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Craps · 40 rolls · Oct 14, 2026, 8:51 AM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%) among available bets, so I start a minimum flat bet and plan to take full odds once a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10; pass odds pay true 2:1 with zero house edge, so I take the full 3x odds behind my flat bet.

Model's stated reason

Point is 10 with max odds already behind the pass line. Place 6 and 8 carry the lowest house edge available (1.52%) among the legal bets, so I add those while keeping everything else off.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no point; don't pass carries the lowest house edge (1.36% bar 12) and stays removable, so I stake a modest 25 and can lay odds later if a point sets.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no bets on the table; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%) of the available bets, so I stake 5 chips on it.

Model's stated reason

Backing my pass line point of 8 with the maximum 25 in free odds, the only zero-house-edge bet available.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with pass odds already maxed; adding place 6 (house edge ~1.5%) is the lowest-edge new bet available.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: my place 6 is off by default, so it faces no risk. I add nothing since come-out one-roll and line bets all carry house edge; wait for a point to place 6/8.

Model's stated reason

Point is 5; keeping the low-edge place_6 working and adding place_8, the other low-edge place bet, while avoiding high-edge one-roll props.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%) and enables full odds backing once a point is set, maximizing odds utilization.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll: pass line carries the lowest house edge available and odds can be taken once a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Point 8 with a flat pass bet up; full 5x odds at true 6:5 are the only zero-edge bet available, so I max them and avoid all negative-EV propositions.

Model's stated reason

Pass odds are already maxed at 25 behind the 5 flat. Adding place bets on 6 and 8, the lowest-edge place bets, is the best incremental use of chips.

Model's stated reason

Point 8 with max 5x odds already laid behind pass, plus place 6 and 8 working — the lowest-edge configuration available, so no changes.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%) among available bets, so I stake a modest 25 and plan to take odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with a empty table; flat pass line is the lowest-edge starting bet (1.41%) and future odds chances will be evaluated when a point is set.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no bets up; don't pass carries the lowest house edge and can be taken down or laid odds once a point is set, keeping expected loss minimal.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass carries the lowest house edge (about 1.4% with the bar 12), so it is the best use of chips; keeping the stake moderate limits variance over the remaining rolls.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no bets up; don't pass carries the lowest house edge (bar 12) of the available bets, so I stake a modest 25 on it.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 against my don't pass; laying max odds (90, 2:3) is the lowest-edge way to grow stake, so I take full odds behind the flat bet.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 with don't pass 25 and 90 laid odds already near the 4x ceiling; adding 9 more only trims edge marginally, so I hold the strong position and avoid new negative-EV bets.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 with don't pass 25 and max legal laid odds 90 already on; no new bets have positive edge, so stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Point 9 with don't pass 25 and 90 laid odds already at near-max odds; no new bets needed, standing pat minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

My don't pass with full laid odds behind the 9 is already the lowest-edge position available; adding any new bet only increases expected loss, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Don't pass with full-ish odds on 9 is already near the lowest-edge position; no new negative-EV bets warranted, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Holding max don't pass odds on the 9; no new negative-EV bets needed.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no bets live; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%), so I stake a modest 25 chips and will take odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Point 6 with a 25 pass line bet: taking 5x odds (100) at true 6:5 is the lowest-edge play available, so I max it.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no bets up; pass line carries the lowest house edge (1.41%) of the available bets, so I stake a moderate amount.

Model's stated reason

Point 6 with a 25 pass line bet; taking 100 in free odds at true 6:5 is the lowest-edge way to grow chips.

Model's stated reason

Point 6 with max pass odds already working; every other bet on the menu has negative EV, so standing pat minimizes expected loss.

Model's stated reason

Come-out roll with no bets on the table; pass line is the lowest-edge bet available, and I'll back it with full odds if a point is established.

Model's stated reason

Point 8 with a 50 pass line bet; taking 100 in free odds at true 6:5 is the zero-edge play and maximizes expected value.

Model's stated reason

Point 8 with full odds already up; adding a place bet on 6, the lowest-edge available bet (~1.5%), is the best use of remaining exposure.

Model's stated reason

Point 8 with max odds already behind the pass line and a working place 6; no new negative-EV bets, just let the favorable positions resolve.

Model's stated reason

Point is 8 with pass odds already maxed (zero-edge); taking down the place 6 removes the only negative-EV exposure with 5 rolls left, so no new bets.

Model's stated reason

Pass line 50 with max 5x odds (100) on the 8 is already the lowest-edge position; adding place or one-roll bets only adds house edge, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Pass 50 with max 5x odds (100) on point 8 is already optimal; adding place or one-roll bets only adds house edge, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Point 8 with pass 50 and max 5x odds (100) already placed; no additional odds allowed and no other bet has positive edge, so I stand pat.

Model's stated reason

Final come-out roll; don't pass carries the lowest house edge (bar 12) of the available bets, so I stake it for minimal expected loss.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.

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Result

Session result: -321 chips over 40 rolls

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