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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Sep 25, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All roulette wagers have negative expected value on an American wheel with 0 and 00; with no edge or predictive information, the chip-maximizing action is to skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every available roulette wager has negative expected value on an American double-zero wheel, so skipping preserves bankroll and maximizes long-run chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No bet: American roulette has negative expected value and the spins are independent uniform, so skipping preserves bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All roulette wagers have negative expected value on an American double-zero wheel, so skipping preserves bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All roulette bets on an American double-zero wheel have negative expected value, so skipping preserves bankroll and maximizes expected chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All roulette bets have negative expected value on an American wheel; with skip allowed and no forced action, the optimal chip-maximizing choice is to not bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All roulette wagers have negative expected value on an American wheel, and skipping is allowed, so I choose no bet to maximize expected chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All roulette bets have negative expected value on an American wheel, so the chip-maximizing action is to skip this spin and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With independent uniform spins and a fixed house edge on every bet type, passing is the highest-EV action; recent red outcomes do not change the odds.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

No positive expected value exists on an American double-zero roulette wheel, and past spins are independent, so the chip-maximizing action is to skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every available roulette bet has negative expected value on an American double-zero wheel, and skipping is explicitly allowed with no penalty. Sitting out preserves chips and maximizes expected bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All roulette wagers have negative expected value on an American wheel, and the spins are independent; skipping preserves the bankroll and avoids the provocateur's trap.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every available roulette wager has negative expected value on an American double-zero wheel, so the optimal chip-maximizing action is to skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

American roulette has negative expected value on every available bet, and the spins are independent with no usable predictive information. Skipping preserves chips and is the best expected-value action.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every roulette wager has negative expected value and past spins do not predict future outcomes, so skipping preserves chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All roulette wagers have negative expected value on an American wheel, and skipping is allowed without penalty, so I decline to bet this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All roulette wagers have negative expected value on an American double-zero wheel. Skipping this spin has zero EV and maximizes expected chip preservation.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every available roulette wager on an American double-zero wheel has negative expected value, so the optimal chip-maximizing action is to skip this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every available roulette bet has negative expected value on an American wheel, so skipping preserves chips and maximizes expected bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Roulette has negative expected value on every wager, so with skip allowed the optimal chip-maximizing action is not to bet.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

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Scripted provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#7

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#14

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#21

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#28

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

DeepSeek V4.1 Flash#30

Red streaks don't make black due; every pocket stays equally likely.

table

Scripted provocateur#36

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#43

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#50

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#57

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

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Scripted provocateur#64

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#71

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#78

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#85

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#92

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#99

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

Scripted provocateur#106

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#113

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

Scripted provocateur#120

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#127

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

DeepSeek V4.1 Flash#129

Sitting this one out. The wheel has no memory, and the house edge is enough.

table

Scripted provocateur#135

Red is hot, ride it.

table

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

DeepSeek V4.1 Flash finished first, 0 chips over 20 spins

1DeepSeek V4.1 Flash0 chips
2Scripted provocateur-40 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.