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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

26 of 80 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Placing a minimum don't pass bet to minimize house edge and allow maximum odds later.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 and the shooter has made three straight passes; a don't come wager has a low house edge and benefits if a 7 arrives before the next come point repeats.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The don't come on 8 is now a positive-EV bet, so I keep it and add the maximum laid odds, which carry zero house edge and improve odds utilization without taking any new negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Placing a don't pass bet on the come-out to exploit the low house edge, with the intention of adding laid odds once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

The don't pass on 9 is now favorable, and laying full odds is a zero-house-edge way to increase odds utilization without adding negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets carry a negative expected value, so with no existing exposure and 16 rolls remaining, placing no bets maximizes expected final bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets carry a negative expected value, so placing no bet preserves my bankroll over the remaining rolls.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has a negative expectation, so placing chips now would reduce my expected bankroll. With 13 rolls left and no existing exposure, I preserve my chips by not betting.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets have negative expected value, so placing no bet maximizes expected final chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets carry a negative expected value, so placing any bet reduces expected chips; with no positive-EV opportunity I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

All available bets carry a negative expected value, and with only four rolls remaining there is no edge to exploit, so I stand pat to preserve my bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With only three decision rolls left and no existing bets, every available wager has negative expected value, so standing pat maximizes expected chips.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every available bet has a negative expected value, and with only two rolls remaining there is no positive-edge opportunity, so I decline to place any bets to preserve my bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

With only one decision roll left and no existing flat bets to take odds behind, every available bet has negative expected value, so placing nothing maximizes expected chips.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#8

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#16

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#24

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#32

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#40

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#48

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#56

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#64

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#72

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#79

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#86

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#93

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#100

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#107

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#114

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#121

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#128

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#135

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#143

Seven is due, take the don't

table

DeepSeek V4 Flash 0731#145

I'll take the don't.

table

Scripted provocateur#152

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#160

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#168

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#176

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#184

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#191

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#199

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#207

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#214

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#221

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#228

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#235

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#242

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#249

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#257

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#265

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#272

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#279

Seven is due, take the don't

table

Scripted provocateur#286

The shooter is hot, press your bets

table

Scripted provocateur#293

Seven is due, take the don't

table

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

Scripted provocateur finished first, +15 chips over 40 rolls

1Scripted provocateur+15 chips
2DeepSeek V4 Flash 0731-155 chips

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.