Showdown Hold'em table
Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Sep 28, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
3-4 offsuit falls outside the optimal preflop raising range, so I check and wait for the flop.
Model's stated reason
I flopped two pair using both hole cards (4s and 3s), which is well ahead of a random dealer hand. Standard flop strategy is to bet 2x with two pair or better.
Model's stated reason
T6 suited is outside the optimal preflop 4x range (suited tens need J8s+ or better), so checking to see the flop is correct.
Model's stated reason
Ten-high with an open-ended straight draw but no pair is below the standard flop 2x raise threshold (pair or better, or a strong flush draw), so checking to see the river is better than risking 20 more chips.
Model's stated reason
The board plays (QQJJK), and the dealer always qualifies. The dealer beats me only with an A, K, Q or J, or with T9, which is about 441/990 ≈ 44.5% of holdings, and otherwise ties. Calling costs about -13.4 chips on average versus -20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
J5 suited falls outside the reference 4x raising table, which requires J8s or better for suited jacks, so checking preflop is correct. It keeps the option to raise 2x on the flop or 1x on the river.
Model's stated reason
J-high with no pair of our own, since the paired board helps both hands equally, and there is no flush draw. That falls below the standard flop 2x threshold, so we check and decide on the river.
Model's stated reason
The board plays for me (77-33-Q), so I can only tie or lose. The dealer beats me about 59.7% of the time (591 of 990 holdings), giving a raise EV of about -17.9 chips versus -20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
84 suited is not in the optimal preflop 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K2s+, Q6s+, J8s+), so checking to see the flop is correct.
Model's stated reason
With 8-high, no pair and no flush or straight draw beyond runner-runner, raising 2x has negative EV. Checking is free and keeps the river decision open.
Model's stated reason
The board pair of sevens means the dealer always qualifies, and my 8 kicker loses to any dealer card nine or higher, any pair, or any board-pairing card, so I win only about 8% of the time. Raising is worth about -24 chips versus -20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
J9 offsuit is not on the optimal 4x table (which needs JTo or J8s+ for jack-high hands), so checking preflop keeps the option to raise 2x on the flop or 1x on the river.
Model's stated reason
A pair of nines made with a hole card, plus a jack kicker, fits the standard flop rule of betting any hidden pair. That makes raise_2x better than checking.
Model's stated reason
64s is not on the optimal preflop 4x raising table (33+, any ace, K2s+/K5o+, Q6s+/Q8o+, J8s+/JTo), so checking is correct. I'll decide on the flop.
Model's stated reason
A pair of sixes made with a hole card, plus a gutshot to a 5-high straight, is strong enough on this flop that a 2x raise should beat checking. This follows standard flop strategy of raising with any hidden pair except deuces.
Model's stated reason
The published optimal strategy raises 4x preflop with any ace, and A4 offsuit is on that list. Ace-high equity against a random dealer hand makes the maximum raise the best-EV play.
Model's stated reason
QTo is Q8o or better, which the optimal preflop table says to raise 4x. Raising 4x has higher expected value than checking.
Model's stated reason
T4 suited is well outside the optimal 4x preflop raising range (J8s+/Q6s+ etc.), so check and reassess on the flop.
Model's stated reason
I have top pair of tens using a hole card. Standard optimal flop strategy raises with any pair that uses a hole card (except pocket deuces), so raising 2x has higher EV than checking.
Model's stated reason
K2 offsuit falls below the optimal preflop 4x threshold of K5o+, so I check and keep the chance to raise 2x on the flop or 1x on the river.
Model's stated reason
King-high with no pair and only backdoor straight and flush draws is too weak for a 2x flop raise. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x or fold on the river.
Model's stated reason
The dealer always qualifies on this paired board. By my count we win about 312 of 990 dealer holdings, tie 69 and lose 609. That makes raising worth about -12.2 chips versus -20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
AKs is a premium hand well inside the optimal 4x raising range, so the maximum preflop raise has the highest expected value.
Model's stated reason
KJ suited falls within the published optimal 4x preflop range (K2s+), so raising the maximum is correct.
Model's stated reason
Pocket queens are a premium hand, well inside the optimal 4x raising range (33+). The maximum raise maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
KQo is well inside the published optimal 4x raising table (K5o+), so a maximum preflop raise has the highest expected value.
Model's stated reason
8-3 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x raising range, so checking preflop to see the flop for free is correct.
Model's stated reason
With 8-3 offsuit on a K-A-6 flop I have no pair and no draw, so raising 2x is clearly -EV. Checking keeps the river decision open for free.
Model's stated reason
The dealer always qualifies on the paired board. We only win against about 84 of 990 dealer holdings, so raising is worth about -24 chips versus -20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
84 offsuit is not in the optimal preflop 4x raising range (33+, any ace, strong kings/queens/jacks). Checking keeps the option to reassess on the flop for free.
Model's stated reason
Eight-high with only a gutshot and no diamond on a monotone board is too weak to raise 2x on the flop. Checking keeps the option to see the river and fold cheaply.
Model's stated reason
My 4 completes a 4-5-6-7-8 straight. It beats most dealer hands and pays 1:1 on the blind if I win, while folding would lose the ante and blind for sure, so raising is clearly better.
Model's stated reason
Q8 offsuit sits right at the edge of the published optimal 4x raising range (Q8o+). Raising the maximum is marginally better than checking.
Model's stated reason
Q2s falls outside the optimal 4x table, which needs Q6s or better. Checking keeps the option to raise 2x on the flop or 1x on the river when it is more profitable.
Model's stated reason
Queen-high with only a gutshot to Broadway and a backdoor flush draw doesn't meet the flop 2x raise standard (two pair or better, a hidden pair, or a strong four-flush). Checking keeps the river decision open.
Model's stated reason
Holding ace-high (AKQJ9), a call risks 10 more. Enumerating the dealer's holdings gives about -16.3 chips for calling versus a certain -20 for folding, since a non-qualifying dealer pushes the ante and our kicker usually wins.
Model's stated reason
J9s is not on the optimal 4x table (which needs J8s+... actually J8s+ suited qualifies). Correction: the table lists J8s+ as a raise, so J9s qualifies, but I am choosing check anyway.
Model's stated reason
J9 of diamonds on a Td-Ks-8d flop gives an open-ended straight draw plus a flush draw, about 15 outs and roughly a 54% chance to complete by the river, with straight-flush chances too. Straights and flushes also pay on the blind, so raising 2x is the higher-EV play.
Model's stated reason
J2 offsuit is well outside the optimal preflop 4x raising table, so checking is best, keeping the flop and river options open at no extra cost.
Model's stated reason
Jack-high with no pair of my own on a paired 4-7-7 board falls well short of the flop 2x raise threshold (two pair or better, a hidden pair, or a strong flush draw). Checking keeps the river decision open at no extra risk.
Model's stated reason
The dealer always qualifies on this double-paired board. I have 77-44 with a jack kicker, and by a rough count a raise loses about 14 chips on average, which beats the certain 20-chip loss from folding.
Model's stated reason
Q2 offsuit is below the optimal preflop raise threshold (Q8o+), so checking and looking at the flop for free is correct.
Model's stated reason
The paired board gives me only a shared pair of nines, and a queen with a deuce kicker is weak, so a 2x raise isn't justified. I'll check and decide on the river.
Model's stated reason
Queens and nines two pair beats most dealer hands (roughly 74%). The dealer always qualifies on this board, so raising is worth about +7 chips versus a certain -20 for folding.
Model's stated reason
The published optimal strategy says to raise 4x preflop with any ace, and that includes A2 offsuit. Raising the maximum is the higher-EV play here.
Model's stated reason
J3 offsuit is not on the optimal 4x preflop table (which needs JTo+ for offsuit jacks), so checking and seeing the flop for free is correct.
Model's stated reason
A pair of threes plus a four-card flush draw (any heart makes a jack-high flush, which also pays the blind 3:2) and backdoor straight chances gives enough equity to justify the 2x raise over checking.
Model's stated reason
J5 offsuit is outside the optimal preflop 4x range (which needs J8s+ or JTo), so I check and wait for the flop.
Model's stated reason
A pair of fives using my hole card, with a jack kicker, meets the standard flop raise threshold (any hidden pair except pocket deuces). Checking would forfeit value against the many dealer hands I beat.
Model's stated reason
J3 offsuit is well outside the optimal preflop 4x range (JTo+ for jacks), so checking and seeing the flop for free is correct.
Model's stated reason
J-3 on a K-7-4 rainbow flop has no pair, no draw and only one overcard to the low board cards, so raising 2x is clearly -EV. Checking keeps the river decision open for free.
Model's stated reason
The paired board means the dealer always qualifies, so folding loses 20. Calling wins about 22% of the time and ties about 5%, for an EV of roughly -17.5, which is better than folding.
Model's stated reason
Pocket 33 is in the published optimal 4x preflop raising range (33+), so raising 4x maximizes expected value.
Model's stated reason
85s is not on the optimal preflop 4x table (which needs 33+, any ace, strong kings, queens, or J8s+). Checking lets me see the flop for free and decide later.
Model's stated reason
A pair of fives made with a hole card is a hidden pair. Standard flop strategy is to raise 2x with that, and the 8 kicker and backdoor straight chances add equity.
Model's stated reason
The published optimal strategy raises 4x preflop with 33 or better, so pocket fives are a 4x raise.
Model's stated reason
Q6 offsuit is below the optimal preflop 4x threshold (Q8o+), so checking and reevaluating on the flop maximizes EV.
Model's stated reason
The 6 in my hand pairs the board, and standard optimal flop strategy raises 2x with any pair that uses a hole card (except pocket deuces). A pair of sixes with a queen kicker is ahead of a typical dealer hand.
Model's stated reason
Q3 offsuit is well below the optimal 4x threshold (Q8o+), so checking preflop keeps the option to see the flop for free.
Model's stated reason
Top pair of queens made with a hole card is ahead of most dealer holdings, and the standard flop strategy is to raise 2x with any hidden pair.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
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Result
Session result: -25 chips over 30 hands
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