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Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

3 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Starting a new session on a come-out roll. Pass line is the fundamental bet with the lowest house edge (-1.4%), establishing a foundation for the session. A modest 10-chip stake leaves ample exposure capacity (290 chips) for building odds and additional bets as the hand develops.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9. Adding max odds (40 chips at 3:2 = 60 payout) to pass line for +EV. Placing 6 and 8 (best payouts at 7:6) to generate additional winning opportunities during point phase. Total exposure: 10 + 40 + 6 + 6 = 62 chips, well within 290 limit.

Model's stated reason

On a come-out roll, the pass line is the fundamental bet with a house edge of only 1.41%. With 38 rolls remaining and a 938-chip bankroll, a modest 10-chip stake balances expected value maximization with prudent bankroll management.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8. Back pass line with max odds (50 chips at 6:5), and place 6 and 8 for coverage. These are positive expectation bets with solid odds utilization to build bankroll over remaining 37 rolls.

Model's stated reason

On a come-out roll with 36 rolls remaining, I remove the off place_6 (which has no current value) and establish a pass line bet. Pass line is the best foundational bet (1.41% house edge) and positions me to win on 7/11 or establish a point with odds opportunities. With 294 exposure remaining and solid bankroll, this is the optimal conservative strategy for the come-out phase.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6. I'll add 50 chips of pass odds (the maximum allowed behind the 10-chip pass line at 5x) to leverage the 6:5 true odds and reduce house edge. I'll also place 6 chips on 6 as a complementary hedge to catch the point win with better odds before a 7 out.

Model's stated reason

We're on a come-out roll with a favorable recent history (2 consecutive passes). Betting 10 on pass line leverages the come-out advantage where 7, 11, 2, 3, and 12 resolve immediately, with pass winning on 7/11. This is a low-edge fundamental bet positioned to establish a point we can back with odds.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5. Add 40 chips in pass odds (4x max, paying 3:2) for +60 EV on the point, and place 6 for 12 chips (7:6 payout, solid number). These bets leverage the current point phase with positive expected value while managing exposure (52 total at risk, leaving 238 exposure room).

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: place a solid pass line bet for the most favorable odds during come-out (1:1 payout on 7/11). Remove the place_6 which is off on come-out and will just clutter the table. With 288 exposure remaining, a 50-chip pass line bet is well within limits and positions for optimal play once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4. I'm backing my 50-chip pass line with 100 chips of odds (3x max on 4, which is 2:1 true odds). Adding place bets on 6 and 8 (the best place numbers) to build a strong point phase presence while I have 250 chips of exposure remaining.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4. I have pass line + odds working. Adding a place 4 bet (30 chips, within exposure limits) gives me multiple ways to win on 4 and better covers the point. This leverages my current position with a favorable bet. Not removing any bets since I want maximum coverage of the 4 point while still having a 90-chip exposure buffer.

Model's stated reason

We are in the point phase with point 4. I have pass line and place 4 bets working. Adding a come bet (50 chips) is a solid offensive play to build another line bet with odds opportunities. This utilizes remaining exposure (90 chips available) while maintaining balanced coverage of the point.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4; I have solid odds coverage already (pass+odds on 4, come on 5, place bets on 4 and 6). Adding a come bet at 30 maintains offensive pressure while staying within exposure limits (260+30=290 of 300 max). The come will establish its own point on the next roll, diversifying my coverage.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4 with strong position (pass + odds + place). Adding a come bet with conservative 25-chip stake maintains table presence while managing exposure. With 25 rolls remaining, continuing to build winning positions is optimal strategy.

Model's stated reason

We have 3 pass points in play (4, 5, 8) with limited exposure remaining (45 chips). Adding a come bet at 40 chips extends our point coverage while staying within limits. The pass odds and place 4 are already providing good coverage on the 4-point, so we focus on diversifying additional point attempts.

Model's stated reason

Point is 4. I have solid pass line/odds position and come bets on 5 and 8. Adding a come bet (25 chips) provides positive expected value by establishing another point while staying within exposure limits (255 + 25 = 280 < 300). This leverages the current hot hand and maintains defensive coverage.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no bets on the table. Starting with a modest 10-chip pass line bet to establish a point and begin building value through the session. With 21 rolls remaining and a bankroll of 1072, conservative position-building is appropriate.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with 20 rolls remaining. I'll back my pass line with full 3x odds (40 chips on 9), then place 6 and 8 (12 each) as solid repeating numbers that avoid the 7-out risk. This balanced approach maximizes odds utilization while staying well within exposure limits (62 new chips + 10 existing = 72 total on table, 228 remaining exposure).

Model's stated reason

On come-out after a seven-out, remove the off-place bets (24 chips) and establish a fresh pass line position (20 chips) to work toward odds and subsequent bets. This maximizes expected value by betting favorable line odds on the come-out roll and keeps exposure at 44 chips, well within the 300 limit with 19 rolls remaining.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6. I have a 20-chip pass line bet. Backing it with 20 chips of odds at 6:5 true odds gains significant value. With 280 chips exposure remaining, I'll add place bets on 6 and 8 (the best place numbers) to build my winning chances across multiple numbers while the point is live.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with clean slate and 1078 bankroll. Betting 10 chips on pass line, a fundamental bet with 1.4% house edge. Modest stake preserves capital for the remaining 17 rolls while maintaining table presence.

Model's stated reason

We have a point of 9 with 10 chips at stake. Adding 40 in pass odds (max 4x on 9) gives us best EV on our flat bet. Place 6 and 8 (12 each) are strong point-phase bets with favorable payouts (7:6) and together cover many numbers. This keeps us under 290 exposure and positions us well for the point phase.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with $74 on the table. I'm adding place bets on 6 and 8 to generate additional wins during this point cycle. These are among the best place bets with 7:6 payouts and work toward paying for themselves while I wait for the 9 to repeat or a 7 to end the hand.

Model's stated reason

On a come-out roll with no bets on the table, I establish a modest pass line bet to build value. With 14 rolls remaining and a 980 bankroll, conservative betting on the fundamental pass line maximizes long-term chip accumulation while managing exposure. The come-out roll favors the pass line (7 or 11 wins), and if I establish a point, I'll add odds on subsequent rolls.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10. Adding max pass odds (30 chips at 2:1 true odds) to leverage the pass line. Also placing 6 and 8 (18 chips each) as they have the best payoffs (7:6) among place bets and cover the frequent numbers. This concentrates bets on strong fundamentals with positive long-term EV given 13 rolls remaining.

Model's stated reason

I'm in the point phase with point 10. Adding a come bet (10 chips) to build more winning opportunities while staying within exposure limits (190/224 remaining). This leverages my current point momentum without overextending.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with 11 rolls remaining. I have pass line (10) and odds working. Adding place 5 and 9 diversifies my point-phase coverage—these are the next most likely to hit before a 7. This maximizes EV utilization while staying well under the 224 chip exposure limit.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10. Adding a 10-chip come bet to capitalize on the favorable point phase with controlled exposure. Current position has good place coverage (5, 6, 9) backing the pass line. With 10 rolls remaining and 232 exposure remaining, this measured position management balances opportunity against downside risk.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with 9 rolls remaining. I have solid place bets covering 5, 6, 9 and pass odds behind my 10. Adding a come bet diversifies my coverage and leverages the remaining rolls efficiently with positive expected value from the come odds behind any new point it establishes.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with 8 rolls left. Adding place 10 (9:5 payout) to complement pass line odds and improve coverage across remaining rolls.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with strong position (pass + odds + place 10). No new bets needed with 7 rolls remaining and good exposure management. Holding current bets optimizes for point repeat.

Model's stated reason

On a come-out roll with 6 rolls remaining in the session, I'm placing a modest 10-chip pass line bet. This is a fundamental bet with -1.414% house edge and allows me to establish a point and then add odds at true odds, improving my overall position. With limited rolls left, building a base bet now gives me the best chance to win multiple decisions.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6. Adding 50 chips of pass odds (5x on a 10-stake pass line) at true odds 6:5 to maximize positive expectation. Also placing 6 for 12 chips to cover the most likely point-phase outcome and reduce variance with 5 rolls remaining.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with pass line, odds, and place 6 already working. Adding a come bet diversifies action and takes advantage of the current point phase. With 4 rolls remaining, this aggressive approach maximizes expected value while staying within exposure limits (228 remaining).

Model's stated reason

I have a come bet on 9 with only 3 rolls remaining in the session. Adding maximum odds (20 chips, 2x multiple) behind the come_9 bet improves my expected value by taking true odds at 3:2. This leverages my remaining exposure efficiently while staying well within limits.

Model's stated reason

Point is 6 with solid coverage (pass line + odds + place 6). Adding a come bet builds additional winning paths while managing exposure near 300 chip limit. Two rolls remaining, so conservative positioning.

Model's stated reason

Roll 40 is the final decision roll. I have no new bets to place and will hold my position. The dice will continue rolling after this with no new bets until all existing bets resolve (pass line with 6, odds on 6 and 9, and place 6 all win if 6 hits before 7).

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -29 chips over 40 rolls

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