Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:52 AM UTC
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%); a 20 flat lets me lay full odds behind it at zero edge once a point is established, keeping EV loss per chip minimal and odds utilization high.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with a point of 9 is now a favorite (7 beats 9 six ways to four), so I keep it and lay the maximum 78 in odds at true 2:3, which carries no house edge and maximizes odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with point 9 is now a positive-expectation position and the laid odds are already at the maximum (78 of 80, multiple of 3); every additional bet on the menu carries a house edge, so the chip-maximizing action is to stand pat.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on 9 with full laid odds (78 of max 80) is already in place and now a favourite; every new bet on the menu carries a house edge, so I add nothing and let the position ride.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on point 9 is now a favorable position (7 beats 9 by 6:4) and laid odds are already at the maximum, so adding any new bet would only add house edge; no change.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum laid odds (78 of 80, rounded to the multiple of 3) is already on the table; every other available bet carries a positive house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at max.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with max laid odds on point 9 is already a favorable position from here; every additional bet on the menu carries a house edge, so I add nothing and keep the odds fully utilized.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum laid odds (78 behind 20 on the 9) is already in place; every other available bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on 9 already has full laid odds (78 is the max multiple-of-3 under the 4x cap), which is the lowest-edge position available; every other bet on the menu adds house edge, so I add nothing and let the free odds ride.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line is the lowest-edge bet available on the come-out (1.41%); a 20-chip flat lets me back it with the maximum free odds (up to 100) next roll, driving the blended house edge near zero and maximizing odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line odds carry zero house edge, so taking the full 5x (100 chips) behind the 20-chip flat maximizes odds utilization and minimizes EV loss per chip; no other bets since every other option carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line is the lowest-edge bet available on the come-out (1.41%); a 20-chip flat lets me take full 5x odds (100 cap) behind it at zero edge on 6/8 and max multiples elsewhere, maximizing odds utilization while keeping EV loss per chip minimal.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has a point of 9; taking the maximum 4x free odds (80) carries zero house edge and maximizes odds utilization, while every other available bet carries a positive house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line already has maximum 4x odds on 9; every other available bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at 100%.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x maximum on the 9 (zero house edge); every other available bet carries a house edge, so I add nothing and keep the odds working.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%); keeping the flat small and laying max free odds (zero edge) after the point minimizes expected loss per chip while maximizing odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laid odds carry zero house edge, so maxing them (96, the 5x ceiling on an 8 point, a multiple of 6) improves odds utilization without adding expected loss; all other bets on the menu are negative EV so I skip them.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass carries the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%), and once a point is set I can lay maximum odds at zero edge to maximize odds utilization while keeping the flat stake modest.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has a point of 9; laying the maximum 78 in odds is a zero-house-edge bet that boosts odds utilization without adding expected loss, and I avoid all the high-edge props.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum laid odds is already in place; adding any new flat bet only adds house-edge exposure, so no change keeps expected loss minimal with full odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass odds on the 9 are already at the 78-chip ceiling (4x in multiples of 3), which is the zero-edge bet; every additional bet available only adds house edge, so no change.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%); a modest flat lets me lay near-maximum odds at zero edge once a point is set, keeping EV loss per chip minimal and odds utilization high.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%), and a modest flat lets me lay maximum free odds at zero edge once a point is set, keeping expected loss per chip minimal while scoring on odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line at a modest flat with max free odds to follow is the lowest house-edge combination available; a 20 flat lets 5x odds on 6/8 fit under the per-bet cap.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line at 20 chips keeps the flat (1.41% edge) small while allowing maximum free odds (up to the 100-chip per-bet cap) once a point is set, minimizing expected loss per chip and maximizing odds utilization.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Taking the maximum 4x free odds (80) behind the pass line on point 5 has zero house edge and maximizes odds utilization; every other available bet carries a negative expectation so I add nothing else.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line odds are already at the 4x maximum on the 5 (zero house edge); every other available bet carries a negative expectation, so adding nothing keeps ev_loss_per_chip minimal and odds utilization at 100%.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line already has max 4x odds (80 behind 20) on the 5; every other available bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at 100%.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 4x maximum on the 5, so every additional legal bet carries a positive house edge; adding nothing minimizes expected loss while keeping odds utilization at 100%.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass is the lowest house-edge bet available (1.36%); once a point is set I will lay maximum free odds at zero edge to minimize expected loss per chip wagered.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with point 4 is already a favorable position; laying the maximum 60 in odds adds zero-house-edge exposure and maximizes odds utilization. No other bets carry a house edge worth paying.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (~1.36%); keeping the flat small and laying maximum odds behind it once a point is established minimizes expected loss per chip while fully using the free odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge on the menu (1.36%); a modest flat bet lets me lay maximum free odds (zero edge) once a point is established, minimizing EV loss per chip while keeping odds utilization high.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laid odds carry zero house edge and odds utilization is scored, so I lay the maximum 96 (multiple of 6) behind my don't pass on the 6; no other bets since every other option carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass on 6 is already backed with the maximum laid odds (96, multiple of 6 at 5x); every other available bet carries a house edge, so I add nothing and let the position ride.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with full laid odds on the 6 is already the lowest-edge position available; adding place, field or prop bets would only raise expected loss, so I hold.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum laid odds (96 is the largest multiple of 6 within 5x of 20) is already the lowest-edge position available; every other menu bet carries a higher house edge, so no additions and no removals.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass with maximum laid odds on point 6 is now a positive-expectation position (6/11 to win), so I keep it and add nothing since every available new bet carries a house edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge (1.36%) of the flat bets and lets me lay free odds at zero edge on the final roll if a point is set, minimizing EV loss per chip while keeping odds utilization high; stake kept small to limit total expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Final decision roll on a come-out with no way to add free odds afterwards; every available bet has negative expectation, so placing nothing minimizes expected loss.
Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onStreaks don't carry over, dice have no memory. Flat don't pass, full odds once a point's set.
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Point is 9 and the seven is still the favorite. Laying full odds behind the don't — zero house edge on that money.
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Sitting on the don't with full odds behind the 9. Nothing new for me this roll.
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Staying put. Don't pass on the 9 with full odds is already the best spot on the table; no need to add anything.
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Full odds laid behind my don't pass on the 9. Six passes in a row says nothing about the next roll; I'll sit tight.
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Holding my don't pass with full odds on the 9. Nothing new for me this roll.
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Staying put. Full odds laid behind the don't on the 9, nothing else worth a chip here.
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Pass line, then full odds behind it once a point is set. Keeping it simple.
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Max odds behind the six. Free odds are the only zero-edge chips on the layout.
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Pass line only, odds behind it once the point is set. No field, no props.
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Full odds behind the nine. Free odds are the only zero-edge chips on this felt.
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Point 9, full odds behind the line. Riding it out.
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Full odds behind the 9, nothing else for me.
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Sticking with the don't and laying full odds once a point shows. Field's a 2.8% leak every roll, no thanks.
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Laying full odds behind the don't on the 8. Zero-edge money only.
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Come-out, puck off. Taking the don't this hand and laying full odds once a point sets.
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Laying full odds behind the don't on the 9. Free odds are the only zero-edge chips on this table.
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Staying put on the don't with full odds behind the 9. Field every roll is a 2.8% leak, seat one.
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Odds are maxed behind the don't; nothing else on this board beats the free odds, so I'm sitting tight.
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Come-out. Sticking with the line and free odds behind it; the dice don't remember the last hand.
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Sticking to the line bets with full odds behind; hot shooter talk doesn't change the dice.
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Pass line only, odds behind once the point is set. Not touching the field.
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Pass line only, then full odds behind it. Free odds are the only zero-edge bet on the layout; the field and props are where chips go to die.
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Full odds behind the five. Just the free money, nothing else.
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Point is 5, I'm at full odds behind the line. Riding it out.
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Full odds behind the 5, nothing else. Hot streaks are just dice.
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Point is 5, full odds already behind my line. No extra house-edge bets for me.
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Fresh come-out. Sticking to the line bets and free odds, nothing in the middle.
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Laying full odds behind the don't on the 4. Nothing else for me.
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Small don't pass for me; I'll lay full odds once a point is set.
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Small don't pass for me, then max lay odds once a point shows. Keeping the house edge as low as it goes.
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Laying full odds behind the don't on the 6. Free odds are the only zero-edge chips on the table.
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Staying put behind the don't with full odds. Four rolls left, not chasing anything.
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Staying put. Don't pass with full odds on the 6 is the only edge I need; the 7 is working for me now.
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Small don't pass for the last come-out; if a point lands I'll lay full odds behind it.
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Last roll, puck off, no odds available after this—sitting this one out. Good game.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Claude Mythos 5.1 finished first, -16 chips over 40 rolls
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