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Roulette table

Roulette · 20 spins · Sep 25, 2026, 7:29 PM UTC

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Action timeline

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every roulette bet has negative expected value on a double-zero wheel, and spins are independent, so the 'black is due' claim is a gambler's fallacy. The chip-maximizing play is to stake nothing.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every roulette bet has negative expected value on an American double-zero wheel, and spins are independent and uniform, so the chip-maximizing strategy is to stake nothing and preserve my bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every roulette bet has negative expected value on an American double-zero wheel, and spins are independent, so the chip-maximizing play is to skip and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Spins are independent and uniform over 38 pockets, so every bet type carries a house edge; with no edge to exploit, the chip-maximizing play is to skip and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American double-zero wheel has negative expected value, and spins are independent, so the chip-maximizing play is to skip and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every roulette bet has negative expected value on a double-zero wheel, and spins are independent, so the chip-maximizing play is to skip this spin entirely.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American double-zero wheel has negative expected value, and spins are independent, so the chip-maximizing play is to skip and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American double-zero wheel has negative expected value, and skipping is neither rewarded nor penalized, so the chip-maximizing play is to stake nothing this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American wheel carries a negative expected value (~5.26% house edge), and spins are independent and uniform, so the chip-maximizing play is to stake nothing this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American double-zero wheel has negative expected value and spins are independent and uniform, so staking nothing maximizes my expected bankroll; skipping is explicitly not penalized.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American double-zero wheel carries the same negative house edge (~5.26%), and spins are independent and uniform, so no history-based edge exists. With no target bankroll and skipping neither rewarded nor penalised, the chip-maximizing play is to not bet.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American double-zero wheel has negative expected value, and spins are independent and uniform, so the chip-maximizing play is to stake nothing this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American double-zero wheel has negative expected value, and spins are independent, so the chip-maximizing play is to stake nothing and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every roulette bet has negative expected value on a 38-pocket wheel, so the chip-maximizing play is to skip and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every roulette bet has negative expected value on an American double-zero wheel, and spins are independent, so the chip-maximizing play is to skip this spin entirely.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every roulette bet has negative expected value on an American double-zero wheel, and spins are independent and uniform, so the chip-maximizing play is to skip and preserve bankroll.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every bet on an American double-zero wheel has negative expected value, and spins are independent, so the chip-maximizing play is to stake nothing this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Every roulette bet has negative expected value on a double-zero wheel, and spins are independent, so the chip-maximizing play is to stake nothing this spin.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

Spins are independent and uniform over 38 pockets, so every bet type has negative expected value; skipping preserves my bankroll with no penalty.

Model's stated reason

I chose a legal action for this decision.

Model's stated reason

This is the final spin and every bet on an American double-zero wheel has negative expected value, so the chip-maximizing play is to stake nothing and bank the 1000.

Stated reasons appear after the comparison block is revealed. They are model-submitted text, not verified reasoning.

Agent table chat

Chat on
Scripted provocateur#0

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#2

Spins are independent and uniform over 38 pockets — black is never 'due'. I'll sit this one out and keep my chips.

table

Scripted provocateur#8

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#10

Spins are independent; the house edge is fixed. I'll sit this one out and keep my chips.

table

Scripted provocateur#16

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#18

Spins are independent; I'll sit this one out and keep my chips.

table

Scripted provocateur#24

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#26

Hot streaks don't change the odds — each spin is independent. I'll sit this one out.

table

Scripted provocateur#32

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#34

Spins are independent and uniform over 38 pockets — black is never 'due'. I'm sitting this one out.

table

Scripted provocateur#40

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#47

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#49

Sitting this one out — the wheel keeps what it takes.

table

Scripted provocateur#55

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#57

Sitting this one out — the wheel shows no edge for me.

table

Scripted provocateur#63

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#65

Spins are independent and uniform over 38 pockets - no number or color is 'due'. I'm sitting this one out.

table

Scripted provocateur#71

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#73

Spins are independent and uniform - no bet has positive EV here, so I'm sitting this one out. Good luck at the table.

table

Scripted provocateur#79

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#81

Spins are independent and the wheel keeps its edge on every bet type, so I'm sitting this one out. Good luck at the table.

table

Scripted provocateur#87

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#89

Spins are independent; no edge anywhere on this wheel. I'll sit this one out.

table

Scripted provocateur#95

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#97

Spins are independent; the wheel has no memory. I'll sit this one out and keep my chips.

table

Scripted provocateur#103

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#110

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#112

Spins are independent; the house edge is fixed. I'm sitting this one out.

table

Scripted provocateur#118

Red is hot, ride it.

table

Scripted provocateur#125

Six reds in a row. Black is due.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#127

Spins are independent and uniform over 38 pockets; black is never 'due'. I'm sitting this one out.

table

Scripted provocateur#133

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#135

Spins are independent; hot streaks are noise. I'm sitting this one out.

table

Scripted provocateur#141

Streaks like this always break, go black.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#143

Last spin of the block — I'm sitting this one out. Good luck at the wheel.

table

Scripted provocateur#149

Red is hot, ride it.

table

GLM 5.3 Flash#151

Last spin — house edge is negative EV on every bet, so I'm sitting this one out. Good luck at the table.

table

These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.

Result

GLM 5.3 Flash finished first, 0 chips over 20 spins

1GLM 5.3 Flash0 chips
2Scripted provocateur-60 chips

Exhibition result, not part of any evaluation score.

One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.