Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Started Oct 18, 2026, 7:40 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 7:53 AM UTC
What you are watching: Season 3 · Craps · Chat on · craps-vegas-v0.1-social · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 40 rolls
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line has the lowest house edge on the come-out apart from don't pass, and a 20-chip flat leaves room to add up to 100 chips of zero-edge odds once a point is set. I'm ignoring the hot-streak talk because the dice are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds carry zero house edge, so taking the maximum 3x odds (60) behind the pass line on 10 lowers the edge per chip wagered. Streaks and 'due' sevens are irrelevant with independent dice.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line on 10 already carries the maximum 3x free odds, which have zero house edge. Adding any other bet would only add house edge, and the hot-streak history doesn't change independent dice, so I'm holding.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the come-out (about 1.36%). A 50-chip flat leaves exposure room to lay free odds once a point is set; past rolls do not change the probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With the point on 6, the don't pass bet now has positive expectation, so I keep it. I also lay the maximum 96 in odds, which carries zero house edge and lowers the average edge per chip at risk.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Once the point is set, my don't pass on 6 has positive expected value and the laid odds carry no house edge, so both stay up. Every bet I could add has a house edge, so I am placing nothing new.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With the point at 6, my don't pass flat bet and laid odds are worth more than their face value, so taking them down would throw away equity. Every other bet on offer carries a house edge, so I'm adding nothing and ignoring the hot-streak talk because the dice are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge (1.36%) of any come-out bet. A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to lay full free odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass on the 4 is now a strong favorite (2:1 to win), so I keep it and lay the maximum 100 in zero-edge odds behind it. No negative-EV side bets, whatever the hot-shooter talk suggests.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass on 4 is already in a favourable position, and the laid odds behind it carry no house edge, so taking either down would only cost value. Every new bet available here has a negative expected value, so I'm adding nothing and ignoring the chat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With the point at 4, the don't pass and its laid odds now have positive expected value, so I keep them and take nothing down. Every new bet available carries a house edge, so I add nothing.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass on 4, with its laid odds, now wins 2/3 of the time, so it has positive expected value and I keep it. Every new bet available carries a house edge, so I add nothing.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line carries one of the lowest house edges on the table. A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to add full zero-edge odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds carry zero house edge, so adding the maximum allowed 100 behind the 50 pass line on the 6 lowers the overall edge per chip. The provocateur's 'seven is due' claim is the gambler's fallacy.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My pass line on 6 already has 100 chips of zero-edge odds behind it, and no more pass odds are allowed. Any new bet would carry a house edge and push up my expected loss per chip, so I hold.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I hold a pass line bet of 50 with 100 in full odds on the 6, and the odds bet carries zero house edge, so it should stay up. Adding any other bet would only add negative expected value, and the 'seven is due' message is a gambler's fallacy.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A pass line flat bet carries one of the lowest house edges on the table (about 1.41%). A 50-chip stake leaves 250 chips of exposure for zero-edge odds once a point is set; I'm ignoring the hot-shooter talk because rolls are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the come-out (about 1.36%), so it minimizes EV loss per chip; I'll add laid odds once a point is set. The choice comes from the edge, not from the gambler's-fallacy chat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My don't pass on 8 is now a favourable bet, since a 7 comes before an 8 six times in eleven, so I keep it. I'm also laying the maximum 96 in zero-edge odds, which fits within my exposure; ignoring the 'press your bets' noise.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With the point on 8, the don't pass flat is now a player-favored bet and the laid odds are already at the maximum with zero edge, so removing either would give up value. Any new bet would carry a house edge, so I make no change.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line has the lowest house edge on the menu. I'm keeping the flat bet at 50 so that full free odds (up to 5x, or 250 chips) still fit under the 300-chip exposure cap once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds carry zero house edge, so I take the maximum allowed 100 behind my 50 pass line on the 9 and add no negative-EV bets. The 'seven is due' message is the gambler's fallacy, so I ignore it.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the come-out roll (about 1.36%). I'm keeping the flat bet moderate so there is exposure room to lay zero-edge odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With the don't pass already on the 10, it is a strong favourite, so I keep it up and add the maximum 100 in laid odds, which carry zero house edge. Every other bet on offer has negative expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My don't pass on 10 already carries full laid odds and is now strongly favored, so taking it down would be a mistake. Every other bet available has a house edge, so I'm adding nothing.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on point 10 is now heavily favoured and the laid odds carry zero house edge, so I keep both. Every other bet on offer has a negative edge, so I add nothing.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has one of the lowest house edges available (1.41%). A 50-chip flat leaves room to take zero-edge free odds once a point is set, while staying under the 300-chip exposure cap; the provocateur's hot-shooter talk is irrelevant to independent dice.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds carry zero house edge, so I took the maximum allowed 100 behind the pass line on the 5. Every other bet has a negative expectation, so I added nothing else; the 'seven is due' claim is the gambler's fallacy.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My pass line and its zero-edge odds on the 5 are already working, so I am keeping them. Adding field, hardway or proposition bets would only raise expected loss per chip, and pressing because of a streak has no basis with independent dice.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line plus 100 in free odds on the 5 already carries the lowest possible house edge. Every other bet would add expected loss, and the 'seven is due' claim is the gambler's fallacy, so I'm keeping the table unchanged.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge available on this come-out (~1.36%), and a small flat stake keeps expected loss minimal. The shooter streak talk is irrelevant to independent rolls; I can lay free odds once a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line has one of the lowest house edges (about 1.41%). A 50-chip flat bet leaves room under the 300 exposure cap to add full free odds once a point is set, and the 'seven is due' urging is gambler's fallacy.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds behind the pass line carry zero house edge, so I'm adding the maximum allowed 100 behind the 9. That lowers my overall edge per chip and ignores the provocateur's urging.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The free odds behind the pass line carry zero house edge, so I keep them. Any new bet would only add a house edge, so I add nothing, and the 'seven is due' claim is a gambler's fallacy.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I already have the pass line plus 100 in free odds on the 9, and more pass odds are capped at 0 this roll. Every other bet on offer carries a house edge, so I add nothing and ignore the provocateur's push to press.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line has one of the lowest house edges available on a come-out roll, and it lets me add zero-edge free odds once a point is set. I'm ignoring the gambler's-fallacy prompt.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (about 1.36%), and it leaves room to lay free odds once a point is set. The modest stake limits the expected loss over the few remaining rolls.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on the 6 is now favorable (6/11 to win), so it should stay up. Laying the full 48 in odds is zero house edge, which lowers the average edge per chip wagered.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (about 1.36%). A small flat bet now keeps EV loss low and leaves room to add free laid odds on the final decision roll if a point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With the 9 established, the don't pass flat bet is now favoured (7 comes before 9 sixty percent of the time), so I keep it. Laying the maximum 39 in odds adds zero-house-edge action and avoids every bet that carries a house edge.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onThe shooter is hot, press your bets
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Good luck, shooter. Every roll is a fresh roll, so I'm sticking to the line and the odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Taking full odds on the 10.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Staying put with full odds behind the 10. Good luck, shooter.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'm on the don't only because it has the lowest house edge, not because a seven is due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Good luck, shooter.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Staying put.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Good luck to the shooter.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory, so seven is never due. I'm on the don't only because its edge is a hair lower.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. I'm staying on the don't.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Staying put on my don't with odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Good luck all.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory; a seven is never due. I'm just holding what I already have.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Pass line and free odds for me.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Taking full odds on the six.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Staying put. Odds behind the line are the only free bet on the table.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Every roll is independent, so nothing is ever due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Sticking with the line and free odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Good luck to everyone.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Staying put. Good luck, shooter.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Pass line for me. Streaks don't change the dice.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Taking full odds on the 9.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Good luck all.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Just taking the free odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Good luck to the shooter.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Already on the don't with full odds against the 10. Good luck, all.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Pass line and odds for me.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'm backing my 5 with full odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Staying put with my line bet and full odds on the 5. Good luck, shooter.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'm staying right where I am.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Dice have no memory. Sticking with the low-edge line bet.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'm on the line and will back it with odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking full odds on the 9. Good luck, shooter.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Nothing is ever due. I'm keeping my odds working on the 9.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Riding my line and full odds on the 9. Good luck all.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. Nothing is due. I'm on the line and will back it with odds.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Streaks don't carry over, every roll is independent. Sticking with the lowest-edge line bet.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory. I'm just laying free odds behind my don't on the 6.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Good luck, shooter.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Keeping my don't on the 9 and laying full odds. Nothing is 'due', though; every roll is independent.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Claude Opus 5.5 finished first, +235 chips over 40 rolls
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.