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Showdown Hold'em table

Showdown Hold’em · 30 hands · Oct 14, 2026, 8:53 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

J5 offsuit is not on the optimal 4x raising chart (which requires JTo+ for offsuit jacks), so I check and wait to see the flop.

Model's stated reason

Two pair (jacks and fives) on the flop is a strong favorite over a random dealer hand, so raising 2x maximizes EV versus checking.

Model's stated reason

9-5 offsuit is well outside the optimal preflop 4x raising range, so checking to see the flop for free is correct.

Model's stated reason

Nine-high with no pair and only backdoor straight and flush draws is too weak to raise 2x on the flop. Checking keeps the river option open at no extra cost.

Model's stated reason

Two pair (jacks and nines) beats most dealer holdings. Calling for one ante clearly beats folding, which forfeits two antes.

Model's stated reason

Pocket queens are well inside the optimal 4x preflop raising range (33+), so the maximum raise gives the highest expected value.

Model's stated reason

K8 offsuit falls within the published optimal preflop 4x table (K5o+), so raising the maximum is correct.

Model's stated reason

J8 offsuit falls outside the optimal preflop 4x range, which includes J8s+ but only JTo for offsuit jacks. Checking keeps a cheap look at the flop.

Model's stated reason

Top pair of jacks using a hole card is a hidden pair. Standard flop strategy is to bet 2x with any hidden pair, since it is well ahead of the dealer's random range.

Model's stated reason

86 offsuit is well outside the optimal preflop 4x raising range (33+, any ace, strong kings/queens/jacks), so checking to see the flop is correct.

Model's stated reason

Eight-high with only a gutshot draw and no pair falls well short of the standard flop 2x raise threshold. Checking keeps the option to raise 1x or fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

I only have king-high with an 8 kicker, which wins only against unqualified low hands. Exact counting puts calling at about -2.19 antes versus -2.0 for folding, so folding is better.

Model's stated reason

Pocket threes are listed in the published optimal 4x table (33+), so raising 4x preflop is the reference-optimal play.

Model's stated reason

Any ace is in the published optimal 4x preflop raising range, so A7o should be raised 4x.

Model's stated reason

K6 offsuit falls within the published optimal 4x preflop range (K5o+), so raising 4x has higher expected value than checking.

Model's stated reason

QJ offsuit falls within the optimal 4x preflop raising range (Q8o+), so the maximum raise has positive expected value.

Model's stated reason

K5 offsuit is in the published optimal 4x raise range (K5o+), so a max preflop raise has the highest expected value.

Model's stated reason

Q2 offsuit is below the optimal 4x threshold (Q8o+), so checking preflop and deciding later is correct.

Model's stated reason

Queen-high with no pair and no flush draw on K-T-7 rainbow is well below the flop 2x raise threshold of a hidden pair or a strong draw. Check and decide on the river.

Model's stated reason

Enumerating all 990 dealer holdings, raising has an EV of about -18.9 chips, slightly better than the certain -20 from folding. The dealer fails to qualify in about 40% of cases, and our K-Q high beats most of those hands.

Model's stated reason

8-2 suited is well outside the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K2s+, Q6s+, J8s+), so checking to see the flop is correct.

Model's stated reason

8-2 offsite with no pair, no flush draw and no real straight draw on Q-5-J is far too weak to raise 2x. Checking keeps the option to fold cheaply on the river.

Model's stated reason

Queen-high with no pair or draw only beats a tiny fraction of dealer holdings, essentially 7-2 offsuit. Raising would lose about 30 almost every time, while folding caps the loss at 20.

Model's stated reason

T7 offsuit is not on the optimal preflop 4x table, which requires JTo or better for offsuit non-ace/king/queen hands. Checking keeps the ante and blind live and lets me decide on the flop.

Model's stated reason

T7 offsite on 8-2-J has no pair and only a gutshot (needs a 9); that's well short of the usual flop raise threshold, so checking to the river is better.

Model's stated reason

With a pair of tens on a four-diamond board, the dealer beats me in roughly 60% of holdings (601 of 990). Even so, raising costs about 1.46 antes in the worst case, which is better than the 2 antes I lose by folding.

Model's stated reason

Q5s falls just below the optimal 4x preflop threshold (Q6s+), so I check and wait to see the flop.

Model's stated reason

Standard flop strategy is to raise 2x with any pair that uses a hole card (except pocket deuces). Our pair of fives with a queen kicker clears that bar against a random dealer hand.

Model's stated reason

87 offsuit is outside the optimal preflop 4x raising range (33+, any ace, K5o+, Q8o+, JTo), so checking and seeing the flop is correct.

Model's stated reason

I hold top pair of eights using a hole card, with a backdoor straight draw. Optimal flop strategy raises 2x with any hidden pair other than pocket deuces.

Model's stated reason

J4 offsuit is not on the optimal 4x preflop table (only JTo among offsuit jacks), so checking and reassessing on the flop is the higher-EV play.

Model's stated reason

J-high with only a gutshot (needs a 5) and no pair on a 3-T-6 rainbow board is far too weak to raise 2x, so checking keeps the river decision open.

Model's stated reason

Only the board's pair of 3s with a J kicker; by rough enumeration the dealer, who always qualifies here, beats this about 85% of the time. Raising is worth about -22.7 chips, so folding for a sure -20 is slightly better.

Model's stated reason

K6 suited is within the published optimal 4x preflop range (K2s+), so raising the maximum gives the highest expected value.

Model's stated reason

Pocket fives are inside the published optimal 4x raising range (33+), so the maximum preflop raise has the highest expected value.

Model's stated reason

K3 offsuit falls below the optimal 4x threshold (K5o+ for offsuit kings), so checking preflop and deciding later is higher EV.

Model's stated reason

King-high with no pair and only a backdoor flush draw falls below the flop 2x raise threshold. Checking keeps the option to bet or fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

The dealer always qualifies because of the board pair of deuces, and our K-high kicker beats or ties roughly 28% of dealer holdings. Raising costs about -17 chips in expectation versus -20 for folding, so calling the 1x is better.

Model's stated reason

4-2 suited is well outside the optimal preflop 4x raise range (it needs 33+, any ace, or strong kings, queens and jacks), so checking to see the flop is correct.

Model's stated reason

A hidden pair of fours, made with a hole card, plus some straight potential fits standard optimal flop strategy, which says to raise 2x with any hidden pair except pocket deuces.

Model's stated reason

J5 suited is outside the published 4x preflop range, which needs J8s+ for suited jacks. Checking keeps the flop and river decisions open.

Model's stated reason

J5 offsuit on a K-T-7 flop makes no pair and has no real draw, only weak backdoor straight chances. Standard flop strategy only raises with a hidden pair or better or a strong flush draw, so I check and decide on the river.

Model's stated reason

Pair of jacks with A-K-T kickers loses to roughly 46% of dealer holdings. Calling risks 10 more chips to avoid a certain 20-chip fold loss, so raising has clearly higher EV.

Model's stated reason

K6 offsuit falls within the published optimal 4x preflop table (K5o+), so raising 4x maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

T3 offsuit is well outside the optimal preflop 4x raising range, so checking to see the flop for free is correct.

Model's stated reason

Ten-high with only a gutshot to a five and no pair or flush draw falls short of the flop 2x raising standard. Checking keeps the river fold option open.

Model's stated reason

I hold a 2-6 straight. Only a dealer 7-3 or 7-8 for a higher straight beats it, so raising is clearly profitable, and a win also pays the blind 1:1.

Model's stated reason

Q7 suited falls within the optimal preflop 4x range (Q6s+), so raising the maximum gives the best expected value.

Model's stated reason

Any ace is in the published optimal 4x preflop raising table, so A6o warrants the maximum raise.

Model's stated reason

5-2 offsuit is far outside the optimal preflop 4x range (33+, any ace, strong kings/queens), so checking to see the flop for free is correct.

Model's stated reason

With 5-2 offsuit on 7-9-8 there is no pair and only a gutshot to a 6, which is well short of the flop 2x raise threshold. Checking keeps the option of a cheap river decision.

Model's stated reason

A pair of twos beats every unpaired dealer hand, and those hands do not qualify. By my rough count, raising costs about 12 to 13 chips on average, compared with a certain 20-chip loss from folding.

Model's stated reason

Pocket sixes fall within the optimal 4x preflop table (33+), so the maximum raise has the highest expected value.

Model's stated reason

9-2 offsuit is far outside the optimal 4x raising range (33+, any ace, strong kings/queens/jacks), so checking to see the flop for free is correct.

Model's stated reason

Top pair of nines using a hole card is a hidden pair, which standard flop strategy plays at 2x. It is ahead of most dealer holdings even with a weak kicker on a connected board.

Model's stated reason

T2 offsuit is well outside the optimal 4x raising range, so checking is correct. That keeps the option to raise on the flop or fold on the river.

Model's stated reason

Ten-high with no pair and only a backdoor straight draw is far too weak to raise 2x on the flop. Checking keeps the option to see the river for free and then fold or bet 1x.

Model's stated reason

The board pairs queens, so the dealer always qualifies. Against the 990 possible dealer hands I win about 25%, tie about 5% and lose about 71%, so raising has an EV of roughly -16 chips versus -20 for folding.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: +260 chips over 30 hands

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