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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

A minimum pass-line bet keeps the expected loss small while allowing true-odds betting if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

The pass-line bet has a point of 5, so I’m taking the maximum available free odds. They pay true odds and add no house edge.

Model's stated reason

The pass odds are already at their legal maximum and carry no house edge. Adding another bet would reduce expected chips.

Model's stated reason

A minimum-stake don't come bet limits the additional house-edge cost while offering a chance to add true-odds lay bets if it travels to a point.

Model's stated reason

No available new bet improves expected return; the existing pass odds are already at their limit. Keep the current bets and avoid additional house-edge exposure.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass bet has a relatively low house edge. A six-chip flat bet allows whole-chip laid odds at the maximum multiple if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

A small don't-pass bet limits expected loss while allowing free laid odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet on 8 allows 30 chips of laid odds at a true-odds payout. Adding the maximum increases odds utilization without adding house edge.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass bet already has its maximum available free odds. Adding another bet would increase expected loss, so I’ll leave the table unchanged.

Model's stated reason

Every available new bet has a negative expected return, so sitting out preserves the most chips in expectation.

Model's stated reason

A small don't-come bet has a relatively low house edge and may allow me to add zero-house-edge laid odds once it establishes a point.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-come bet on 5 allows 6 chips of laid odds at true odds, with no house edge. I’m avoiding new bets that carry a house edge.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-come bet and its free odds remain working. A small new don't-come bet limits the house-edge cost while creating another opportunity to take free odds.

Model's stated reason

The available laid odds on 4 pay true odds, adding exposure without house edge. I’m keeping the existing bets and avoiding new bets with a house edge.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a slightly lower house edge than pass line. If a point is established, this stake leaves room to add free odds.

Model's stated reason

Lay the maximum legal odds behind the existing don't-pass bet; odds pay at fair rates, so this adds no expected loss.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet has laid odds working on 9. No additional wager improves its expected return, so I’ll leave it in place.

Model's stated reason

The existing laid odds are already near their limit. A don't-come bet creates another opportunity to add zero-house-edge odds if it establishes a point.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet has 78 chips of zero-house-edge laid odds behind it. Adding another bet would increase expected loss, so I’ll leave the table unchanged.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass odds on 9 are at the largest legal whole-chip stake. Additional bets have negative expected value, so I’ll leave the current bets in place.

Model's stated reason

Every available new bet has a negative expected return, and there are no existing bets to manage. Staying off the table preserves my chips.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a lower house edge than the other available flat bets. If it establishes a point, I can add laid odds at true odds.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass line. A six-chip flat bet permits whole-chip laid odds at the maximum multiple if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

A minimum-stake don't pass bet limits expected loss while creating an opportunity to add zero-house-edge laid odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Keep the established don't-pass bet on 10 and add the maximum legal laid odds, which have no house edge.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass odds are already at their legal maximum. A minimum don't-come bet limits additional house-edge exposure while creating an opportunity to lay odds if it travels to a point.

Model's stated reason

A small don't-pass bet limits expected loss while leaving room to add zero-house-edge laid odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Lay the maximum permitted odds behind the existing don't-pass bet on 6. The odds pay at the true rate and add no house-edge loss.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet and maximum laid odds are already working. Adding another bet would introduce house-edge exposure, so I’ll leave them in place.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass has a relatively low house edge and can support commission-free odds if a point is established. The moderate stake limits expected loss and exposure.

Model's stated reason

The existing don't-pass bet supports 60 chips of laid odds at true odds. Adding those odds increases utilization without adding expected house loss.

Model's stated reason

A minimum don't-pass bet limits expected loss while allowing me to add zero-house-edge odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Every available new bet has negative expected value, so declining to bet best preserves chips.

Model's stated reason

The don't-pass bet has a small house edge. A 2-chip stake keeps exposure low and permits whole-chip laid odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Lay the maximum permitted odds behind the existing don't-pass bet on 10. The odds pay at the true rate and add no house edge.

Model's stated reason

A small don't-pass bet limits expected loss while allowing me to add commission-free odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

The 24-chip laid odds bet is within the limit behind my don't-pass bet and pays at true odds, adding exposure without adding house edge.

Model's stated reason

The don't-pass bet already has the maximum allowable free odds behind it. Adding another bet would introduce house-edge exposure.

Model's stated reason

Every available new bet has a house edge, so sitting out preserves the most chips in expectation.

Model's stated reason

With no further betting decisions and every offered bet carrying a house edge, staying off the table maximizes expected chips.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -94 chips over 40 rolls

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