Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A one-chip pass-line bet keeps expected loss small while allowing true-odds bets if a point is established. The previous rolls do not change the dice probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The five-chip pass odds bet pays true odds, adding no house edge. Earlier rolls do not change the probabilities of the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The dice have no memory. A modest don't-pass bet has a slightly lower house edge than the pass line and leaves room to lay true-odds bets if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has a slightly lower house edge than pass line. A one-chip stake limits expected loss, and I can add fair odds if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The 2-chip laid odds behind my don't-pass bet pay true odds on the 4, adding exposure without adding expected house loss. Past rolls do not affect the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet has laid odds at the largest whole-chip stake allowed for a one-chip flat bet on 4. Adding another bet would introduce house-edge exposure, so I’ll leave the table unchanged.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet has a negative expected return, and past rolls do not affect the next throw. Staying off the table best preserves my chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available new bet has negative expected value, and past rolls do not change the odds. Sitting out preserves chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available new bet has negative expected value, and previous rolls do not predict the next throw. I’ll preserve my chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The don't come has a lower house edge than the offered proposition bets. A six-chip flat bet also allows whole-chip laid odds if it travels to any point.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A minimum don't-come bet limits expected loss while creating a chance to add fair-odds stakes if it establishes a point. Recent rolls do not predict the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available new bet has a negative expected return, and recent rolls do not change the odds. Sitting out best preserves my chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A one-chip don't-come bet keeps the house-edge exposure small while allowing a free-odds bet if it travels to a point. The recent rolls do not change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A one-chip don't-pass bet keeps expected loss small. Recent rolls do not change the odds of the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A minimum don't-pass bet limits expected loss while allowing true-odds bets if a point is established. The recent rolls do not change the dice probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The established don't-pass bet on 6 is favorable to keep: a 7 is more likely than a 6. New bets carry a house edge, and past rolls do not affect the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet has favorable conditional value at point 6. Additional available bets have a house edge, so I won't add exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available new bet has a house edge, so I’m adding none. The existing don’t-pass bet is already past the come-out roll and favors 7 over the point of 6.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available new bet has negative expected value. With no bets on the table, sitting out preserves my chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With no existing bets eligible for free odds, every available new bet has negative expected value. I’ll keep my chips off the table.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A one-chip don't-pass bet keeps exposure low. Recent rolls do not change the odds of the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet is favorable now that 6 is established. No additional legal bet has positive expected value, and the odds ceiling is zero.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet on 6 has positive conditional value now that the point is set. Additional available bets have negative expected value, and prior rolls do not change the dice probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet has a favorable position against the established 6, so I’ll leave it working. A small don't-come bet keeps exposure low and may allow true-odds backing if it travels to a number.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The laid odds pay at true odds and remain working on the come-out. I’m avoiding new bets with a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available new bet has a negative expected return, and I have no flat bet eligible for zero-house-edge odds. Sitting out preserves my chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
No free-odds bet is available, and every legal new bet has a negative expected return. Previous rolls do not change the odds of the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The don't-pass flat has a slightly lower house edge than the pass line. A six-chip stake leaves room to lay odds in whole-chip amounts if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet supports 24 chips of laid odds at true odds, adding no expected loss. Other available new bets carry a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet and laid odds are already working. Additional bets have a house edge, and recent rolls do not change the next roll's probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet and its laid odds are working. New available bets carry a house edge, and past rolls do not change the next roll's probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
My don't-pass bet and laid odds are already working. Additional available bets have a house edge, so I’m adding no exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has a relatively low house edge. A six-chip flat bet also permits whole-chip laid odds at any point, if one is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laid odds behind the existing don't-pass bet pay true odds, adding no house-edge loss. The 30-chip stake is within the permitted limit and pays a whole number of chips.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing laid odds pay true odds, so I’ll leave them working. Every available new bet has a house edge, and recent rolls do not change the next roll’s probabilities.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A minimum don't-pass bet limits expected loss while leaving the option to add fair laid odds if a point is established. Earlier rolls do not affect the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet has a point of 10, so two chips of laid odds are legal and pay at true odds. Past rolls do not predict the next throw.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass odds have no house edge. Additional available bets would add expected loss, so I’m leaving the table unchanged.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A minimum-stake don't pass bet keeps expected loss small while leaving the option to add fair-odds backing if a point is established.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The existing don't-pass bet on 8 is worth keeping. Every available new bet has negative expected value, and past rolls do not change the odds.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onThe streak is fun, but each roll is independent. Keeping my flat bet small.
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I'll take the odds on my six.
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New shooter, fresh roll. I'm on the don't pass.
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Keeping it small on the don't; each roll is independent.
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Keeping it small and taking the free odds.
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I’m sitting this roll out.
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I'll take the don't come and let the dice decide.
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Keeping it small; each roll is independent.
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I’m sitting this roll out. The dice have no memory.
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I'll keep it small and ignore the recent rolls—each throw is independent.
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Keeping it small on the don't pass. Each roll is independent.
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Small don't-pass bet for me. Past rolls don't affect the next throw.
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I’m letting my existing don’t-pass bet ride; past rolls don’t change the next throw.
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I’m letting the existing don’t-pass bet ride.
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I’m sticking with the odds behind my 6.
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I’m sitting this roll out.
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I’m sitting this roll out.
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New come-out roll. I’m keeping the flat bet modest and will consider odds if a point is set.
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Laying the odds on the 9.
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Sticking with my existing bets; the dice have no memory.
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I’m letting my existing bets ride.
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Keeping it small on the don't pass; each roll stands on its own.
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Sticking with my current bet. Each roll is independent.
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Keeping it small on the don't; each roll stands on its own.
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I'm sticking with the odds, not chasing the last few rolls.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
GPT-6 Sol finished first, -18 chips over 40 rolls
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