Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC
5 of 80 decisions were server fallbacks
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest come-out house edge; a 20 flat leaves room to lay the full odds multiple later without hitting the 100 stake cap, keeping expected loss per chip minimal.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6, so the don't pass is already a positive-EV contract; max laid odds (96, a multiple of 6) add zero house edge and raise odds utilization without new negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out only allows a flat line bet; a modest pass-line stake has the lowest edge among available bets and sets up full true-odds, which carry no house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Full true-odds behind the existing pass-line 10 add zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds on 10 are already at the 3x ceiling and are zero-edge, so I leave them up and add no negative-edge bets this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds on 10 are already at the 3x ceiling, so the only zero-edge expansion is a come flat I can load with true odds once it lands a point. Skipping field, hardways, and place bets keeps the house edge on new chips as low as possible.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 3x ceiling, so the only zero-edge add is full come odds on 6. Skipping place, field, and proposition bets avoids house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come odds on 6 are already at the ceiling and have no house edge, so I add no negative-EV bets this roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge available on the come-out; a 30 flat allows the full laid-odds multiple on every point with whole-chip payouts, which I will add next roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The don't pass flat is already working on 4; max laid odds are zero house edge and use the full odds ceiling, which cuts expected loss per chip without adding negative-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with max laid odds already working, so the flat is now the favorite and the odds are zero edge. Adding any legal bet would only increase house-edge exposure, so I leave the position unchanged.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out: don't pass has the lowest house edge among legal bets, and a 20 flat leaves room to lay the maximum whole-chip odds after the point is set, which cuts EV loss per chip and raises odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 behind a live don't pass, so max even laid odds (60) add zero-edge action and dilute house edge without new negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with max don't-pass odds already working, the zero-edge part of the bet. Every legal new wager has a house edge, so I add nothing and leave the position unchanged.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 with max laid odds already behind don't pass; that flat is now plus-EV and the odds are fair, so I leave them and add no negative-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4 and the don't pass is already backed with the maximum 3x odds, so no new negative-edge bet improves expected loss per chip or odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 4 don't pass is now player-favorable and laid odds are already at the 3x ceiling with zero house edge, so I leave them working and add no negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on 4 with max laid odds is already the lowest-edge position available; odds are capped and every new legal bet adds house edge, so I leave the table unchanged.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 4, so the don't pass is ahead of the seven and the laid odds are already at the 3x ceiling with zero house edge. Adding any legal bet would only add house edge, so I leave the table unchanged.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out with nothing working. Every offered bet has a house edge and odds are not available until a point exists, so standing pat keeps expected chips highest.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
A come bet is the lowest-edge legal wager and sets up full true-odds next, which minimizes expected loss per chip. I am skipping the field and other higher-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The come flat on 6 is already up and cannot be removed, so I add the full 5x true-odds stake, which has zero house edge and uses the odds ceiling. I skip every other bet because each carries a house edge and would raise expected loss per chip.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge among come-out bets, and a 20 flat leaves room to lay the full odds multiple once a point is set, which is zero-edge action.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point 6 makes the existing don't pass favorable, so I keep it and lay the full 96 odds at true odds to add zero house edge and maximize odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
With the point on 6, the don't pass is already a favorite and its laid odds are maxed at true odds, so I leave both working and add no negative-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Come-out: a 50 pass-line flat leaves room to take full true odds on any point inside the 300 exposure cap, which minimizes house edge per chip and maximizes odds utilization. Ignoring the don't-pass nudge; rolls are independent.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 8 behind a 50 pass-line flat; the full allowed odds are zero house edge and improve odds utilization without adding negative-EV bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with odds already working on 8 is the lowest-edge position available, and no legal action can add more odds, so I add no negative-edge bets and leave the odds up.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest come-out house edge, and a 48 flat leaves room for exact maximum laid odds on every point within the 300 exposure cap.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6, so the existing don't pass is plus-EV and stays. Max laid odds are zero-edge and improve odds utilization without adding house-edge bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6, so the don't pass is ahead of the seven and the laid odds are zero edge. No legal odds remain and every new bet has a house edge, so I leave the table unchanged.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6, so the existing don't pass is plus-EV and the laid odds are zero-edge; every legal new bet has a house edge, and no additional odds are legal, so I add and remove nothing.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line is the lowest-edge bet available on the come-out and sets up full true-odds behind the point, which carry no house edge. Skipping field, hardways, and one-roll props avoids their much higher edges.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 20 pass-line flat already up; max free odds (100, a multiple of 5) have zero house edge and improve odds utilization, while every other legal bet adds expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Point is 6 with a 20 pass line and full 5x odds already working, so the zero-edge odds are maxed and no legal addition has a lower house edge. Adding place, field, hardway, or proposition bets would only increase expected loss per chip with two rolls left.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 5x ceiling and carry no house edge, so taking them down or adding any negative-edge bet would worsen EV loss per chip and odds utilization on the last decision roll.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onThe shooter is hot, press your bets
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I'll take the don't and odds behind it. Field's a tough price.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Already on the don't. Taking full odds behind the six.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Pass line. I'll take the odds once a point is set.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point is ten. Odds only.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point's ten and the odds stay. Seven isn't due; the dice don't remember.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Ten is the point and the odds are already full. Come bet for the next number.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Odds are already working. No don't for me.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Come on six is working with full odds. I'll pass on the don't.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Come-out. I'll take the don't and odds once a point is set.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Already on the don't. Laying full odds behind the four.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Standing pat on the don't.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Small don't, odds behind it once the point is set.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Point four, laying the odds. Field is yours.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Already on the don't with full odds. Letting it ride.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Already on the don't with full odds. Letting it ride.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Already on the don't with full odds. Leaving it.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Standing pat.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Point is nine. Come with odds behind it, not the field.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Odds only behind the six.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Flat don't, then full odds. Not pressing the field.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Already on the don't. Laying the odds, nothing else.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Riding the don't. No press.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking the odds on the eight.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point is eight and the odds stay up. Not chasing a seven.
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Don't pass. Odds behind it once the point is set.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Already on the don't. Laying the odds and leaving the rest alone.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Already laid against the six. No press.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Leaving the don't up.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Come-out line bet. Odds behind it once a point is set.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Staying with the point. Odds only.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Point is six and the odds are already full. Letting it ride.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted provocateur finished first, -5 chips over 40 rolls
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