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Showdown Hold'em table

Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Oct 14, 2026, 8:54 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

T8 offsuit is below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so checking preserves option to raise later or fold.

Model's stated reason

With ten-high and only a weak gutshot draw on an ace-high flop, raising 2x is negative EV; check to see turn/river cheaply and decide on the river.

Model's stated reason

On the paired board I only have pair of fives with A-T-8 kickers; exact enumeration gives about 136 wins and 9 ties in 990 dealer holdings, so raising 1x has lower EV than folding and losing the ante and blind.

Model's stated reason

Pocket pair 55 meets the 33+ threshold in the published optimal preflop table, so raising 4x maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

8-5 offsuit is well below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo etc.), so checking preserves option to raise later only if the flop improves it.

Model's stated reason

With only an open-ended straight draw and no pair or flush draw on a king-high flop, raising 2x commits too much while behind. Checking preserves the cheaper 1x river option if the draw completes.

Model's stated reason

Pair of 5s beats all 380 non-qualifying dealer high-card hands, plus low pocket pairs and low-kicker pair of 5s, for 422 wins and 6 ties vs 562 losses. Raising EV is about -12.3 chips, better than folding for -20 chips.

Model's stated reason

K9 offsuit falls within the optimal preflop 4x range (K5o+), so raising 4x maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

9-3 offsuit is well below the optimal 4x/3x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo etc.), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on the flop or 1x/fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

With 9-high, no pair and no meaningful draw on an A-J-7 board, raising 2x has negative equity against a random dealer hand. Checking is free and lets me fold or raise 1x on the river only if I improve.

Model's stated reason

Pair of 3s beats all dealer high-card holdings; exact enumeration gives about 410 wins and 62 ties versus 518 losses, for an expected loss of about 11.5 chips versus 20 chips when folding.

Model's stated reason

Pocket jacks are well above the 33+ threshold in the optimal preflop 4x table, so raising the maximum maximizes value.

Model's stated reason

9h6h suited is below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so checking preserves option to raise 2x on a good flop or 1x/fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

Top pair of 6s with a 9 kicker is marginal on a wet 3c-6c-4c board where flushes and straights are already possible and a club turn is dangerous. Checking preserves the option to raise 1x on the river only when the runout improves or remains favorable, rather than committing 2x now.

Model's stated reason

Pair of sixes beats dealer's unpaired holdings and lower pairs; although a club or higher pair often wins, the expected loss from calling 1x is less than the 2 ante lost by folding.

Model's stated reason

Q4o is below the optimal 4x raising range (Q6s+ or Q8o+), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or 1x/fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

Top pair of queens made with a hole card is a strong hidden pair with positive showdown equity against a random dealer hand, justifying the larger flop raise despite the three-diamond board.

Model's stated reason

T3o is below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any Ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo etc.), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on the flop or 1x on the river with more information.

Model's stated reason

T-3 has only ten-high on a Q-6-4 board with no meaningful pair, straight, or flush draw, so raising 2x has negative equity versus a random dealer hand. Checking preserves the cheaper 1x river option if the turn or river improves the hand.

Model's stated reason

On a paired queen board my pair of queens with ten kicker only beats unimproved dealer hands with kickers below ten, which is well under the roughly 20% win equity needed to justify the 1x raise versus folding.

Model's stated reason

J4 offsuit is below the published 4x threshold of J8s+/JTo and has no ace or king, so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on the flop or 1x/fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

J-high on Q-T-7 with no flush draw and only runner-runner straight possibilities is too weak to commit 2x; check to see turn/river cheaply and decide on river.

Model's stated reason

Board pair of Queens gives dealer automatic qualification. With J kicker I win about 210 of 990 dealer holdings and tie 42, so 5W+3T>1 and raising 1x has higher EV than folding.

Model's stated reason

5-3 offsuit is well below the optimal 4x raising range of pairs 33+, any ace, and strong kings/queens/jacks, so checking preserves the option to raise later with more information.

Model's stated reason

With 3-5 unpaired on a K-7-8 board and only weak runner-runner straight possibilities, equity is far too low to commit a 2x raise against a dealer who never folds. Checking preserves the option to raise 1x on the river only if the hand improves.

Model's stated reason

I only play the board pair of 8s with K-7-6 kickers, so I can never beat the dealer and can only tie when the dealer holds two unpaired low non-diamond cards that do not make a straight; that tie probability is far below the threshold needed to call.

Model's stated reason

AQ offsuit is an ace hand, which is in the optimal preflop 4x raising range, maximizing value before the board.

Model's stated reason

T2 offsuit is below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo etc.), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on the flop or 1x on the river with more information.

Model's stated reason

Board pair of 9s with only a ten kicker and no draw is too weak to commit 2x now; checking preserves the cheaper 1x river decision with more information.

Model's stated reason

On a paired 9 board I have only pair of 9s with J-T-8 kickers; dealer always qualifies and beats me with any 9, board pair, pocket pair, straight, or A/K/Q kicker. Exact enumeration gives about 144 wins and 45 ties in 990 holdings, making a 1x raise slightly worse than folding.

Model's stated reason

AKo is an ace hand in the published optimal 4x preflop table, so raising 4x maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

4d6c is a weak offsuit hand outside the optimal 4x range (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so checking preserves optionality to evaluate the flop.

Model's stated reason

Weak 6-high with only backdoor flush and backdoor straight draws on a Q-J-3 board; raising 2x has negative expectation versus checking to see the turn and river for free and deciding then.

Model's stated reason

Pair of sixes beats all non-qualifying dealer hands and some qualifying low pairs, with ties against a lone six; exact enumeration gives about -8.8 chips expected versus -20 for folding.

Model's stated reason

J5 offsuit is below the optimal 4x raising range (J8s+ or JTo), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or 1x/fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

Top pair Jacks with a weak 5 kicker is vulnerable to ace, king or queen runouts and dealer two-pair or better kickers. Checking preserves the option to raise 1x on favorable rivers or fold bad ones, which has higher expected value than committing 2x now.

Model's stated reason

Pair of Jacks beats about 70% of random dealer holdings on this river, with only about 29% losses and few ties, so raising 1x has far higher expected value than folding and losing the ante and blind.

Model's stated reason

Any ace is in the published optimal 4x preflop range, so raising 4x maximizes expected value with Ah3d.

Model's stated reason

KJo is above the K5o+ threshold in the published optimal 4x preflop table, so raising 4x maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

Q6 offsuit is below the published 4x threshold of Q6s+ / Q8o+, so checking to see the flop preserves EV over raising.

Model's stated reason

With queen-high, no pair and no strong draw on a king-high flop, raising 2x has negative expectation; checking preserves the cheaper 1x river decision.

Model's stated reason

With a pair of 8s and K-Q-J kickers, I win against low unpaired non-flush dealer hands and tie with a queen, giving enough win/tie equity that raising 1x loses less than folding the ante and blind.

Model's stated reason

T2 offsuit is below the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo etc.), so checking preserves option to raise later with more information.

Model's stated reason

Weak king-high with a low four-flush draw: the 2c flush loses to any dealer club and overall equity is well below the threshold needed to commit 2x on the flop, so checking preserves the option to raise 1x or fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

Player has an Ace-high flush; dealer only wins with at least one of the 8 remaining clubs (324 of 990 holdings), while 666 holdings lose, giving a positive raise EV versus folding for -20 chips.

Model's stated reason

Q2 offsuit is below the optimal 4x raising range (Q8o+ for queen hands), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or 1x/fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

With only board pair of 4s and Q kicker, no flush draw and only a remote wheel draw, raising 2x has negative equity against a dealer who always qualifies here; checking preserves the option to raise 1x or fold on the river with full information.

Model's stated reason

With Aces and fours and a queen kicker, I win against about 401 of 990 dealer holdings and tie 85, well above the ~20% win equity needed for a 1x river raise versus folding.

Model's stated reason

Ad6h is an ace hand, which is in the published optimal 4x preflop range (any ace), so raising 4x maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

7c-4c suited is below the published 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or 1x/fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

Low four-flush with 7-4 kickers has well under the roughly 46% showdown equity needed to commit 2x now; checking preserves the option to raise 1x only if the flush or another strong hand completes.

Model's stated reason

We have an ace-high flush on an unpaired board; only dealer two-club holdings with a club above 7 (25 of 990 combos) beat us, so raising 1x has strongly positive EV versus folding and losing ante and blind.

Model's stated reason

9-8 offsuit is below the published 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo etc.), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or 1x/fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

Flopped a J-high straight with 8-9 on J-T-7, beating all pairs, sets and two-pair hands and only losing to a flopped flush. Equity is high enough to commit 2x now rather than check for a smaller river raise.

Model's stated reason

Pocket sevens are 33+ in the published optimal 4x preflop table, so raising 4x maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

Q7 offsuit is just below the published 4x threshold of Q8o+ (Q6s+ suited), so raising 4x or 3x is not profitable. Check to see the flop for free and decide later.

Model's stated reason

Q-high with only backdoor straight potential and no flush draw is too weak to raise 2x on this flop; checking preserves the option to raise 1x or fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

On the river I have only queen-high against an unpaired board. Most dealer holdings make a pair, ace/king-high, a straight or a flush, and winning only pays the 1x play bet when the dealer does not qualify, so raising has lower expected value than folding.

Model's stated reason

KQo is well above the published 4x threshold (K5o+), so raising the maximum preflop maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

5s6s is below the published 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop.

Model's stated reason

Only a gutshot 8 for a straight plus runner-runner spades and weak pair outs; current six-high has low showdown equity, so committing 2x now is worse than checking to realize the draw cheaply and raise 1x on the river only if improved.

Model's stated reason

We have a Q-high flush using both spades; only a higher dealer flush (both hole cards spades with an 8 or higher spade, 25 of 990 holdings) beats it, so raising 1x has strongly positive EV versus folding, including the 3:2 blind payout.

Model's stated reason

T9o is below the published 4x raising threshold of JTo/J8s and has no ace or high pair, so checking to see the flop preserves EV over committing 3x/4x now.

Model's stated reason

Top two pair on the flop is well ahead of most dealer holdings, with positive expected value from a larger play bet despite the heart draw on board.

Model's stated reason

9-5 offsuit is well below the optimal 4x raising range, so checking preserves the option to raise 2x on a favorable flop or fold cheaply on the river.

Model's stated reason

With 9-high and no pair or meaningful draw on an A-Q-6 board, raising 2x is negative EV; checking is free and preserves the cheaper 1x river option if I improve.

Model's stated reason

On the river I have only ace-high A-K-Q-9-7, which beats only about 134 of 990 dealer holdings and ties 45, with most losses costing the extra play bet; the raise EV is about -2.14 antes versus -2 antes for folding.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

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Result

Session result: -5 chips over 30 hands

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