Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass is a removable 1:1 bet that wins on 2 or 3 and loses on 7 or 11, so I take the underdog side to diversify away from the shooter's streak.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 100 don't pass already down; laying the maximum 96 in odds (multiple of 6) behind it gives the best true-odds edge and uses available exposure. No other bets are added since the shooter is hot and the field/one-roll sucker bets have worse house edges.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has the lower house edge and is removable, so I cap it at the 100 max to limit exposure while keeping flexibility.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF; don't pass has the lowest house edge among one-roll-eligible bets here and is removable if the point gets set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with a 100 don't pass bet; laying max odds (100) at 1:2 gives a true even-money edge and is the best EV use of remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with a 100 don't pass and 100 don't pass odds already working. Odds have no house edge, so I'm not removing them; I'll add come-out working don't pass odds on the next come-out if the point changes.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I take the bar-12 don't pass position at 16 to match the table's exposure rhythm while keeping the hand flexible.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 and I hold a don't pass bet, so I lay the maximum allowed odds (48) behind it to reduce the house edge on my flat bet; this is the only removable odds option available this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 4 with my don't pass and odds already working; the odds maximum behind don't pass is 0, so I cannot add more odds. I will hold my current bets and wait for the next roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 4 and my don't pass plus laid odds have a positive expected value; I will not add negative-edge bets like the field or any seven.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with a don't pass and odds already down; adding more bets only adds house edge, so I'm letting the current position ride.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
On a come-out roll with the puck OFF, the pass line has a lower house edge than one-roll propositions, so I start with a modest pass line bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with a pass line flat bet; laying max 40 in pass odds at true odds 3:2 is the lowest-edge action available and uses most of the remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than the pass line and is removable if the point is set, so I take a modest don't pass position here.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Pass line has a positive EV on 7/11 and is the lowest-house-edge flat bet available here, so I start a small pass line stake rather than taking sucker bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a pass line bet already active; taking max 5x odds (50) behind it minimizes house edge and uses available exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
We are in the point phase with the point at 6 and a pass line bet plus 5x odds already working. No new bets are needed; the optimal move is to let the existing low-edge position ride and avoid adding negative-E propositions.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 and I already have 10 on pass and 50 in odds, which is the maximum 5x odds allowed behind a 10 flat bet. There is no room to add more pass odds, and I have no come or place bets to back up, so the best move is to let the current bets ride and conserve exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a slight house edge and is removable, so I'm taking a 100-chip position while keeping flexibility.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 5 with a 100 don't pass already down; laying max odds (99, multiple of 3) behind it gives the lowest house-edge exposure on this hand while keeping total table risk at 199, well under the 300 cap.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is the best flat bet available on a come-out. No odds behind it yet since there is no point.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 and my don't pass bet is working, so I can lay odds at true odds (5:6) with no house edge. I maximize the odds stake to 96 (a multiple of 6) to reduce overall expected loss per chip while keeping exposure within limits.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 with my don't pass and don't pass odds already working; no new bets improve expected value here, so I hold and wait for a seven-out.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a don't pass and full odds laid. No new bets; the current position already has a negative-edge flat bet offset by true odds, so I hold and wait for the point to resolve.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I take the 1:1 edge on 2/3 and the 7-out while keeping the option to remove if the point is unfavorable.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 100 don't pass already down; laying the maximum 96 odds (multiple of 6, within the 96 ceiling) is the lowest-edge action available and uses 96 of my 200 exposure remaining.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 with my don't pass and don't pass odds already on; no new bets are needed this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with no point; don't pass has a lower house edge than the pass line and is removable if the point turns unfavorable. Betting the table maximum here is a reasonable way to use exposure on a low-edge come-out bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The puck is ON with point 9 and I hold a 100-chip don't pass bet; laying the maximum allowed 99 odds at 2:3 on 9 costs 99 chips and pays 66 when a 7 hits, giving zero house edge while keeping total exposure at 199, under the 300 limit.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 and I already have 199 chips working; removing the 99 odds bet frees exposure and keeps the table manageable while the don't pass remains in play.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The puck is ON with point 9 and I hold a 100 don't-pass flat bet, so laying odds behind it at true odds (2:3 on 9) is the only bet with zero house edge; I max it at 99 to use the full exposure remaining and improve my expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 9 with my don't pass and odds already working; no new bets this roll to avoid adding negative-E wagers while the point is live.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
We are on a come-out roll with the puck OFF and no bets on the table. The pass line is the lowest-house-edge flat bet (1.41%) and wins immediately on 7 or 11. I'm placing the maximum allowed 100 chips to capitalize on the come-out advantage.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 6 with a pass line bet already working. Taking the maximum allowed pass odds (100) behind the flat bet gives true odds with zero house edge, which is the best expected-value move available on this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I already have the maximum pass odds (100) behind my pass line on the 6, which is the best EV edge on the table. With only 100 exposure remaining and 6 rolls left, I will not add any negative-EV bets and will let the current position ride.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF. Don't pass has the lowest house edge (~1.36%) and wins on 2 or 3. Placing 100 maximizes expected value per chip while staying within limits.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 10 and I already have a 100-chip Don't Pass working, so laying the maximum 100 in odds (true inverse 1:2) adds zero-house-edge coverage behind an existing negative-EV flat bet. With only four rolls left, this is the highest-EV use of my remaining exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The point is 10 and my don't pass plus laid odds already cover the best negative EV position available. With only three rolls left and no removable pass-line exposure, I leave the table as is.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out roll with puck OFF and only 2 rolls left; don't pass has a lower house edge than pass and is removable, so I take the edge with a max stake.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
This is the final decision roll of the session, so I want to maximize expected value on the remaining action. My don't pass bet on the 8 has a slight edge, and laying odds behind it at true odds (5:6) reduces the overall house edge to near zero. I'm using the maximum allowed odds stake of 96 (a multiple of 6) to fully utilize the odds capacity.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onHot hand but the edge is still with the house. I'll take the other side.
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Laying 96 odds behind the don't pass on the 6. Let the seven do the work.
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Taking the dark side at full table limit. The dice don't care about streaks.
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Don't pass up for this come-out. Bar 12 keeps the edge low.
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Laying 100 odds behind my don't pass on the 4.
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I'm laying odds on the 4. House edge is zero on the odds, so I'm keeping the don't pass and odds working.
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Taking don't pass on this come-out; bar the 12 and let the dice speak.
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Laying 48 behind my don't pass on the 4.
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Point is 4. My don't pass and odds are working. No new bets this roll.
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I'm staying with my don't pass and odds on the 4. No new bets this roll.
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Let the 4 ride. No new bets.
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Come-out roll. Taking the pass line at 10.
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Taking a small don't pass on this come-out.
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Pass line 10 on the come-out. Let's see if the shooter keeps it hot.
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Point is 6. I'm holding my pass line and odds. Let the dice run.
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Point is 6, odds are already maxed behind my pass line. Sitting this one out.
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Taking the don't pass at max. Bar 12, wins on 2 or 3, and I can take it down later if needed.
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Taking the odds behind the don't pass. Point is 5, so a seven-out pays well here.
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Don't pass up for the come-out. Bar 12, so 12 is a push.
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Taking max don't pass odds behind the 6. House edge on odds is zero.
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Point is 6. My don't pass and odds are already locked in. I'll let them ride.
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Don't pass and odds on the 6 are working. Let the shooter roll.
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Taking don't pass on this come-out; low edge and removable if the point turns ugly.
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Point is 6 and my don't pass plus odds are already working. I'll let the current bets ride.
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Taking the don't pass at 100. Bar the 12, win on 2/3 or a seven-out.
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Taking max don't pass odds behind my 9. House edge on the odds is zero, so it's the best chip I can put out.
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Taking down the odds on 9 to keep exposure tight. Don't pass stays up.
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Taking max don't-pass odds behind the 9. Laid odds are the only positive-EV move on the table.
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I'm holding my don't pass and odds on 9; no new bets this roll.
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Come-out roll, puck OFF. Pass line is the best flat bet here; I'm taking the max.
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Taking max odds behind the pass line on the 6. True odds, no house edge.
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Point is 6, odds are already maxed behind my pass line. No new bets this roll.
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Taking the don't pass at 100. House edge is lowest here.
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Laying odds behind my Don't Pass on the 10. House edge on the odds is zero, so it's the cleanest way to back the seven-out.
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Point is 10. I'm already behind with DP and odds. No new bets.
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Taking the don't side on this come-out.
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Laying odds behind my don't pass on the 8. Last roll of the session.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, +132 chips over 40 rolls
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