to set up a new point for zero-edge odds next roll, preserving exposure for odds.

Model's stated reason

Keep existing don't come 4 and laid odds, which are favorable with 7 before 4. No new bets because all available bets have negative expected value and no additional odds can be added.

Model's stated reason

Place the lowest-house-edge available bet (don't pass) to minimize expected loss per chip and set up potential odds if a point is established on the next roll.

Model's stated reason

Add maximum fair odds behind the don't pass point 8 to improve odds utilization without additional house edge, staying within the 50-chip exposure limit.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -470 chips over 40 rolls

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