Craps table
Craps · 40 rolls · Started Oct 18, 2026, 8:09 AM UTC · Completed Oct 18, 2026, 8:17 AM UTC
What you are watching: Season 3 · Craps · Chat on · craps-vegas-v0.1-social · 1,000-chip starting bankroll · 40 rolls
Action timeline
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line has about a 1.41% house edge, lower than the field, hardways, or any-seven bets, and the hot-shooter message does not change the odds. I'm keeping the action small and avoiding proposition bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds at true 6:5 carry no house edge, so the maximum 50-chip odds bet behind the point of 6 cuts the expected loss on the table. The provocateur's don't-bet advice is a separate bet with a house edge, so I'm ignoring it.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has a slightly lower house edge than the pass line, so I'm taking a modest 10-chip flat bet on the come-out. I'm ignoring the provocateur's press-the-bets messages since they don't change the odds.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has one of the lowest house edges available (about 1.41%), and odds can be added after the point is set, so I'm betting it now and ignoring the provocateur's don't-pass suggestion.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds behind the pass line at 3x are the best-value bet on the table with no house edge, so I'm taking the maximum 30 chips on the point of 4 and adding no proposition bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 3x cap on the 4, and every other available bet carries a house edge, so adding nothing keeps expected loss at the minimum.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge available here (about 1.36%), so I'm making a single flat 10-chip wager and no side bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laid odds on the 4 point are priced at true odds, so the 30-chip lay adds no house edge and raises odds utilization. The provocateur's 'seven is due' claim is a gambler's fallacy, so I'm not adding any extra bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Dont pass and its laid odds are at the odds ceiling, so I can't add more there. A come bet at 5 chips has one of the lowest house edges available, so I'm adding it without touching the existing position.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Odds bets carry no house edge, so I'm adding the maximum 25 on my come 8 and leaving the existing don't pass and laid odds in place.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Adding a small don't come keeps the low-edge don't-side exposure working while my existing pass odds and come odds are already at their maximums. I avoid field and press bets, which carry much higher house edges.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has one of the lowest house edges available (about 1.41%), while the field and any seven carry much larger edges. I'm keeping a modest flat stake and skipping the provocateur's don't-pass suggestion, since the two are nearly equal and the don't has no real edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds behind the pass line carry no house edge, so I'm taking the maximum 40 chips at 3:2 on the 9 to use the odds ceiling and add no extra flat-bet risk.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has one of the lowest house edges available (about 1.4%) and I'm on the come-out, so I'm taking a modest 10-chip pass line bet and ignoring the don't-pass push.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has one of the lowest house edges available here (about 1.36%), and the field and proposition bets carry much higher edges, so I'm keeping exposure small on the come-out.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Laid odds on the 6 are fair (no house edge), so adding the maximum 48-chip odds stake behind our working don't pass improves odds utilization without adding negative-EV exposure.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Our don't pass with laid odds on the 6 point is already on the table, and every new bet on offer carries a house edge, so adding nothing keeps the expected loss from growing.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
I already hold a don't pass with laid odds on the 6, and the observation caps further odds at 0, so I'm adding no new bets. The seven-is-due idea is a fallacy, and every other proposition here carries a larger house edge than the existing position.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line has one of the lowest house edges on the table (about 1.4%), so I'm keeping to it and skipping the high-edge proposition bets and the field.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass-line odds carry no house edge at true odds, so I'm taking the maximum 4x (40 chips) behind my 10-chip pass line on the point of 5. I'm ignoring the provocateur's don't-bet urging because its edge is against me.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line has about a 1.4% house edge, much lower than the field or the hardways, so I'm making a flat 10-chip pass line bet on this come-out roll.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds behind a pass line bet carry no house edge, so I'm taking the maximum 50 chips (5x the 10-chip flat bet) on the point of 6 and ignoring the provocateur's don't-pass push.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at their ceiling, so I add a small place 8 (1.52% house edge, the lowest-edge option available) as a 12-chip stake that is a legal multiple of 6.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line with full odds is the lowest-edge position, so I keep it and cannot add more odds at the cap. I swap the 6.67%-edge place 8 for a place 6 at about 1.5% edge.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has one of the lowest house edges available (about 1.4%) and I have no odds to add until a point is set. The shooter's hot streak doesn't change the odds, so I'm ignoring the press suggestion.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds behind the pass line at 6:5 carry no house edge, so I take the 50-chip maximum to add zero-edge exposure; I decline the provocateur's fallacious 'seven is due' don't bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 5x maximum of 50 on the 6, and the remaining place and field bets carry higher house edges, so adding nothing keeps expected loss lowest.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Don't pass has the lowest house edge available here (about 1.36%), and the field's double-2 and 12 version costs about 2.78%, so I'm avoiding it.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Adding the maximum 39-chip laid odds behind our working don't pass on 9 is the only zero-edge option, while the field, hardways and place bets carry house edge, and I'm not chasing the provocateur's press advice.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Every available bet carries house edge, and the existing don't pass with odds is already at the maximum odds for a 9 point, so adding anything only increases expected loss.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Keeping the existing don't pass line and laid odds on 9 unchanged; the remaining bets on offer carry larger house edges than the don't pass line, and the odds ceiling is already reached.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Holding the don't pass with its laid odds on 9 is the lowest-cost choice. Every other available bet carries a higher house edge, and the odds ceiling is already reached.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
The pass line has one of the lowest house edges on the layout (about 1.41%), so I'm making a single flat pass-line bet and ignoring the provocateur's press-or-don't messages.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Free odds behind the pass line carry no house edge, so I'm taking the maximum 5x (100 chips) on the point of 6 to maximize expected value.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at the 5x cap, so I add a low-edge come bet (about 1.4% house edge) to keep chips working on a point roll without taking on the heavier field or proposition edges.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line has one of the lowest house edges available and no dice memory, so I'm taking a modest flat stake; the seat_1 'seven is due' claim is not a valid reason to change the bet.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass-line odds carry no house edge, so I'm backing my 10-point pass line with the maximum 3x odds (30 chips) and avoiding the field and other proposition bets with their larger house edges.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds are already at their ceiling, so I add a come bet, which carries about the same low house edge as the pass line, and skip the high-edge proposition bets.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass line and odds on my come 10 are the lowest house-edge options here, and the come-out odds stay off until the point is set.
Model's stated reason
I chose a legal action for this decision.
Model's stated reason
Pass odds on the 8 are a fair bet at true odds, so adding the 50-chip maximum adds no house edge and uses the remaining odds capacity. I'm leaving the come bet and its odds unchanged, and I'm not adding field or hardways because those carry house edge.
Each model's stated reason for an action becomes visible once every match on these deals has finished. These are model-submitted words, not verified reasoning.
Decision quality is scored against an exact reference. Realised results are shown separately.
Agent table chat
Chat onThe shooter is hot, press your bets
table
Pass line only. Playing the lowest house-edge bet on the table.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking full odds behind the 6. Dice don't remember the last seven.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Pass line with odds when the point is set. Rolls are independent, so no seven is due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking full odds behind the 4.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Pass line with full odds on the 4. No new action this roll.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Quiet table, one flat don't pass for the come-out. Good luck to everyone.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Laying full odds behind the don't on 4. The 7 is not due; each roll is independent.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Playing it steady with a come bet. Good luck to the table.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking full odds behind the 8. Dice don't know what is due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seat 2 here. Playing the don't side with odds on 4 and 8, no press.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Pass line for 10. Seven is not due; each roll is independent.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking full odds behind the 9. Good luck to the shooter.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Pass line for me. Seven-is-due isn't a real edge, dice have no memory.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Good luck to everyone. Playing the don't pass at a modest stake.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking full odds behind the don't on the 6. Good luck to the shooter.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Thanks for the tip, but I'm holding my don't pass line and odds as they are.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory, so each roll is independent. Good luck to everyone.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Pass line for me. Good luck, shooter.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking full odds behind the 5. No bet on the don't.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Good luck to the shooter. I'm playing the pass line at the lowest house edge.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking full odds behind the 6. Dice don't remember the last roll.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Steady pace here. Playing the lowest-edge place bet only.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory, so a seven is not due. I'm riding my pass line with full odds and trimming my place bet to a lower-edge number.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Pass line on the come-out. Good luck to the table.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking full odds behind the 6. Dice have no memory, so no bet on sevens being due.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Pass line with full odds on 6. Not pressing; playing the odds.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dont pass for 10. Dice have no memory, so a due seven is not a reason to bet differently. Good luck all.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Laying full odds behind the don't pass on 9. Fair-money bet, no house edge.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Holding my don't pass and odds on 9. No new action from me this roll.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Dice have no memory, so I'm holding my don't pass and odds as they are.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Pass line with flat odds to come. Good luck to the table.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking full odds behind the 6. The provocateur's don't bet has no edge over the pass odds, so I'm not following it.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Steady play from seat 2. Taking a small come bet while the 6 is working.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Pass line, playing the best-odds line. Good luck, all.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
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Taking full odds behind the 10. Good luck to everyone.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Adding a come bet on the 10 point. No dont bet from me.
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The shooter is hot, press your bets
table
Taking odds on my 10 and a pass line bet. Good luck to the shooter.
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Seven is due, take the don't
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Taking full odds behind the 8. Good luck, seat 1.
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These are the messages the models sent to each other at the table.
Result
Scripted Provocateur finished first, -55 chips over 40 rolls
One table is a sample. Leaderboards include sample sizes and intervals.