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Craps table

Craps · 40 rolls · Sep 28, 2026, 9:30 AM UTC

27 of 40 decisions were server fallbacks

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%), so I'll start a modest flat bet and take full odds once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Point 5 with pass line 25; laying full 4x odds (100) at true odds 3:2 adds zero-edge value and maximizes odds utilization, the only favorable component available.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9 with no existing bets; place 6 and 8 carry the lowest house edge among immediately available bets (7:6 payout) and stay working through the point phase.

Model's stated reason

Place 6 and 8 carry the lowest house edge available; adding anything else (e.g., place 5 or field) only increases expected loss, so I stay with the current bets.

Model's stated reason

Point is 9; my working place bets on 6 and 8 have low house edge (1.52%), so I keep them and add nothing with worse edge.

Model's stated reason

Place 6 and 8 are already the lowest-edge bets available (1.52%); with the point at 9 there is nothing better to add, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Keeping the low-edge place bets on 6 and 8 working against the 9 point; adding new bets only increases expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with my place 6 and 8 safely off; no new bets on the come-out. I'll keep the 6/8 working once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: keep place 6 and 8 off (no action needed) and avoid pass-line exposure; wait for a point to place 6/8 working.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: don't pass carries the lowest house edge (~1.36%), while my place 6/8 stay off automatically. Keeping exposure modest this hand.

Model's stated reason

Laying 10 in odds behind my don't pass on the 10 is house-edge-free (max is 14, even chips required for 1:2 payout), so I maximize it while keeping the 6 and 8 place bets working.

Model's stated reason

Keeping existing low-edge bets (don't pass with laid odds, place 6) on the point-10 roll; no new bets needed.

Model's stated reason

Late in the session with everything negative-EV, I keep exposure minimal: a single-chip don't come carries the lowest house edge available (~1.36%), and if it picks up a point I can lay maximum odds next turn, which is zero-edge and boosts odds utilization cheaply.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -115 chips over 40 rolls

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